Who won the 17:57 Fairyhouse on 21 September 2026?
Big Negotiator (GB) won the 17:57 Fairyhouse at SP 3.25. Ridden by W. J. Lee. Trained by P. Twomey.
17:57 Fairyhouse
IrelandCastlebridge Consignment Blenheim Stakes (Listed)
6f · Flat · Class 1 · Good · 10 runners · €30,000 · Monday, 21 September 2026
Result
AI top pick wonat SP 9/4·3.25Race report
- 1stBig Negotiator (GB)AI top pick · 67.8W. J. Lee·P. Twomey9/4·3.25SP
- 2ndLivenka (GB)Colin Keane·G. M. Lyons·beaten .5 lengths1/1F·2.00SP
- 3rdNail House (IRE)J M Sheridan·Joseph Patrick O'Brien·beaten .5 lengths9/1·10.00SP
Race time
1m 11.96s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Big Negotiator (GB))
“Settled behind pace early - still second at halfway - driven up to dispute inside final 2f - edged clear right on the line”
Settled · 1pt level stake = 2.25 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Other selections
Head-to-head dashboard →Each-way58.5/100 rating
Nail House
13.50Matchbook
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Where Love Lives
Where Love Lives arrives here on a progressive profile with the clock backing up what the form suggests, making a compelling case that the bare pound separating her from the top-rated The Scallionator understates her current trajectory. The Scallionator and Big Negotiator are obvious dangers in a competitive six-furlong heat at Fairyhouse, while Marco Polo, though rated seven pounds below our selection, cannot be ignored in a field of eleven on good ground. On balance, the progressive profile and strong clock figures tip the scales in her favour, and Where Love Lives is the selection.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Big Negotiator
W. J. Lee · P. Twomey · 2yo
Top-rated of 11
score 67.8 · +1.6 clear of next best (66.2)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight85very strong32d since last run (fresh)
- Trainer20% weight83small sample (n=9)P. Twomey: 3/9 winners last 14d (33%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
- Ratings50% weight67strongOR 101
- Form20% weight46below averageLast 6: 2-1-0-4-1-0
MarketBest price 4.00 (BetTom) · 2nd in the market of 11.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Fairyhouse 6f
full course data →Moderate: high (outside) favoured (IV 1.10).
Low (1–4)
IV 1.08
Mid (5–8)
IV 0.81
High (9–11)
IV 1.10
Today: The Scallionator (draw 11) and Fighting Tears (draw 9) get the bias; Lars Soldier (draw 5) is in the least-favoured band.
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 47 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 2yo · F · bv | 210410 | 101 | 67.8 | 9/4·3.25 SP |
| 2 | 10 | J: Colin Keane · T: G. M. Lyons · draw 1 2yo · F · b | 33114 | 105 | 66.2 | 1/1F·2.00 SP |
| 3 | 4 | J: J M Sheridan · T: Joseph Patrick O'Brien · draw 2 2yo · C · ch | 136 | 98 | 58.5 | 9/1·10.00 SP |
| 4 | 11 | J: Ben Coen · T: Rod Millman · draw 8 2yo · F · gr | 319 | 83 | 46.9 | 28/1·29.00 SP |
| 5 | 6 | J: Gavin Ryan · T: Donnacha Aidan O'Brien · draw 4 2yo · C · b | 11045 | 98 | 63.6 | 12/1·13.00 SP |
| 6 | 8 | J: R. P. Whelan · T: A Oliver · draw 9 2yo · F · b | 1 | — | 28.5 | 16/1·17.00 SP |
| 7 | 9 | J: Jamie Powell · T: M D O'Callaghan · draw 6 2yo · F · ch | — | — | 19.0 | 28/1·29.00 SP |
| 8 | 1 | J: Sam Coen · T: Diego Dias · draw 7 2yo · G · ch | — | — | 15.0 | 33/1·34.00 SP |
| 9 | 5 | J: Wesley Joyce · T: Michael Mulvany · draw 11 2yo · C · b | 210461 | 99 | 54.5 | 20/1·21.00 SP |
| 10 | 2 | J: Donagh O'Connor · T: Michael Mulvany · draw 5 2yo · G · b | 342551 | 87 | 54.4 | 50/1·51.00 SP |
| — | — | J: W. M. Lordan · T: Aidan O'Brien · draw 10 2yo · C · ch | 281 | — | 25.3 | — |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 17:57 Fairyhouse?
Yes — the AI top-rated horse, Big Negotiator, won the race (AI score 67.8).
What were the placings in the 17:57 Fairyhouse?
Top finishers: 1. Big Negotiator (GB) (3.25), 2. Livenka (GB) (2.00), 3. Nail House (IRE) (10.00).
What was the winning time for the 17:57 Fairyhouse?
The winning time was 1m 11.96s.
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