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RacingAlpha

20:00 Southwell (AW)

Free Bets On attheraces.com Handicap Stakes

5f · Flat · Class 5 · Standard · 7 runners · £3,978 · Tuesday, 22 September 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 4th
  1. 1st
    Courageous Sioux (GB)
    Rossa Ryan·Clive Cox
    5/1·6.00
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Goyard (IRE)
    Oisin Murphy·David O'Meara·beaten .5 lengths
    4/1·5.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Hanney Girl (GB)
    Ryan Sexton·Tim Easterby·beaten 0.3 lengths
    12/1·13.00
    SP
Race time
57.71s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Courageous Sioux (GB))

“Held up towards the back - pushed along and finished full of running - hit the front inside the final furlong”

AI top-rated Managing Director (score 61.8) finished 4th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 0.83 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Other selections

Head-to-head dashboard →
Each-way54.0/100 rating
Courageous Sioux
7.20Betfair Exchange

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Hanney Girl

Hanney Girl rates narrowly ahead of the field on these figures and has the profile to make that edge count over five furlongs at Southwell (AW). Managing Director is the most obvious threat and deserves plenty of respect, with Rogue Bullet and Goyard also capable of making this competitive, so the selection cannot afford to be below her best. That said, the weight of evidence points to Hanney Girl coming out on top, and she is the call here.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Managing Director

P. J. McDonald · Geoff Oldroyd · 4yo

Top-rated of 7
score 61.8 · +7.8 clear of next best (54.0)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Trainer20% weight
    100small sample (n=2)
    Geoff Oldroyd: 1/2 winners last 14d (50%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    16d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Ratings50% weight
    49below average
    OR 73
  • Form20% weight
    37below average
    Last 6: 8-5-3-2-0
MarketBest price 2.02 (Betfair Exchange) · market favourite.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Southwell (AW) 5f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–3)
IV 1.09
Mid (4–5)
IV 0.96
High (6–7)
IV 0.94

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 436 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
16
Courageous Sioux
J: Rossa Ryan · T: Clive Cox · draw 3
3yo · F · br
51
7154.0
5/1·6.00
SP
22
Goyard
J: Oisin Murphy · T: David O'Meara · draw 1
4yo · G · bt
384576
7442.2
4/1·5.00
SP
35
Hanney Girl
J: Ryan Sexton · T: Tim Easterby · draw 7
3yo · F · bt
399442
7148.8
12/1·13.00
SP
43
Managing Director
J: P. J. McDonald · T: Geoff Oldroyd · draw 6
4yo · G · ch
85320
7361.8
5/6F·1.83
SP
54
Brazilian Belle
J: Sean Kirrane · T: Michael Dods · draw 2
4yo · F · b
31160
7244.0
22/1·23.00
SP
61
Rogue Bullet
J: Luke Morris · T: James Owen · draw 5
4yo · G · bp
514328
7549.5
14/1·15.00
SP
77
Dance of Angels
J: Nicola Currie · T: Henry Candy · draw 4
3yo · F · b
345
7037.8
18/1·19.00
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 20:00 Southwell (AW) on 22 September 2026?

Courageous Sioux (GB) won the 20:00 Southwell (AW) at SP 6.00. Ridden by Rossa Ryan. Trained by Clive Cox.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 20:00 Southwell (AW)?

No — the AI top pick (Managing Director) finished 4.

What were the placings in the 20:00 Southwell (AW)?

Top finishers: 1. Courageous Sioux (GB) (6.00), 2. Goyard (IRE) (5.00), 3. Hanney Girl (GB) (13.00).

What was the winning time for the 20:00 Southwell (AW)?

The winning time was 57.71s.

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