Who won the 14:47 Newbury on 19 September 2026?
Balzac (GER) won the 14:47 Newbury at SP 6.50. Ridden by Ryan Moore. Trained by Jane Chapple-Hyam.
14:47 Newbury
Dubai Duty Free Handicap Stakes (gbbplus Race)
1m2f · Flat · Class 2 · Good To Firm · 11 runners · £31,404 · Saturday, 19 September 2026
Result
AI top pick finished 11thRace report
- 1stBalzac (GER)Ryan Moore·Jane Chapple-Hyam11/2·6.50SP
- 2ndPaddy The Squire (GB)Andrew Mullen·Iain Jardine·beaten 0.05 lengths12/1·13.00SP
- 3rdMerveilleux Lapin (IRE)Callum Rodriguez·Owen Burrows·beaten 1.25 lengths11/1·12.00SP
Race time
2m 2.89s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Balzac (GER))
“Drifted right at the off - settled close to the front - eased across to the right under pressure 2f out - moved through to hit the front and drifted right entering the last furlong - driven out to prevail by the narrowest of margins”
AI top-rated Theory of Tides (score 63.7) finished 11th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 40.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Other selections
Head-to-head dashboard →Each-way61.5/100 rating
Almekarem
6.40Smarkets
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Stem
Stem arrives at Newbury narrowly behind the top-rated Paddy The Squire on these figures, but a progressive profile suggests there is more to come from this one over ten furlongs on good ground, and that upside makes the case for siding with connections here over a horse who may be closer to his ceiling. Paddy The Squire, Boyfriend and Old Harrovian all represent genuine dangers in a competitive Class 2 field, and punters should be aware that confidence in this selection is modest. Stem is our pick.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Theory of Tides
William Carver · Jamie Osborne · 5yo
Top-rated of 13
score 63.7 · +1.5 clear of next best (62.2)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight85very strong57d since last run (fresh)
- Trainer20% weight75strongJamie Osborne: 3/10 winners last 14d (30%)
- Ratings50% weight62averageOR 93
- Form20% weight46below averageLast 6: 4-2-2-9
MarketBest price 40.00 (Smarkets) · 10th in the market of 13.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Newbury 1m2f
full course data →No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.
Low (1–5)
IV 1.15
Mid (6–9)
IV 0.91
High (10–13)
IV 0.92
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 109 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | J: Ryan Moore · T: Jane Chapple-Hyam · draw 1 3yo · G · b | 133002 | 97 | 59.1 | 11/2·6.50 SP |
| 2 | 1 | J: Andrew Mullen · T: Iain Jardine · draw 8 6yo · G · btbFT TB | 56320 | 103 | 55.3 | 12/1·13.00 SP |
| 3 | 3 | J: Callum Rodriguez · T: Owen Burrows · draw 12 4yo · F · b | 02437 | 95 | 51.8 | 11/1·12.00 SP |
| 4 | 5 | J: Sean Levey · T: Richard Hannon · draw 6 5yo · H · b | 81323 | 93 | 56.4 | 100/30F·4.33 SP |
| 5 | 9 | J: Jamie Spencer · T: Richard Hannon · draw 4 4yo · G · b | 904103 | 89 | 50.3 | 11/2·6.50 SP |
| 6 | 2 | J: Callum Hutchinson · T: Andrew Balding · draw 7 7yo · G · cht | 3212 | 98 | 62.2 | 33/1·34.00 SP |
| 7 | 7 | J: Rob Hornby · T: David Evans · draw 9 6yo · G · bv | 051888 | 92 | 53.0 | 40/1·41.00 SP |
| 8 | 8 | J: William Buick · T: Kevin Philippart de Foy · draw 13 5yo · G · b | 704287 | 90 | 45.7 | 11/1·12.00 SP |
| 9 | 11 | J: Connor Beasley · T: Edward Bethell · draw 2 3yo · G · b | 11495 | 93 | 56.1 | 9/2·5.50 SP |
| 10 | 13 | J: Luke Morris · T: Sir Mark Prescott Bt · draw 5 4yo · G · b | 17221 | 85 | 61.5 | 4/1·5.00 SP |
| 11 | 4 | J: William Carver · T: Jamie Osborne · draw 10 5yo · G · b | 4229 | 93 | 63.7 | 40/1·41.00 SP |
| — | — | J: Rossa Ryan · T: Ralph Beckett · draw 3 3yo · C · ch | 81594 | 93 | 55.3 | — |
| — | — | J: Kieran Shoemark · T: Ed Walker · draw 11 9yo · G · b | 05047 | 87 | 44.2 | — |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 14:47 Newbury?
No — the AI top pick (Theory of Tides) finished 11.
What were the placings in the 14:47 Newbury?
Top finishers: 1. Balzac (GER) (6.50), 2. Paddy The Squire (GB) (13.00), 3. Merveilleux Lapin (IRE) (12.00).
What was the winning time for the 14:47 Newbury?
The winning time was 2m 2.89s.
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