15:40 Ayr

Feature

Ladbrokes Ayr Gold Cup (Class 2 Heritage Handicap)

6f · Flat · Class 2 · Heavy · 24 runners · £92,772 · Saturday, 19 September 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 22th

1st
Pellitory (GB)
Daniel Tudhope·David O'Meara
12/1·13.00
SP
2nd
Tuco Salamanca (IRE)
Marco Ghiani·Ollie Sangster·beaten .5 lengths
16/1·17.00
SP
3rd
Flash Harry (GB)
Paul Mulrennan·Clive Cox·beaten 2.5 lengths
28/1·29.00
SP

Race time

1m 16.00s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Pellitory (GB))

“Settled towards the back on the far flank early - made progress two out - hit the front inside the final furlong - kept finding under pressure to the line”

AI top-rated Evening Saigon (score 67.2) finished 22th.

Settled · 1pt level stake = 25.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Other selections

Head-to-head dashboard →

Each-way64.0/100 rating

Dance In The Storm

8.60Smarkets

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party

Pundit pick: Aramram

Aramram represents the most compelling case in this wide-open 25-runner sprint at Ayr, where a progressive profile counts for a great deal on soft ground over six furlongs, and the narrowly higher rating carried by Spycatcher need not be the deciding factor when one runner is clearly still on an upward curve. Spycatcher, Volterra and Binhareer all pose genuine threats in a deep Class 2 field, and with soft conditions testing stamina reserves across such a large field, positioning and momentum will matter as much as raw ability. Aramram's trajectory suggests there may be more improvement to come, making the selection the value call over a rival who, however accomplished, may be closer to his ceiling. Aramram is the selection.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Evening Saigon

Faleh Bughenaim · Hamad Al Jehani · 4yo

Top-rated of 25

score 67.2 · +0.7 clear of next best (66.5)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Freshness10% weight
100very strong
28d since last run (race-fit window)
Ratings50% weight
67strong
OR 100
Trainer20% weight
63small sample (n=8)
Hamad Al Jehani: 2/8 winners last 14d (25%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
Form20% weight
57average
Last 6: 1-2-7-1-5

MarketBest price 60.00 (Matchbook) · 17th in the market of 25.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Ayr 6f

full course data →

Moderate: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.24).

Low (1–9)

IV 1.24

Mid (10–17)

IV 0.98

High (18–25)

IV 0.75

Today: Dance In The Storm (draw 8) and Binhareer (draw 2) get the bias; Evening Saigon (draw 24) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 122 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

Pos	No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	SP
1	18	Pellitory J: Daniel Tudhope · T: David O'Meara · draw 16 4yo · G · btFT T	002013	9-00	98	—	—	56.6	12/1·13.00 SP
2	4	Tuco Salamanca J: Marco Ghiani · T: Ollie Sangster · draw 12 4yo · G · bt	16101	9-08	106	—	—	60.9	16/1·17.00 SP
3	10	Flash Harry J: Paul Mulrennan · T: Clive Cox · draw 21 4yo · G · ch	60901	9-03	96	—	—	56.7	28/1·29.00 SP
4	16	Fine Interview J: James Doyle · T: Hamad Al Jehani · draw 25 5yo · G · grp	19107	9-01	99	—	—	62.0	12/1·13.00 SP
5	14	Dance In The Storm J: Oisin Murphy · T: Andrew Balding · draw 8 4yo · F · bh	15014	9-01	99	—	—	64.0	9/2·5.50 SP
6	5	Stratusnine J: Conor Whiteley(5) · T: Hugo Palmer · draw 6 4yo · G · b	831266	9-06	104	—	—	56.3	10/1·11.00 SP
7	21	Ardisia J: Warren Fentiman(3) · T: Hugo Palmer · draw 13 3yo · G · b	463042	8-13	99	—	—	54.6	22/1·23.00 SP
8	15	Bodhi Bear J: Sam James · T: J A Stack · draw 10 4yo · G · bbFT B	851304	9-01	99	—	—	49.9	40/1·41.00 SP
9	7	Binhareer J: Tom Marquand · T: William Haggas · draw 2 4yo · G · gr	61264	9-05	103	—	—	63.0	4/1J·5.00 SP
10	22	Fahrenheit Seven J: Oliver Stammers · T: Robert Cowell · draw 7 5yo · G · bp	170080	8-13	97	—	—	49.5	150/1·151.00 SP
11	13	Far Above Dream J: Jason Hart · T: James Owen · draw 14 4yo · G · b	11462	9-01	99	—	—	59.1	4/1J·5.00 SP
12	6	Two Tribes J: David Egan · T: Richard Spencer · draw 1 5yo · G · chb	072053	9-05	103	—	—	62.2	12/1·13.00 SP
13	1	Spycatcher J: Clifford Lee · T: K. R. Burke · draw 5 8yo · G · bp	11007	9-13	111	—	—	58.0	25/1·26.00 SP
14	24	Hammer The Hammer J: Tom Eaves · T: Kevin Ryan · draw 20 4yo · C · bp	60000	8-12	96	—	—	45.8	33/1·34.00 SP
15	9	Rock On Thunder J: Jack Callan · T: Kevin Ryan · draw 11 3yo · C · bpFirst after wind op	26608	9-04	104	—	—	49.7	80/1·81.00 SP
16	17	Caburn J: Dylan Hogan · T: James Tate · draw 17 4yo · G · grp	83064	9-00	98	—	—	58.5	50/1·51.00 SP
17	12	Run Boy Run J: George Wood · T: Richard Spencer · draw 23 5yo · G · bbFT B	200400	9-02	100	—	—	54.8	28/1·29.00 SP
18	3	Aramram J: Joe Leavy · T: Richard Hannon · draw 18 5yo · H · b	125056	9-10	108	—	—	53.9	50/1·51.00 SP
19	25	Twilight Calls J: Saffie Osborne · T: Richard Spencer · draw 19 8yo · G · bv	612112	8-11	95	—	—	66.5	18/1·19.00 SP
20	23	Red Spells Danger J: David Allan · T: Tim Easterby · draw 4 3yo · G · b	124510	8-12	98	—	—	56.8	16/1·17.00 SP
21	2	Volterra J: Kevin Stott · T: Kevin Ryan · draw 9 5yo · G · b	82328	9-11	109	—	—	56.3	14/1·15.00 SP
22	11	Evening Saigon J: Faleh Bughenaim · T: Hamad Al Jehani · draw 24 4yo · G · bp	12715	9-02	100	—	—	67.2	25/1·26.00 SP
23	19	Candy J: Ryan Sexton · T: Richard Spencer · draw 15 4yo · C · bhFT H	16000	8-13	97	—	—	53.2	28/1·29.00 SP
24	8	Wiltshire J: Oisin Orr · T: William Haggas · draw 22 6yo · G · bt	065100	9-04	102	—	—	57.5	66/1·67.00 SP
—	—	Fandom J: Alec Voikhansky · T: Richard Hannon · draw 3 5yo · G · b	043030	8-13	97	—	—	49.8	—

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 15:40 Ayr on 19 September 2026?

Pellitory (GB) won the 15:40 Ayr at SP 13.00. Ridden by Daniel Tudhope. Trained by David O'Meara.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 15:40 Ayr?

No — the AI top pick (Evening Saigon) finished 22.

What were the placings in the 15:40 Ayr?

Top finishers: 1. Pellitory (GB) (13.00), 2. Tuco Salamanca (IRE) (17.00), 3. Flash Harry (GB) (29.00).

What was the winning time for the 15:40 Ayr?

The winning time was 1m 16.00s.

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