Who won the 13:35 Leopardstown on 12 September 2026?
Maire Rua (GB) won the 13:35 Leopardstown at SP 3.50. Ridden by Colin Keane. Trained by G M Lyons.
13:35 Leopardstown
IrelandBallylinch Stud Irish EBF Ingabelle Stakes (Listed)
7f · Flat · Class 1 · Good · 10 runners · €60,000 · Saturday, 12 September 2026
Result
AI top pick finished 4thRace report
- 1stMaire Rua (GB)Colin Keane·G M Lyons5/2·3.50SP
- 2ndTimeless Tale (IRE)W J Lee·W McCreery·beaten .5 lengths2/1F·3.00SP
- 3rdSnowing (IRE)Pierre-Charles Boudot·A P O'Brien·beaten 1.5 lengths11/1·12.00SP
Race time
1m 26.54s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Maire Rua (GB))
“Settled midpack early - up to 3rd with a furlong left under pressure - stayed on strongly to hit front near the finish”
AI top-rated Ibelieveicanfly (score 63.1) finished 4th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 3.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Other selections
Head-to-head dashboard →Each-way63.1/100 rating
Ibelieveicanfly
6.75LiveScore Bet
Place portion settles at 2.15 · 1/5 odds · 3 places
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Ibelieveicanfly
Ibelieveicanfly sits a handful of pounds below the top three on ratings but has shown a progressive profile that makes her the more appealing proposition over a field that includes several runners whose best form may already be behind them. Timeless Tale heads the ratings and represents the principal danger alongside Blonde Over Blue and Lady Patrona, all three of whom must be respected in a competitive seven-furlong Class 1 at Leopardstown. The selection is taken on a continued upward curve, though the margin for error is slim against more exposed rivals. Ibelieveicanfly is the selection.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Ibelieveicanfly
Ryan Moore · A P O'Brien · 2yo
Top-rated of 11
score 63.1 · +7.4 clear of next best (55.8)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight100very strong21d since last run (race-fit window)
- Ratings50% weight67strongOR 100 — highest combined rating in the field
- Form20% weight64averageLast 6: 4-2-4-1-4
- Trainer20% weight35below averageA P O'Brien: 5/37 winners last 14d (14%)
MarketBest price 6.75 (LiveScore Bet) · 3rd in the market of 11.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Leopardstown 7f
full course data →Moderate: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.16).
Low (1–4)
IV 1.16
Mid (5–8)
IV 0.88
High (9–11)
IV 0.94
Today: Ibelieveicanfly (draw 1) and Bellesque (draw 4) get the bias; Blonde Over Blue (draw 8) is in the least-favoured band.
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 180 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | J: Colin Keane · T: G M Lyons · draw 11 2yo · F · g | 13 | — | 26.2 | 5/2·3.50 SP |
| 2 | 11 | J: W J Lee · T: W McCreery · draw 9 2yo · F · b | 1 | — | 39.0 | 2/1F·3.00 SP |
| 3 | 10 | J: Pierre-Charles Boudot · T: A P O'Brien · draw 2 2yo · F · b | 5262 | 88 | 54.5 | 11/1·12.00 SP |
| 4 | 4 | J: Ryan Moore · T: A P O'Brien · draw 1 2yo · F · chh | 42414 | 100 | 63.1 | 3/1·4.00 SP |
| 5 | 2 | J: Declan McDonogh · T: Joseph Patrick O'Brien · draw 4 2yo · F · b | 2138 | 91 | 55.8 | 18/1·19.00 SP |
| 6 | 1 | J: Shane Foley · T: Mrs John Harrington · draw 7 2yo · F · rn | 317 | — | 20.2 | 14/1·15.00 SP |
| 7 | 5 | J: Keithen Kennedy · T: Mrs John Harrington · draw 10 2yo · F · ch | 24413 | 83 | 51.0 | 100/1·101.00 SP |
| 8 | 6 | J: Rory Cleary · T: Ms Sheila Lavery · draw 3 2yo · F · b | 21 | — | 35.0 | 25/1·26.00 SP |
| 9 | 3 | J: J M Sheridan · T: Joseph Patrick O'Brien · draw 8 2yo · F · bt | 145 | 91 | 55.2 | 40/1·41.00 SP |
| 10 | 8 | J: Ben Coen · T: Miss Natalia Lupini · draw 5 2yo · F · b | 4 | — | 23.5 | 28/1·29.00 SP |
| — | — | J: David Egan · T: Robson De Aguiar · draw 6 2yo · F · b | 5417 | 80 | 44.8 | — |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 13:35 Leopardstown?
No — the AI top pick (Ibelieveicanfly) finished 4.
What were the placings in the 13:35 Leopardstown?
Top finishers: 1. Maire Rua (GB) (3.50), 2. Timeless Tale (IRE) (3.00), 3. Snowing (IRE) (12.00).
What was the winning time for the 13:35 Leopardstown?
The winning time was 1m 26.54s.
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