Who won the 14:25 Newmarket on 25 September 2026?
Pensando A Te (GB) won the 14:25 Newmarket at SP 8.50. Ridden by Silvestre De Sousa. Trained by Marco Botti.
14:25 Newmarket
FeatureBetway Rockfel Stakes (Group 2)
7f · Flat · Class 1 · Good · 9 runners · £70,888 · Friday, 25 September 2026
Result
AI top pick placed 2ndRace report
- 1stPensando A Te (GB)Silvestre De Sousa·Marco Botti15/2·8.50SP
- 2ndLight Of Dawn (GB)AI top pick · 68.2James Doyle·K. R. Burke·beaten 0.1 lengths5/2F·3.50SP
- 3rdRuby Moon (IRE)Oisin Orr·Richard & Peter Fahey·beaten 0.2 lengths16/1·17.00SP
Race time
1m 23.67s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Pensando A Te (GB))
“Fought for control early - settled towards back - pushed along 2f out - finished strongly to score close home”
Settled · 1pt level stake = 2.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Other selections
Head-to-head dashboard →Each-way66.5/100 rating
Miss Miniver
11.00Smarkets
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Light of Dawn
Light of Dawn holds a narrow edge on ratings over Ruby Moon and lines up in a competitive nine-runner Class 1 at Newmarket over seven furlongs on good ground, where her form entitles her to plenty of respect. Ruby Moon is the obvious threat and will need to be watched throughout, while Speed of Sound and Sugar Yes Please add further depth to the dangers in what is a testing heat. On balance, Light of Dawn's standing at the head of the field makes her the one to be with, and she is selected to justify that position.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Light of Dawn
James Doyle · K. R. Burke · 2yo
Top-rated of 10
score 68.2 · +1.6 clear of next best (66.5)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight100very strong26d since last run (race-fit window)
- Form20% weight80very strongLast 6: 1-3-3-1
- Ratings50% weight67strongOR 101 — above field median
- Trainer20% weight43below averageK. R. Burke: 11/65 winners last 14d (17%)
MarketBest price 4.00 (LiveScore Bet) · market favourite.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Newmarket 7f
full course data →No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.
Low (1–4)
IV 1.08
Mid (5–7)
IV 0.87
High (8–10)
IV 1.04
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 193 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | J: Silvestre De Sousa · T: Marco Botti · draw 3 2yo · F · bl | 21 | 86 | 60.7 | 15/2·8.50 SP |
| 2 | 1 | J: James Doyle · T: K. R. Burke · draw 4 2yo · F · b | 1331 | 101 | 68.2 | 5/2F·3.50 SP |
| 3 | 5 | J: Oisin Orr · T: Richard & Peter Fahey · draw 9 2yo · F · b | 1492 | 95 | 53.6 | 16/1·17.00 SP |
| 4 | 2 | J: William Buick · T: Roger Varian · draw 6 2yo · F · b | 21 | 84 | 66.5 | 17/2·9.50 SP |
| 5 | 8 | J: Saffie Osborne · T: Richard Spencer · draw 2 2yo · F · b | 32131 | 92 | 62.9 | 9/2·5.50 SP |
| 6 | 6 | J: Billy Loughnane · T: George Scott · draw 1 2yo · F · btFT T | 16 | 87 | 51.8 | 16/1·17.00 SP |
| 7 | 10 | J: Charles Bishop · T: Eve Johnson Houghton · draw 8 2yo · F · b | 411 | 102 | 62.2 | 15/2·8.50 SP |
| 8 | 9 | J: Colin Keane · T: John & Thady Gosden · draw 7 2yo · F · b | 11 | 88 | 66.3 | 4/1·5.00 SP |
| 9 | 4 | J: Oisin Murphy · T: Jennie Candlish · draw 10 2yo · F · ch | 118 | 79 | 57.8 | 80/1·81.00 SP |
| — | — | J: Kieran Shoemark · T: Ed Walker · draw 5 2yo · F · b | 414 | 94 | 58.5 | — |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 14:25 Newmarket?
No — the AI top pick (Light of Dawn) finished 2.
What were the placings in the 14:25 Newmarket?
Top finishers: 1. Pensando A Te (GB) (8.50), 2. Light Of Dawn (GB) (3.50), 3. Ruby Moon (IRE) (17.00).
What was the winning time for the 14:25 Newmarket?
The winning time was 1m 23.67s.
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