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RacingAlpha

18:00 Dundalk (AW)

Ireland

Irish Stallion Farms EBF Median Auction Maiden

6f · Flat · Standard · 12 runners · €15,000 · Friday, 18 September 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 4th
  1. 1st
    Value Pending (GB)
    J M Sheridan·Joseph Patrick O'Brien
    12/1·13.00
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Thumama Glory (IRE)
    Adam Caffrey·Adrian McGuinness·beaten 1.5 lengths
    50/1·51.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Arrowstock (IRE)
    Scott McCullagh·Daniel McLoughlin·beaten 0.3 lengths
    11/1·12.00
    SP
Race time
1m 13.66s

Race time recorded.

AI top-rated Always Magic (score 55.5) finished 4th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 11.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Why the model rates this top

Always Magic

James Ryan · Jack W Davison · 2yo

Top-rated of 12
score 55.5 · +12.4 clear of next best (43.1)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    22d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Ratings50% weight
    55average
    OR 83 — highest combined rating in the field
  • Trainer20% weight
    50small sample (n=5)
    Jack W Davison: 1/5 winners last 14d (20%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
  • Form20% weight
    39below average
    Last 6: 8-4-4
MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Dundalk (AW) 6f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–5)
IV 0.94
Mid (6–10)
IV 1.06
High (11–14)
IV 1.02

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 217 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
19
2yo · F · btFT T
——21.5
12/1·13.00
SP
22
J: Adam Caffrey · T: Adrian McGuinness · draw 1
2yo · G · ch
0
—12.0
50/1·51.00
SP
36
2yo · F · bbFT B
65445
8243.1
11/1·12.00
SP
43
J: James Ryan · T: Jack W Davison · draw 6
2yo · G · b
844
8355.5
11/1·12.00
SP
51
2yo · G · b
27
—22.2
3/1·4.00
SP
611
J: Andrew Slattery · T: A. Slattery · draw 7
2yo · F · ch
——16.5
28/1·29.00
SP
75
2yo · C · b
6
—15.5
11/2·6.50
SP
84
J: W. J. Lee · T: Robson De Aguiar · draw 2
2yo · G · b
0
—11.5
50/1·51.00
SP
912
2yo · F · b
5
—20.5
5/1·6.00
SP
107
J: Ben Coen · T: J. P. Murtagh · draw 12
2yo · F · b
3
—20.5
85/40F·3.12
SP
1113
J: Siobhan Rutledge · T: John McConnell · draw 8
2yo · F · b
6
—17.0
200/1·201.00
SP
1210
J: Robert Whearty · T: T G McCourt · draw 13
2yo · C · b
2
—25.6
25/1·26.00
SP
——
J: G. F. Carroll · T: Matthew J Smith · draw 5
2yo · G · b
——15.0—
——
2yo · F · b
9
—19.7—

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 18:00 Dundalk (AW) on 18 September 2026?

Value Pending (GB) won the 18:00 Dundalk (AW) at SP 13.00. Ridden by J M Sheridan. Trained by Joseph Patrick O'Brien.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 18:00 Dundalk (AW)?

No — the AI top pick (Always Magic) finished 4.

What were the placings in the 18:00 Dundalk (AW)?

Top finishers: 1. Value Pending (GB) (13.00), 2. Thumama Glory (IRE) (51.00), 3. Arrowstock (IRE) (12.00).

What was the winning time for the 18:00 Dundalk (AW)?

The winning time was 1m 13.66s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org