Who won the 19:30 Dundalk (AW) on 18 September 2026?
Kilcrea Rock (IRE) won the 19:30 Dundalk (AW) at SP 5.00. Ridden by Shay Wallace. Trained by Joseph Patrick O'Brien.
19:30 Dundalk (AW)
IrelandStart Your Racing TV Free Trial Now Apprentice Handicap
1m4f · Flat · Standard · 10 runners · €9,000 · Friday, 18 September 2026
Result
AI top pick placed 2ndRace report
- 1stKilcrea Rock (IRE)Shay Wallace·Joseph Patrick O'Brien4/1·5.00SP
- 2ndMerlin The Wizard (GB)AI top pick · 57.5Julian Pietropaolo·R P Cody·beaten 1.25 lengths5/1·6.00SP
- 3rdDirect Approach (IRE)Conor Cusack·Gordon Elliott·beaten 3.75 lengths33/1·34.00SP
Race time
2m 33.39s
Race time recorded.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 5.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Pavilion End
Pavilion End is preferred here on the strength of a progressive profile and a fitness edge that tips the balance in a competitive eleven-runner contest over twelve furlongs on the Dundalk polytrack, despite sitting a few pounds below the top three on ratings. Kilcrea Rock heads those standings narrowly and cannot be dismissed, while Diamond Exchange and Merlin The Wizard are dangers if either runs to their recent ceiling. The selection's trajectory suggests there is more to come, and that upward curve makes Pavilion End the call.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Merlin The Wizard
Julian Pietropaolo(2) · R P Cody · 6yo
Top-rated of 10
score 57.5 · +5.1 clear of next best (52.4)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight100very strong18d since last run (race-fit window)
- Trainer20% weight83small sample (n=3)R P Cody: 1/3 winners last 14d (33%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
- Ratings50% weight49below averageOR 74
- Form20% weight32weakLast 6: 1-1-9-6-5-6
MarketNo market price available yet.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Dundalk (AW) 1m4f
full course data →No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.
Low (1–4)
IV 0.89
Mid (5–8)
IV 1.09
High (9–11)
IV 1.04
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 270 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | J: Shay Wallace(7) · T: Joseph Patrick O'Brien · draw 7 4yo · G · btv | 32516 | 80 | 52.4 | 4/1·5.00 SP |
| 2 | 4 | J: Julian Pietropaolo(2) · T: R P Cody · draw 2 6yo · G · b | 119656 | 74 | 57.5 | 5/1·6.00 SP |
| 3 | 10 | J: Conor Cusack(7) · T: Gordon Elliott · draw 6 4yo · G · b | 792 | 69 | 50.2 | 33/1·34.00 SP |
| 4 | 1 | J: Darragh O'Sullivan(4) · T: Mrs J. Harrington · draw 8 4yo · F · bp | 187518 | 80 | 49.2 | 12/1·13.00 SP |
| 5 | 8 | J: Jamie Orr(7) · T: William Durkan · draw 3 7yo · G · chtb | 47538 | 73 | 36.9 | 33/1·34.00 SP |
| 6 | 7 | J: Jack Cleary · T: Shane Crawley · draw 9 6yo · M · btp | 230080 | 73 | 33.7 | 22/1·23.00 SP |
| 7 | 3 | J: Adam Grant(7) · T: Henry de Bromhead · draw 10 5yo · G · bt | 28892 | 77 | 50.4 | 4/1·5.00 SP |
| 8 | 9 | J: Sadhbh Tormey(7) · T: T G McCourt · draw 5 5yo · G · b | 147327 | 69 | 40.6 | 13/2·7.50 SP |
| 9 | 5 | J: Sam Coen · T: Charles O'Brien · draw 4 6yo · G · ch | 900233 | 74 | 42.5 | 11/4F·3.75 SP |
| 10 | 6 | J: Reese Holohan(2) · T: Mark Fahey · draw 1 6yo · G · chtp | 207905 | 73 | 37.5 | 12/1·13.00 SP |
| — | — | J: Jimmy Dalton(7) · T: Matthew J Smith · draw 11 9yo · G · bt | 00868 | 67 | 34.5 | — |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 19:30 Dundalk (AW)?
No — the AI top pick (Merlin The Wizard) finished 2.
What were the placings in the 19:30 Dundalk (AW)?
Top finishers: 1. Kilcrea Rock (IRE) (5.00), 2. Merlin The Wizard (GB) (6.00), 3. Direct Approach (IRE) (34.00).
What was the winning time for the 19:30 Dundalk (AW)?
The winning time was 2m 33.39s.
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