Who won the 16:47 Leicester on 21 September 2026?
Island Bear (IRE) won the 16:47 Leicester at SP 7.00. Ridden by Billy Loughnane. Trained by Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole.
16:47 Leicester
Fireworks Festival 7th November 2026 - Book Now Handicap Stakes
1m · Flat · Class 4 · Good · 13 runners · £5,234 · Monday, 21 September 2026
Result
AI top pick finished 12thRace report
- 1stIsland Bear (IRE)Billy Loughnane·Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole6/1·7.00SP
- 2ndTamzan (GB)Rob Hornby·Marcus Tregoning·beaten .5 lengths9/1·10.00SP
- 3rdDovey Moon (GB)P. J. McDonald·David Evans·beaten 2.75 lengths17/2·9.50SP
Race time
1m 43.24s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Island Bear (IRE))
“Settled just behind pace - made progress two out - pushed along a furlong out - powered clear late to score”
AI top-rated Burdett Estate (score 55.6) finished 12th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 125.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Other selections
Head-to-head dashboard →Each-way49.8/100 rating
Tamzan
14.00Betfair Exchange
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Bearin Up
Bearin Up sits narrowly behind the top-rated Metallo on these figures yet holds a progressive profile and a fitness edge that make the gap look smaller than it appears on paper, and on good-to-firm ground over this mile trip at Leicester the conditions look to suit a horse continuing to develop. Metallo heads the ratings and cannot be dismissed lightly, while Magnatura and Breakdancer, both three points behind the top-rated, add further depth to the dangers in what is a competitive Class 4 affair. The selection confidence is modest given the quality arrayed against our pick, but the upward trajectory and sharpness in condition tip the balance. Bearin Up is the selection.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Burdett Estate
Duran Fentiman · Brian Toomey · 3yo
Top-rated of 14
score 55.6 · +3.9 clear of next best (51.6)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight100very strong14d since last run (race-fit window)
- Trainer20% weight63small sample (n=4)Brian Toomey: 1/4 winners last 14d (25%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
- Ratings50% weight52averageOR 78
- Form20% weight35below averageLast 6: 3-1-3-7-9
MarketBest price 230.00 (Matchbook) · 13th in the market of 14.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Leicester 1m
full course data →Moderate: middle favoured (IV 1.17).
Low (1–5)
IV 1.03
Mid (6–10)
IV 1.17
High (11–14)
IV 0.81
Today: Burdett Estate (draw 6) and Breakdancer (draw 9) get the bias; Trio (draw 12) is in the least-favoured band.
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 148 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | J: Billy Loughnane · T: Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole · draw 10 3yo · G · bb | 754645 | 73 | 42.0 | 6/1·7.00 SP |
| 2 | 13 | J: Rob Hornby · T: Marcus Tregoning · draw 7 3yo · F · b | 341313 | 75 | 49.8 | 9/1·10.00 SP |
| 3 | 9 | J: P. J. McDonald · T: David Evans · draw 3 4yo · G · b | 710356 | 73 | 47.2 | 17/2·9.50 SP |
| 4 | 1 | J: Mason Paetel(3) · T: Simon & Ed Crisford · draw 9 4yo · G · b | 258436 | 82 | 51.6 | 10/1·11.00 SP |
| 5 | 8 | J: Sean Kirrane · T: Tim Easterby · draw 2 3yo · F · b | 512503 | 77 | 49.7 | 3/1F·4.00 SP |
| 6 | 12 | J: Kieran Shoemark · T: Tom Ward · draw 4 3yo · G · bbFT B | 40305 | 75 | 43.0 | 11/2·6.50 SP |
| 7 | 5 | J: Cieren Fallon · T: Hugo Palmer · draw 1 3yo · G · chv | 915174 | 79 | 49.8 | 7/1·8.00 SP |
| 8 | 7 | J: Charles Bishop · T: Eve Johnson Houghton · draw 12 3yo · F · b | 571145 | 78 | 50.1 | 12/1·13.00 SP |
| 9 | 11 | J: Molly Gunn(5) · T: Tony Carroll · draw 8 6yo · G · b | 523240 | 71 | 43.8 | 100/1·101.00 SP |
| 10 | 10 | J: Silvestre De Sousa · T: Charlie Johnston · draw 14 3yo · G · bp | 439429 | 76 | 48.4 | 8/1·9.00 SP |
| 11 | 2 | J: Stevie Donohoe · T: Saeed bin Suroor · draw 5 5yo · G · b | 1300 | 81 | 35.9 | 10/1·11.00 SP |
| 12 | 6 | J: Duran Fentiman · T: Brian Toomey · draw 6 3yo · G · b | 31379 | 78 | 55.6 | 125/1·126.00 SP |
| PU | 3 | J: William Carson · T: Adam Kirby · draw 11 4yo · G · b | 01450 | 79 | 43.9 | 66/1·67.00 SP |
| — | — | J: David Egan · T: John Butler · draw 13 5yo · G · b | 464402 | 76 | 46.6 | — |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:47 Leicester?
No — the AI top pick (Burdett Estate) finished 12.
What were the placings in the 16:47 Leicester?
Top finishers: 1. Island Bear (IRE) (7.00), 2. Tamzan (GB) (10.00), 3. Dovey Moon (GB) (9.50).
What was the winning time for the 16:47 Leicester?
The winning time was 1m 43.24s.
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