Who won the 16:15 Doncaster on 13 September 2026?
Tiva (IRE) won the 16:15 Doncaster at SP 4.33. Ridden by Conor Whiteley. Trained by David O'Meara.
16:15 Doncaster
I Love Julie Parkes Handicap Stakes (Div I)
5f · Flat · Class 4 · Good · 10 runners · £7,851 · Sunday, 13 September 2026
Result
AI top pick wonat SP 100/30F·4.33Race report
- 1stTiva (IRE)AI top pick · 53.2Conor Whiteley·David O'Meara100/30F·4.33SP
- 2ndFantasy Master (GB)Ray Dawson·Robert Cowell·beaten 0.3 lengths11/2·6.50SP
- 3rdHiya Maite (GB)Lewis Edmunds·Roy Bowring·beaten 0.2 lengths17/2·9.50SP
Race time
58.49s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Tiva (IRE))
“Settled just off the pace - urged forward to close in with a furlong left - hit front inside final 110 yards - stayed on strongly to the line”
Settled · 1pt level stake = 3.33 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Other selections
Head-to-head dashboard →Each-way53.2/100 rating
Tiva
5.40Betfair Exchange
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Hiya Maite
Hiya Maite lines up narrowly ahead of Winged Messenger on ratings yet the stronger case for backing her rests on a progressive profile that the clock consistently supports, suggesting her form figures understate her current ability heading into this five-furlong Doncaster test on good ground. Winged Messenger, rated level, is the most obvious threat and cannot be dismissed lightly, while Big Fun sits just a pound behind and Copper Knight, though further back on ratings, merits respect in a competitive Class 4 field. Confidence is modest given the narrow margins at the top of the order, but the evidence of genuine improvement makes Hiya Maite the preferred pick here.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Tiva
Conor Whiteley(5) · David O'Meara · 4yo
Top-rated of 10
score 53.2 · +4.4 clear of next best (48.7)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight100very strong22d since last run (race-fit window)
- Form20% weight57averageLast 6: 5-4-6-3-1-4
- Ratings50% weight55averageOR 82 — highest combined rating in the field
- Trainer20% weight23weakDavid O'Meara: 5/55 winners last 14d (9%)
MarketBest price 5.40 (Betfair Exchange) · market favourite.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Doncaster 5f
full course data →No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.
Low (1–4)
IV 0.96
Mid (5–7)
IV 0.93
High (8–10)
IV 1.11
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 155 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | J: Conor Whiteley(5) · T: David O'Meara · draw 6 4yo · F · chtv | 546314 | 82 | 53.2 | 100/30F·4.33 SP |
| 2 | 9 | J: Ray Dawson · T: Robert Cowell · draw 9 8yo · G · chp | 13823 | 72 | 45.5 | 11/2·6.50 SP |
| 3 | 3 | J: Lewis Edmunds · T: Roy Bowring · draw 8 8yo · G · b | 66247 | 79 | 40.2 | 17/2·9.50 SP |
| 4 | 5 | J: Tom Eaves · T: Kevin Ryan · draw 3 3yo · G · b | 74762 | 78 | 48.3 | 12/1·13.00 SP |
| 5 | 7 | J: Oliver Stammers · T: Kevin & Lauren Frost · draw 10 11yo · G · b | 87180 | 75 | 44.6 | 28/1·29.00 SP |
| 6 | 10 | J: Ryan Sexton · T: Paul Midgley · draw 4 6yo · G · b | 780565 | 68 | 40.8 | 8/1·9.00 SP |
| 7 | 2 | J: Hector Crouch · T: Ruth Carr · draw 7 4yo · G · b | 84310 | 80 | 48.7 | 5/1·6.00 SP |
| 8 | 8 | J: Sean Kirrane · T: Tim Easterby · draw 5 12yo · G · btp | 069090 | 74 | 40.0 | 11/1·12.00 SP |
| 9 | 6 | J: Connor Beasley · T: Gemma Tutty · draw 2 3yo · F · g | 726003 | 77 | 44.3 | 10/1·11.00 SP |
| 10 | 4 | J: Rowan Scott · T: Julie Camacho · draw 1 5yo · G · bhp | 14057 | 78 | 45.1 | 6/1·7.00 SP |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:15 Doncaster?
Yes — the AI top-rated horse, Tiva, won the race (AI score 53.2).
What were the placings in the 16:15 Doncaster?
Top finishers: 1. Tiva (IRE) (4.33), 2. Fantasy Master (GB) (6.50), 3. Hiya Maite (GB) (9.50).
What was the winning time for the 16:15 Doncaster?
The winning time was 58.49s.
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