Who won the 16:30 Hamilton on 21 September 2026?
Belsito (GER) won the 16:30 Hamilton at SP 8.00. Ridden by Kevin Stott. Trained by Kevin Ryan.
16:30 Hamilton
Get Closer With A Racingtv Free Trial Handicap Stakes
6f · Flat · Class 4 · Soft · 8 runners · £5,286 · Monday, 21 September 2026
Result
AI top pick placed 2ndRace report
- 1stBelsito (GER)Kevin Stott·Kevin Ryan7/1·8.00SP
- 2ndCity Captain (GB)AI top pick · 56.4Daniel Tudhope·Harriet Bethell·beaten 0.2 lengths6/5F·2.20SP
- 3rdAbduction (FR)Jake Dickson·Jim Goldie·beaten 4.25 lengths10/1·11.00SP
Race time
1m 13.23s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Belsito (GER))
“Set the pace early - pushed along and lost front spot approaching final furlong - rallied to regain advantage close home and held on well for the win”
Settled · 1pt level stake = 1.20 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Other selections
Head-to-head dashboard →Each-way50.3/100 rating
Belsito
9.60Smarkets
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Roberto Caro
Roberto Caro heads this competitive Class 4 sprint at Hamilton level with City Captain on the ratings, and the soft ground over six furlongs looks well suited to his profile, though the assessments split them by nothing at all. City Captain is the most obvious threat, rated level, so the pair may well fight this out, while Azure Zain, just a pound below, and Abduction cannot be dismissed if either improves on recent form. The confidence here is measured rather than absolute, but Roberto Caro's place at the head of the assessments makes him the most logical call in a race where margins between the principals are slim. Roberto Caro is our selection.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
City Captain
Daniel Tudhope · Harriet Bethell · 4yo
Top-rated of 8
score 56.4 · +5.7 clear of next best (50.7)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight85very strong31d since last run (fresh)
- Form20% weight70strongLast 6: 1-6-2-4-1
- Ratings50% weight55averageOR 82 — highest combined rating in the field
- Trainer20% weight33small sample (n=8)Harriet Bethell: 1/8 winners last 14d (13%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
MarketBest price 2.50 (Betfair Exchange) · market favourite.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Hamilton 6f
full course data →Moderate: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.19).
Low (1–3)
IV 1.19
Mid (4–6)
IV 1.00
High (7–8)
IV 0.79
Today: Abduction (draw 3) and Azure Zain (draw 1) get the bias; City Captain (draw 8) is in the least-favoured band.
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 163 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | J: Kevin Stott · T: Kevin Ryan · draw 7 6yo · G · bp | 04132 | 77 | 50.3 | 7/1·8.00 SP |
| 2 | 1 | J: Daniel Tudhope · T: Harriet Bethell · draw 8 4yo · G · b | 16241 | 82 | 56.4 | 6/5F·2.20 SP |
| 3 | 5 | J: Jake Dickson(5) · T: Jim Goldie · draw 3 8yo · G · b | 733324 | 74 | 49.2 | 10/1·11.00 SP |
| 4 | 4 | J: M. P. Sheehy · T: Adrian Keatley · draw 4 5yo · G · bt | 430007 | 76 | 42.8 | 11/1·12.00 SP |
| 5 | 3 | J: Oliver Stammers · T: Grant Tuer · draw 6 4yo · G · b | 212621 | 77 | 50.7 | 4/1·5.00 SP |
| 6 | 7 | J: David Allan · T: Tim Easterby · draw 5 4yo · G · btp | 239150 | 73 | 45.1 | 22/1·23.00 SP |
| 7 | 6 | J: Warren Fentiman(3) · T: Richard & Peter Fahey · draw 1 4yo · G · b | 01663 | 74 | 47.7 | 6/1·7.00 SP |
| 8 | 8 | J: Paul Mulrennan · T: Jim Goldie · draw 2 4yo · G · b | 001556 | 70 | 44.4 | 22/1·23.00 SP |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:30 Hamilton?
No — the AI top pick (City Captain) finished 2.
What were the placings in the 16:30 Hamilton?
Top finishers: 1. Belsito (GER) (8.00), 2. City Captain (GB) (2.20), 3. Abduction (FR) (11.00).
What was the winning time for the 16:30 Hamilton?
The winning time was 1m 13.23s.
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