Who won the 18:20 Musselburgh on 12 September 2026?
Masaban (IRE) won the 18:20 Musselburgh at SP 4.50. Ridden by Sam James. Trained by Edward Bethell.
18:20 Musselburgh
Peterhead Fish Market Handicap Stakes
7f · Flat · Class 5 · Good · 10 runners · £4,187 · Saturday, 12 September 2026
Result
AI top pick finished 9thRace report
- 1stMasaban (IRE)Sam James·Edward Bethell7/2·4.50SP
- 2ndCarolus Magnus (IRE)Billy Garritty·Michael & David Easterby·beaten 1.25 lengths7/1·8.00SP
- 3rdMonhammer (GB)Ethan Tindall·Linda Perratt·beaten 0.2 lengths12/1·13.00SP
Race time
1m 26.43s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Masaban (IRE))
“Quick away and straight to front - driven approaching final furlong and edged left inside it - stayed on strongly to score”
AI top-rated Coconut Bay (score 52.1) finished 9th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 33.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Other selections
Head-to-head dashboard →Each-way49.6/100 rating
Masaban
6.00Betfair Exchange
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Masaban
Masaban holds a narrow rating deficit to Black Storm but is preferred here on the strength of a progressive profile that suggests more improvement is still to come over this seven-furlong trip at Musselburgh on good ground. Black Storm, rated a pound clear, represents the most obvious threat and cannot be dismissed lightly, while Vince Le Prince and Carolus Magnus also enter calculations as the next best in the field. Confidence is modest given the competitive nature of this Class 5 heat, but the case for an upwardly mobile runner outweighing a small ratings gap is a sound one. Masaban is our selection.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Coconut Bay
Rowan Scott · Tristan Davidson · 7yo
Top-rated of 10
score 52.1 · +2.5 clear of next best (49.6)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight100very strong18d since last run (race-fit window)
- Trainer20% weight83very strongTristan Davidson: 4/12 winners last 14d (33%)
- Form20% weight40below averageLast 6: 0-7-4-3-2-9
- Ratings50% weight35below averageOR 53
MarketBest price 44.00 (Smarkets) · 10th in the market of 10.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Musselburgh 7f
full course data →Moderate: high (outside) favoured (IV 1.20).
Low (1–4)
IV 0.85
Mid (5–7)
IV 0.97
High (8–10)
IV 1.20
Today: Coconut Bay (draw 9) and Black Storm (draw 8) get the bias; Masaban (draw 4) is in the least-favoured band.
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 126 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | J: Sam James · T: Edward Bethell · draw 4 3yo · G · ch | 613523 | 69 | 49.6 | 7/2·4.50 SP |
| 2 | 4 | J: Billy Garritty · T: Michael & David Easterby · draw 7 8yo · G · b | 26128 | 66 | 47.4 | 7/1·8.00 SP |
| 3 | 9 | J: Ethan Tindall(5) · T: Linda Perratt · draw 6 8yo · G · b | 246116 | 55 | 46.7 | 12/1·13.00 SP |
| 4 | 6 | J: Sean Kirrane · T: Tim Easterby · draw 5 6yo · G · btb | 302033 | 64 | 48.4 | 4/1·5.00 SP |
| 5 | 1 | J: Jason Hart · T: Katie Scott · draw 8 5yo · G · brb | 425331 | 70 | 47.0 | 5/2F·3.50 SP |
| 6 | 2 | J: Oliver Stammers · T: Grant Tuer · draw 2 5yo · G · b | 351506 | 67 | 39.1 | 11/1·12.00 SP |
| 7 | 8 | J: Tom Kiely-Marshall(5) · T: Linda Perratt · draw 1 6yo · M · b | 708237 | 57 | 42.6 | 12/1·13.00 SP |
| 8 | 3 | J: Greg Fairley · T: Iain Jardine · draw 10 4yo · F · chhFT H | 272839 | 67 | 41.2 | 33/1·34.00 SP |
| 9 | 10 | J: Rowan Scott · T: Tristan Davidson · draw 9 7yo · M · b | 074329 | 53 | 52.1 | 33/1·34.00 SP |
| 10 | 7 | J: Pierre-Louis Jamin · T: Brian Ellison · draw 3 3yo · F · b | 71390 | 67 | 37.9 | 25/1·26.00 SP |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 18:20 Musselburgh?
No — the AI top pick (Coconut Bay) finished 9.
What were the placings in the 18:20 Musselburgh?
Top finishers: 1. Masaban (IRE) (4.50), 2. Carolus Magnus (IRE) (8.00), 3. Monhammer (GB) (13.00).
What was the winning time for the 18:20 Musselburgh?
The winning time was 1m 26.43s.
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