Who won the 15:40 Doncaster on 13 September 2026?
Valedictory (GB) won the 15:40 Doncaster at SP 2.75. Ridden by Robert Havlin. Trained by John & Thady Gosden.
15:40 Doncaster
Betfred Mallard Handicap Stakes (gbbplus Race)
1m6½f · Flat · Class 2 · Good · 8 runners · £36,078 · Sunday, 13 September 2026
Result
AI top pick was a non-runnerRace report
- 1stValedictory (GB)Robert Havlin·John & Thady Gosden7/4F·2.75SP
- 2ndErnst Blofeld (IRE)Callum Rodriguez·Hamad Al Jehani·beaten 1.75 lengths11/2·6.50SP
- 3rdSay What You See (IRE)Billy Garritty·Liam Bailey·beaten 0.3 lengths6/1·7.00SP
Race time
3m 14.57s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Valedictory (GB))
“Sat close to the front pair - eager in the bridle - asked for effort three furlongs out - edged in front two out and stayed on strongly to the line”
Settled · 1pt level stake = 1.75 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Other selections
Head-to-head dashboard →Each-way65.9/100 rating
Fantasy World
13.50Matchbook
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Fantasy World
Fantasy World heads this nine-runner Class 2 contest at Doncaster on good ground, sitting narrowly ahead of Ernst Blofeld and two pounds clear of Valedictory over the fourteen-furlong trip, and there is enough in the ratings to make a reasonable case for the selection to outperform the field. Ernst Blofeld and Valedictory will push hardest given how close they sit in the ratings, while Dancing In Paris, three pounds below Valedictory, cannot be dismissed either in what shapes as an open middle-distance heat. The selection's slight edge, however small, combined with the fourteen-furlong trip on a fair surface at Doncaster, provides the basis for cautious optimism. Fantasy World is our pick to take this.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Fantasy World
Oisin Murphy · Andrew Balding · 4yo
Top-rated of 9
score 65.9 · +0.1 clear of next best (65.7)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight100very strong22d since last run (race-fit window)
- Ratings50% weight68strongOR 102 — highest combined rating in the field
- Trainer20% weight55averageAndrew Balding: 20/89 winners last 14d (22%)
- Form20% weight54averageLast 6: 1-5-3-1-7
MarketBest price 13.50 (Matchbook) · 3rd in the market of 9.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Doncaster 1m6½f
full course data →Sample too small to call at this course and trip.
Low (1–3)
IV 1.45
Mid (4–6)
IV 0.92
High (7–9)
IV 0.57
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 26 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | J: Robert Havlin · T: John & Thady Gosden · draw 2 4yo · G · bvFT V | 261157 | 95 | 65.7 | 7/4F·2.75 SP |
| 2 | 3 | J: Callum Rodriguez · T: Hamad Al Jehani · draw 5 4yo · G · b | 41755 | 95 | 59.1 | 11/2·6.50 SP |
| 3 | 5 | J: Billy Garritty · T: Liam Bailey · draw 9 4yo · G · grp | 521123 | 93 | 56.6 | 6/1·7.00 SP |
| 4 | 9 | J: Edward Greatrex · T: Warren Greatrex · draw 6 6yo · G · bay f.h | 1179 | 90 | 50.4 | 4/1·5.00 SP |
| 5 | 6 | J: David Probert · T: Ian Williams · draw 4 6yo · G · b | 09051 | 93 | 51.9 | 17/2·9.50 SP |
| 6 | 7 | J: Callum Shepherd · T: Simon & Ed Crisford · draw 8 4yo · G · chp | 03718 | 91 | 58.0 | 10/1·11.00 SP |
| 7 | 8 | J: Harry Davies · T: Lucy Wadham · draw 3 8yo · G · bb | 56311 | 91 | 55.7 | 22/1·23.00 SP |
| 8 | 4 | J: Greg Fairley · T: Ewan Whillans · draw 1 4yo · G · chtp | 115920 | 93 | 55.2 | 16/1·17.00 SP |
| — | — | J: Oisin Murphy · T: Andrew Balding · draw 7 4yo · G · b | 15317 | 102 | 65.9 | — |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 15:40 Doncaster?
No — the AI top pick (Fantasy World) was a non-runner or unplaced.
What were the placings in the 15:40 Doncaster?
Top finishers: 1. Valedictory (GB) (2.75), 2. Ernst Blofeld (IRE) (6.50), 3. Say What You See (IRE) (7.00).
What was the winning time for the 15:40 Doncaster?
The winning time was 3m 14.57s.
Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org