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RacingAlpha

16:50 Doncaster

I Love Julie Parkes Handicap Stakes (Div II)

5f · Flat · Class 4 · Good · 10 runners · £7,851 · Sunday, 13 September 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick placed 3rd
  1. 1st
    Maharajas Express (GB)
    David Probert·Ian Williams
    7/2F·4.50
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Tanjen (IRE)
    Jake Dickson·Tim Easterby·beaten 0.3 lengths
    10/1·11.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Rock Of England (IRE)AI top pick · 52.5
    Oisin Murphy·Paul Midgley·beaten 1.5 lengths
    9/2·5.50
    SP
Race time
58.41s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Maharajas Express (GB))

“Settled just behind pace - driven into contention approaching final furlong - third with a furlong to run - moved up to challenge inside final 110 yards - stayed on strongly to prevail in the final strides”

Settled · 1pt level stake = 4.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Each-way52.5/100 rating
Rock Of England
7.00Betfair Exchange

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Mighty Magnus

Mighty Magnus heads this ten-runner five-furlong contest at Doncaster narrowly ahead of Emerald Harmony on our ratings, and his profile makes a compelling case for him to justify that advantage at the finish. Emerald Harmony and Smart Vision will be the primary threats, with Duran also capable of making his presence felt, but none of the trio look quite equipped to reel in a horse of Mighty Magnus's calibre on these figures. The remainder of the field are rated meaningfully below the principals and would need something to go significantly wrong for the selection to be caught out. Mighty Magnus is our selection.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Rock Of England

Oisin Murphy · Paul Midgley · 6yo

Top-rated of 10
score 52.5 · +0.8 clear of next best (51.7)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Form20% weight
    74strong
    Last 6: 1-2-1-4-4-1
  • Freshness10% weight
    70strong
    13d since last run (quick turnaround)
  • Ratings50% weight
    53average
    OR 80
  • Trainer20% weight
    20weak
    Paul Midgley: 1/12 winners last 14d (8%)
MarketBest price 7.00 (Betfair Exchange) · 2nd in the market of 10.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Doncaster 5f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–4)
IV 0.96
Mid (5–7)
IV 0.93
High (8–10)
IV 1.11

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 155 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
19
J: David Probert · T: Ian Williams · draw 8
6yo · G · ch
961822
6845.5
7/2F·4.50
SP
210
J: Jake Dickson(5) · T: Tim Easterby · draw 6
4yo · F · b
775134
6647.0
10/1·11.00
SP
32
J: Oisin Murphy · T: Paul Midgley · draw 7
6yo · G · ch
121441
8052.5
9/2·5.50
SP
47
J: Lewis Edmunds · T: Jessica Macey · draw 3
5yo · G · bp
989944
7540.4
6/1·7.00
SP
51
J: Connor Beasley · T: Michael Dods · draw 1
3yo · G · b
153502
8246.2
11/1·12.00
SP
66
3yo · C · b
052435
7741.8
9/1·10.00
SP
75
J: David Nolan · T: Paul Midgley · draw 9
5yo · M · b
312366
7747.3
10/1·11.00
SP
88
J: Alex Jary(3) · T: Nigel Tinkler · draw 10
5yo · G · bv
50007
7535.4
4/1·5.00
SP
93
J: James Sullivan · T: Ruth Carr · draw 2
3yo · F · gr
741107
8051.7
40/1·41.00
SP
104
J: Daniel Muscutt · T: James Horton · draw 5
5yo · G · btpFT TP
16769
7746.1
25/1·26.00
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 16:50 Doncaster on 13 September 2026?

Maharajas Express (GB) won the 16:50 Doncaster at SP 4.50. Ridden by David Probert. Trained by Ian Williams.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:50 Doncaster?

No — the AI top pick (Rock Of England) finished 3.

What were the placings in the 16:50 Doncaster?

Top finishers: 1. Maharajas Express (GB) (4.50), 2. Tanjen (IRE) (11.00), 3. Rock Of England (IRE) (5.50).

What was the winning time for the 16:50 Doncaster?

The winning time was 58.41s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org