16:20 Curragh

Ireland

Goffs Million

7f · Flat · Yielding · 18 runners · €500,000 · Saturday, 26 September 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick wonat SP 9/4F·3.25

1st
Trean (IRE)AI top pick · 67.7
W. J. Lee·P. Twomey
9/4F·3.25
SP
2nd
Hi Corbett Court (IRE)
Siobhan Rutledge·P. Twomey·beaten .5 lengths
80/1·81.00
SP
3rd
Ballinea Star (IRE)
Donagh O'Connor·Robson De Aguiar·beaten .75 lengths
33/1·34.00
SP

Race time

1m 28.64s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Trean (IRE))

“Drifted left at the break - dropped towards the back of the field - still last of 16 with 2 1/2f to run - made progress through rivals inside the final furlong and a half - angled right entering the last furlong - rallied to hit the front late and won going away”

Settled · 1pt level stake = 2.25 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Other selections

Head-to-head dashboard →

Each-way64.4/100 rating

Green Dreamer

7.00Betfair Exchange

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party

Pundit pick: Trean

Trean heads this competitive 20-runner seven-furlong contest at the Curragh on good ground with a clear edge over the chasing pack, sitting narrowly ahead of King Of Cloughan and a few pounds clear of Carry The Flag and Dorigo, who represent the principal dangers in what looks a strong field. King Of Cloughan will push hardest and cannot be dismissed, while Carry The Flag and Dorigo add further depth to the opposition, but Trean's overall profile makes a compelling case for supremacy on this surface and trip. The selection is Trean.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Trean

W. J. Lee · P. Twomey · 2yo

Top-rated of 20

score 67.7 · +3.2 clear of next best (64.4)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Trainer20% weight
75strong
P. Twomey: 3/10 winners last 14d (30%)
Freshness10% weight
70strong
13d since last run (quick turnaround)
Ratings50% weight
69strong
OR 104 — above field median
Form20% weight
55average
Last 6: 3-0-1-3-4

MarketBest price 4.00 (Virgin Bet) · market favourite.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Curragh 7f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–7)

IV 0.96

Mid (8–14)

IV 0.99

High (15–20)

IV 1.04

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 211 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

Pos	No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	SP
1	12	Trean J: W. J. Lee · T: P. Twomey · draw 18 2yo · C · b	30134	9-05	104	—	—	67.7	9/4F·3.25 SP
2	6	Hi Corbett Court J: Siobhan Rutledge · T: P. Twomey · draw 19 2yo · C · gt	3051	9-05	86	—	—	63.2	80/1·81.00 SP
3	14	Ballinea Star J: Donagh O'Connor · T: Robson De Aguiar · draw 12 2yo · F · b	54114	9-00	100	—	—	59.3	33/1·34.00 SP
4	15	Bayside View J: Ben Coen · T: Michael Bell · draw 13 2yo · F · b	2126	9-00	93	—	—	55.8	17/2·9.50 SP
5	8	My Lucky Journey J: Seamie Heffernan · T: J A Stack · draw 15 2yo · C · b	45	9-05	—	—	—	15.5	20/1·21.00 SP
6	7	King Of Cloughan J: J M Sheridan · T: Joseph Patrick O'Brien · draw 20 2yo · C · b	42128	9-05	102	—	—	63.5	11/1·12.00 SP
7	5	Green Dreamer J: Declan McDonogh · T: Joseph Patrick O'Brien · draw 6 2yo · C · b	5135	9-05	103	—	—	64.4	9/2·5.50 SP
8	4	Dorigo J: Kevin Stott · T: Kevin Ryan · draw 9 2yo · C · b	27243	9-05	95	—	—	58.1	7/2·4.50 SP
9	3	Critical Reason J: Colin Keane · T: G. M. Lyons · draw 3 2yo · C · b	—	9-05	—	—	—	22.0	16/1·17.00 SP
10	17	Cashel Queen J: Chris Hayes · T: Donnacha Aidan O'Brien · draw 16 2yo · F · b	3241	9-00	80	—	—	60.7	40/1·41.00 SP
11	11	Thomas Chippendale J: Jack Cleary · T: Aidan O'Brien · draw 17 2yo · C · b	36	9-05	—	—	—	20.7	66/1·67.00 SP
12	18	Eyeconic J: Gavin Ryan · T: J A Stack · draw 4 2yo · F · b	04	9-00	—	—	—	16.0	200/1·201.00 SP
13	10	Nobelos J: Rob Hornby · T: Charles Hills · draw 11 2yo · C · b	41	9-05	81	—	—	56.3	66/1·67.00 SP
14	9	Nation Blaze J: Andrew Slattery · T: A. Slattery · draw 7 2yo · G · ch	982	9-05	—	—	—	22.7	150/1·151.00 SP
15	1	Blessed Voyager J: G. F. Carroll · T: Ralph Beckett · draw 8 2yo · C · b	122	9-05	88	—	—	60.2	28/1·29.00 SP
16	2	Carry The Flag J: W. M. Lordan · T: Aidan O'Brien · draw 10 2yo · C · b	917420	9-05	110	—	—	60.0	17/2·9.50 SP
17	16	Be In Love J: R. P. Whelan · T: Aidan O'Brien · draw 14 2yo · F · b	5	9-00	—	—	—	18.5	28/1·29.00 SP
18	20	Roeillaun J: Adam Caffrey · T: Noel Meade · draw 1 2yo · F · ch	67231	9-00	84	—	—	53.6	150/1·151.00 SP
—	—	Waasil J: Sam James · T: K. R. Burke · draw 2 2yo · C · b	4113	9-05	87	—	—	64.2	—
—	—	Love Is J: Finley Marsh · T: Richard Hughes · draw 5 2yo · F · b	12064	9-00	89	—	—	52.1	—

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 16:20 Curragh on 26 September 2026?

Trean (IRE) won the 16:20 Curragh at SP 3.25. Ridden by W. J. Lee. Trained by P. Twomey.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:20 Curragh?

Yes — the AI top-rated horse, Trean, won the race (AI score 67.7).

What were the placings in the 16:20 Curragh?

Top finishers: 1. Trean (IRE) (3.25), 2. Hi Corbett Court (IRE) (81.00), 3. Ballinea Star (IRE) (34.00).

What was the winning time for the 16:20 Curragh?

The winning time was 1m 28.64s.

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