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17:12 Navan

Ireland

BAR 1 Betting 'Best Odds Guaranteed Overnight' Flat Race

2m · Flat · Good · 13 runners · €6,601 · Saturday, 19 September 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 6th
  1. 1st
    Double Helix (IRE)
    Mr P W Mullins·Charles Weld
    12/1·13.00
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Sharbel (IRE)
    Mr Derek O'Connor·Peter Fahey·beaten 0.3 lengths
    8/1·9.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    El Paraiso (GB)
    Mr J L Gleeson·Henry de Bromhead·beaten .75 lengths
    6/5F·2.20
    SP
Race time
3m 39.50s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Double Helix (IRE))

“Held up towards back of the pack - began to make progress 3f out - urged into 4th spot 2f out - hit front 1f out drifting left approaching the line - kept responding to the whip to prevail”

AI top-rated Walkwithmyfriend (score 29.0) finished 6th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 12.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Each-way29.0/100 rating
Walkwithmyfriend
7.80Matchbook

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Sierra's Dream

Sierra's Dream holds a clear edge over the rated rivals in this competitive fifteen-runner staying contest at Navan on good ground, sitting narrowly ahead of Sharbel and Rocky Alfonso at the top of the form assessments, with Emergency Man a further cut below. The unrated runners introduce genuine uncertainty over two miles, and any one of them could outrun their unknown standing, which tempers confidence in the selection. Sharbel and Rocky Alfonso are the most credible threats among those we can assess, and Emergency Man should not be dismissed lightly either. Sierra's Dream is our selection.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Walkwithmyfriend

Mr S Cotter(7) · J W Kenny · 4yo

Top-rated of 15
score 29.0 · +1.5 clear of next best (27.5)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    16d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Trainer20% weight
    50no sample
    J W Kenny — no runners last 14 days — too few recent runs to judge the yard
  • Form20% weight
    45below average
    Last 6: 4-4
  • Ratings50% weight
    0weak
    no Racing Post ratings on file
MarketBest price 7.80 (Matchbook) · 4th in the market of 15.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Navan 2m

full course data →

Sample too small to call at this course and trip.

low
IV 0.88
middle
IV 0.94
high
IV 1.19

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 38 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
12
J: Mr P W Mullins · T: Charles Weld · draw 0
4yo · G · b
——23.5
12/1·13.00
SP
29
J: Mr Derek O'Connor · T: Peter Fahey · draw 0
4yo · G · b
6
—12.5
8/1·9.00
SP
33
4yo · G · b
——24.5
6/5F·2.20
SP
47
4yo · G · b
——22.0
66/1·67.00
SP
58
J: Mr D Doyle(7) · T: S Curling · draw 0
4yo · G · b
4
—27.5
11/2·6.50
SP
610
J: Mr S Cotter(7) · T: J W Kenny · draw 0
4yo · G · b
44
—29.0
12/1·13.00
SP
715
4yo · F · b
——22.0
66/1·67.00
SP
814
J: Mr Finn Buckley(7) · T: T G McCourt · draw 0
4yo · F · b
4
—17.5
28/1·29.00
SP
91
J: Mr D G Lavery · T: Gavin Cromwell · draw 0
4yo · G · baybrown
——15.0
18/1·19.00
SP
1012
J: Mr L P Shanahan(7) · T: T M Walsh · draw 0
4yo · F · b
7
—13.0
100/1·101.00
SP
114
J: Mr B T Stone(7) · T: Paul Nolan · draw 0
4yo · G · b
23
—23.2
7/2·4.50
SP
1213
J: Miss A B O'Connor · T: Peter Fahey · draw 0
4yo · F · baybrown
4
—15.5
40/1·41.00
SP
136
J: Mr B Doyle Murphy(7) · T: Liz Doyle · draw 0
4yo · G · b
——15.0
66/1·67.00
SP
——
J: Mr H C Swan · T: Gordon Elliott · draw 0
4yo · F · br
——23.5—
——
J: Mr A P Ryan(5) · T: A. Slattery · draw 0
4yo · G · br
0
—10.0—

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 17:12 Navan on 19 September 2026?

Double Helix (IRE) won the 17:12 Navan at SP 13.00. Ridden by Mr P W Mullins. Trained by Charles Weld.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 17:12 Navan?

No — the AI top pick (Walkwithmyfriend) finished 6.

What were the placings in the 17:12 Navan?

Top finishers: 1. Double Helix (IRE) (13.00), 2. Sharbel (IRE) (9.00), 3. El Paraiso (GB) (2.20).

What was the winning time for the 17:12 Navan?

The winning time was 3m 39.50s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org