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Next · 22m19:30Wolverhampton (AW)

Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap Stakes

1m6f · Flat · Class 6 · Standard · 10 runners · £3,245 · Monday, 28 September 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick wonat SP 11/10F·2.10
  1. 1st
    Zafaan (IRE)AI top pick · 52.4
    Billy Loughnane·Charlie Clover
    11/10F·2.10
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Long Reign (GB)
    Tyler Heard·Marcus Tregoning·beaten 2.25 lengths
    9/1·10.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Late Claim (FR)
    Finlay Bassett·John Mackie·beaten 3 lengths
    14/1·15.00
    SP
Race time
3m 3.85s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Zafaan (IRE))

“Settled in the pack - pushed along and made progress 2f out - hit the front inside the final furlong - stayed on comfortably to score”

Settled · 1pt level stake = 1.10 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Each-way37.7/100 rating
Lednikov
13.50Smarkets

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Trojan Truth

Trojan Truth heads this ten-runner Wolverhampton staying contest on the all-weather with a clear advantage over the rest of the field on performance ratings, sitting narrowly ahead of the chasing pack led by Baileys Warrior and Dijon Gone, who are joined by Wonderful Wendy as the chief threats to his supremacy over this fourteen-furlong trip. The step up in distance looks a potential asset for a horse of his profile, and provided he reproduces his best form on the Tapeta surface, the selection should have enough in hand to see off a competitive enough lower-card field. Trojan Truth is the pick.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Zafaan

Billy Loughnane · Charlie Clover · 6yo

Top-rated of 10
score 52.4 · +8.7 clear of next best (43.8)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    24d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Trainer20% weight
    83small sample (n=6)
    Charlie Clover: 2/6 winners last 14d (33%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
  • Form20% weight
    48below average
    Last 6: 5-5-1-4-5
  • Ratings50% weight
    33weak
    OR 49
MarketBest price 2.38 (Unibet) · market favourite.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Wolverhampton (AW) 1m6f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–4)
IV 0.89
Mid (5–7)
IV 1.11
High (8–10)
IV 1.02

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 125 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
14
J: Billy Loughnane · T: Charlie Clover · draw 7
6yo · G · bhp
55145
4952.4
11/10F·2.10
SP
210
J: Tyler Heard · T: Marcus Tregoning · draw 8
3yo · G · bpFT P
0977
4930.7
9/1·10.00
SP
38
J: Finlay Bassett(7) · T: John Mackie · draw 5
5yo · M · brtp
643786
4627.3
14/1·15.00
SP
49
J: George Bass · T: Denis Coakley · draw 6
3yo · F · bp
087626
5032.9
9/1·10.00
SP
53
J: Joe Leavy · T: James Evans · draw 9
4yo · F · b
56254
4932.0
17/2·9.50
SP
61
J: Luke Morris · T: Ed de Giles · draw 3
7yo · G · bb
632535
5534.6
15/2·8.50
SP
72
J: Elle-May Croot(5) · T: Ivan Furtado · draw 2
8yo · G · bb
557435
5037.7
9/1·10.00
SP
86
J: Marco Ghiani · T: Stuart Williams · draw 1
3yo · F · btFT T
06067
5435.1
18/1·19.00
SP
95
J: Robert Havlin · T: Thomas Faulkner · draw 10
8yo · M · b
00036
4829.0
25/1·26.00
SP
107
9yo · G · bv
428325
4643.8
25/1·26.00
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 19:00 Wolverhampton (AW) on 28 September 2026?

Zafaan (IRE) won the 19:00 Wolverhampton (AW) at SP 2.10. Ridden by Billy Loughnane. Trained by Charlie Clover.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 19:00 Wolverhampton (AW)?

Yes — the AI top-rated horse, Zafaan, won the race (AI score 52.4).

What were the placings in the 19:00 Wolverhampton (AW)?

Top finishers: 1. Zafaan (IRE) (2.10), 2. Long Reign (GB) (10.00), 3. Late Claim (FR) (15.00).

What was the winning time for the 19:00 Wolverhampton (AW)?

The winning time was 3m 3.85s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org