Who won the 13:30 Ayr on 17 September 2026?
Zarak Crown (FR) won the 13:30 Ayr at SP 4.00. Ridden by David Nolan. Trained by Richard & Peter Fahey.
13:30 Ayr
Almins Vantage/Lallemand Magniva Classic EBF Novice Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race)
1m · Flat · Class 3 · Good To Soft · 10 runners · £6,185 · Thursday, 17 September 2026
Result
AI top pick finished 5thRace report
- 1stZarak Crown (FR)David Nolan·Richard & Peter Fahey3/1·4.00SP
- 2ndPerfect Heir (GB)P. J. McDonald·Andrew Balding·beaten 0.1 lengths13/2·7.50SP
- 3rdYoucanbetheone (IRE)Jason Hart·John & Sean Quinn·beaten 1.25 lengths28/1·29.00SP
Race time
1m 47.42s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Zarak Crown (FR))
“Handy with front group early - pushed along to hit front 2f out - drifted left then fought for advantage inside final furlong - prevailed close home”
AI top-rated Bassrah (score 51.4) finished 5th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 1.88 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Why the model rates this top
Bassrah
Paddy Bradley · Charlie Fellowes · 2yo
Top-rated of 10
score 51.4 · +24.9 clear of next best (26.5)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight100very strong19d since last run (race-fit window)
- Ratings50% weight52averageOR 78 — highest combined rating in the field
- Form20% weight52averageLast 6: 6-2-4
- Trainer20% weight25weakCharlie Fellowes: 2/21 winners last 14d (10%)
MarketNo market price available yet.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Ayr 1m
full course data →No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.
Low (1–4)
IV 1.06
Mid (5–8)
IV 0.92
High (9–11)
IV 1.01
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 140 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | J: David Nolan · T: Richard & Peter Fahey · draw 9 2yo · C · b | 4 | — | 22.5 | 3/1·4.00 SP |
| 2 | 5 | J: P. J. McDonald · T: Andrew Balding · draw 4 2yo · G · b | 4 | — | 26.5 | 13/2·7.50 SP |
| 3 | 8 | J: Jason Hart · T: John & Sean Quinn · draw 1 2yo · G · ch | — | — | 21.5 | 28/1·29.00 SP |
| 4 | 4 | J: Billy Garritty · T: Michael & David Easterby · draw 5 2yo · G · b | — | — | 19.0 | 22/1·23.00 SP |
| 5 | 10 | J: Paddy Bradley · T: Charlie Fellowes · draw 2 2yo · F · b | 624 | 78 | 51.4 | 15/8F·2.88 SP |
| 6 | 6 | J: Oisin Orr · T: Hugo Palmer · draw 3 2yo · C · b | — | — | 18.5 | 13/2·7.50 SP |
| 7 | 2 | J: Saffie Osborne · T: Charlie Johnston · draw 10 2yo · C · b | 4 | — | 23.0 | 25/1·26.00 SP |
| 8 | 1 | J: David Allan · T: Tim Easterby · draw 6 2yo · G · b | — | — | 21.5 | 100/1·101.00 SP |
| 9 | 3 | J: Kevin Stott · T: Kevin Ryan · draw 8 2yo · C · b | 0 | — | 13.0 | 9/2·5.50 SP |
| 10 | 11 | J: Joanna Mason · T: Michael & David Easterby · draw 11 2yo · F · b | 4 | — | 23.0 | 33/1·34.00 SP |
| — | — | J: M. P. Sheehy · T: Adrian Keatley · draw 7 2yo · C · bhFT H | — | — | 23.5 | — |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 13:30 Ayr?
No — the AI top pick (Bassrah) finished 5.
What were the placings in the 13:30 Ayr?
Top finishers: 1. Zarak Crown (FR) (4.00), 2. Perfect Heir (GB) (7.50), 3. Youcanbetheone (IRE) (29.00).
What was the winning time for the 13:30 Ayr?
The winning time was 1m 47.42s.
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