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14:10 Leopardstown

Ireland

Irish Stallion Farms EBF Sovereign Path Handicap

7f · Flat · Good · 17 runners · €90,000 · Saturday, 12 September 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 10th
  1. 1st
    Krasimir (IRE)
    Reese Holohan·G M Lyons
    15/2·8.50
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Vafortino (IRE)
    James Doyle·Charlie Fellowes·beaten 0.2 lengths
    7/1·8.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Sindagan (IRE)
    Ben Coen·J P Murtagh·beaten .75 lengths
    12/1·13.00
    SP
Race time
1m 25.21s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Krasimir (IRE))

“Settled in the pack early - given encouragement approaching final two furlongs while still 8th passing the furlong marker - driven and finished strongly to hit the front right at the line”

AI top-rated L L Koulsty (score 64.4) finished 10th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 20.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Each-way56.7/100 rating
Collecting Coin
8.60Betfair Exchange

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Andab

Andab heads this competitive 20-runner seven-furlong contest at Leopardstown on good ground, rated narrowly ahead of Dorset and a further pound clear of Vafortino, giving connections genuine cause for optimism in a deep field. The selection's edge over the principals is modest rather than commanding, and Dorset in particular represents a serious threat alongside Vafortino and Excellent Believe, all of whom are capable of closing the gap on the day. That said, Andab's standing at the top of these assessments is deserved and, with conditions likely to suit, there is enough here to side with the selection. Andab is the call.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

L L Koulsty

Rory Mulligan(5) · John S O'Donoghue · 3yo

Top-rated of 21
score 64.4 · +7.2 clear of next best (57.2)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    85very strong
    29d since last run (fresh)
  • Form20% weight
    71strong
    Last 6: 3-6-4-1-1-3
  • Ratings50% weight
    63average
    OR 95
  • Trainer20% weight
    50small sample (n=5)
    John S O'Donoghue: 1/5 winners last 14d (20%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
MarketBest price 36.00 (Smarkets) · 17th in the market of 21.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Leopardstown 7f

full course data →

Moderate: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.16).

Low (1–7)
IV 1.16
Mid (8–14)
IV 0.88
High (15–21)
IV 0.94

Today: Collecting Coin (draw 7) and Carnival Of Light (draw 2) get the bias; Fort Vega (draw 11) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 180 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
118
J: Reese Holohan(7) · T: G M Lyons · draw 10
3yo · G · btp
233133
8555.0
15/2·8.50
SP
24
J: James Doyle · T: Charlie Fellowes · draw 8
8yo · C · b
507893
9951.3
7/1·8.00
SP
312
J: Ben Coen · T: J P Murtagh · draw 16
3yo · G · b
23216
9455.3
12/1·13.00
SP
419
3yo · G · g
53118
8451.5
12/1·13.00
SP
513
J: W J Lee · T: Jennie Candlish · draw 7
4yo · G · b
430612
8956.7
6/1F·7.00
SP
62
3yo · G · bv
232375
10357.2
16/1·17.00
SP
73
J: Oisin Murphy · T: Stephen Thorne · draw 4
4yo · G · b
23300
9944.5
15/2·8.50
SP
817
J: Gary Carroll · T: G M Lyons · draw 14
3yo · G · b
174805
8947.3
66/1·67.00
SP
98
J: Colin Keane · T: Stephen Thorne · draw 1
6yo · G · bp
045166
9347.1
7/1·8.00
SP
1011
3yo · G · b
364113
9564.4
20/1·21.00
SP
119
J: Kieran Shoemark · T: David O'Meara · draw 17
7yo · G · ch
079992
9347.9
25/1·26.00
SP
1210
J: Seamie Heffernan · T: J P Murtagh · draw 21
7yo · G · ch
980626
9349.9
10/1·11.00
SP
137
J: Rory Cleary · T: Ms Sheila Lavery · draw 11
6yo · G · btFT T
52329
9355.4
18/1·19.00
SP
146
J: Ryan Moore · T: A P O'Brien · draw 3
3yo · C · g
894007
10049.7
10/1·11.00
SP
1516
J: Chris Hayes · T: Thomas Gibney · draw 6
6yo · G · chb
50284
8645.7
20/1·21.00
SP
165
J: David Egan · T: Robson De Aguiar · draw 18
4yo · G · b
47312
9853.6
12/1·13.00
SP
1714
4yo · F · ch
44110
8855.0
28/1·29.00
SP
——
J: Luke McAteer · T: David Marnane · draw 9
5yo · G · b
34267
10149.4—
——
J: · T: Mrs John Harrington · draw 19
5yo · G · bb
852166
8148.8—
——
3yo · G · b
1920
9154.3—
——
J: · T: Miss Kate McGivern · draw 12
4yo · F · bbFT B
86077
8340.1—

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 14:10 Leopardstown on 12 September 2026?

Krasimir (IRE) won the 14:10 Leopardstown at SP 8.50. Ridden by Reese Holohan. Trained by G M Lyons.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 14:10 Leopardstown?

No — the AI top pick (L L Koulsty) finished 10.

What were the placings in the 14:10 Leopardstown?

Top finishers: 1. Krasimir (IRE) (8.50), 2. Vafortino (IRE) (8.00), 3. Sindagan (IRE) (13.00).

What was the winning time for the 14:10 Leopardstown?

The winning time was 1m 25.21s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org