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15:05 Ayr

Ladbrokes 'New Customers Get 50/1 Old Firm Offer' Firth Of Clyde (For The Ayrshire Agricultural Challenge Cup) (Group 3)

6f · Flat · Class 1 · Heavy · 5 runners · £42,532 · Saturday, 19 September 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick was a non-runner
  1. 1st
    Silent Beauty (IRE)
    David Egan·Kevin Philippart de Foy
    8/11F·1.73
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Ruby Moon (IRE)
    Oisin Orr·Richard & Peter Fahey·beaten 1.75 lengths
    11/2·6.50
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Angel In My Heart (IRE)
    M. P. Sheehy·Adrian Keatley·beaten 0.2 lengths
    16/1·17.00
    SP
Race time
1m 18.15s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Silent Beauty (IRE))

“Sat close behind pacesetter - hit front with authority 2f out then pushed along inside final furlong - stayed on strongly to score”

Settled · 1pt level stake = 0.73 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Each-way64.2/100 rating
Starburster
10.00Hollywood Bets
Place portion settles at 2.80 · 1/5 odds · 3 places

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Ruby Moon

Ruby Moon arrives here on a progressive profile that sets her apart from the top-rated Dark Issue, who holds a narrow one-pound edge on ratings alone, and the argument is that a filly still moving in the right direction on soft ground over six furlongs at Ayr has more to offer than that slender gap suggests. Dark Issue and Silent Beauty, rated level at 93, are the most obvious threats, with Angels Passing also meriting respect at 91, but Ruby Moon's upward trajectory makes her the preferred call in a competitive nine-runner field. Ruby Moon is our selection.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Starburster

Saffie Osborne · Richard Spencer · 2yo

Top-rated of 9
score 64.2 · +0.2 clear of next best (64.0)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    24d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Form20% weight
    82very strong
    Last 6: 4-1
  • Ratings50% weight
    55average
    OR 82
  • Trainer20% weight
    53average
    Richard Spencer: 6/28 winners last 14d (21%)
MarketBest price 10.00 (Hollywood Bets) · 5th in the market of 9.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Ayr 6f

full course data →

Moderate: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.24).

Low (1–3)
IV 1.24
Mid (4–6)
IV 0.98
High (7–9)
IV 0.75

Today: Etonnante (draw 3) and Ruby Moon (draw 1) get the bias; Starburster (draw 9) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 122 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
17
2yo · F · b
101
9755.7
8/11F·1.73
SP
26
J: Oisin Orr · T: Richard & Peter Fahey · draw 1
2yo · F · b
149
9550.6
11/2·6.50
SP
31
J: M. P. Sheehy · T: Adrian Keatley · draw 5
2yo · F · b
4122
7752.0
16/1·17.00
SP
43
J: Tom Marquand · T: Richard Hannon · draw 4
2yo · F · gr
1482
9755.0
4/1·5.00
SP
54
J: Clifford Lee · T: K. R. Burke · draw 3
2yo · F · gr
171
9264.0
15/2·8.50
SP
——
J: Sam James · T: K. R. Burke · draw 6
2yo · F · b
3316
8154.2—
——
J: Saffie Osborne · T: Richard Spencer · draw 9
2yo · F · b
41
8264.2—
——
J: Kevin Stott · T: Kevin Ryan · draw 2
2yo · F · b
410
8749.2—
——
J: Tom Eaves · T: Kevin Ryan · draw 8
2yo · F · ch
32325
8753.9—

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 15:05 Ayr on 19 September 2026?

Silent Beauty (IRE) won the 15:05 Ayr at SP 1.73. Ridden by David Egan. Trained by Kevin Philippart de Foy.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 15:05 Ayr?

No — the AI top pick (Starburster) was a non-runner or unplaced.

What were the placings in the 15:05 Ayr?

Top finishers: 1. Silent Beauty (IRE) (1.73), 2. Ruby Moon (IRE) (6.50), 3. Angel In My Heart (IRE) (17.00).

What was the winning time for the 15:05 Ayr?

The winning time was 1m 18.15s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org