13:30 Curragh

Ireland

Market Square Monasterevin Irish EBF Maiden

6f · Flat · Yielding · 13 runners · €13,200 · Saturday, 26 September 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick wonat SP 100/30·4.33

1st
Controlla (IRE)AI top pick · 49.0
Donagh O'Connor·Robson De Aguiar
100/30·4.33
SP
2nd
Champion Basma (IRE)
Chris Hayes·E J O'Neill·beaten .5 lengths
80/1·81.00
SP
3rd
Katty (IRE)
Seamie Heffernan·Adrian Sexton·beaten .75 lengths
28/1·29.00
SP

Race time

1m 14.07s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Controlla (IRE))

“Drifted left at the break - soon in front by a whisker - stretched clear approaching final furlong - stayed on to the line though margin shrank at the finish”

Settled · 1pt level stake = 3.33 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Other selections

Head-to-head dashboard →

Each-way49.0/100 rating

Controlla

6.40Matchbook

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Why the model rates this top

Controlla

Donagh O'Connor · Robson De Aguiar · 2yo

Top-rated of 14

score 49.0 · +15.4 clear of next best (33.6)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Freshness10% weight
70strong
13d since last run (quick turnaround)
Ratings50% weight
64average
OR 96 — highest combined rating in the field
Trainer20% weight
25weak
Robson De Aguiar: 2/20 winners last 14d (10%)
Form20% weight
25weak
Last 6: 2-0-5-6

MarketBest price 6.40 (Matchbook) · market favourite.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Curragh 6f

full course data →

Moderate: high (outside) favoured (IV 1.12).

Low (1–5)

IV 1.03

Mid (6–10)

IV 0.84

High (11–14)

IV 1.12

Today: Controlla (draw 11) and Benown (draw 14) get the bias; Jungle Wise (draw 8) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 182 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

Pos	No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	SP
1	9	Controlla J: Donagh O'Connor · T: Robson De Aguiar · draw 11 2yo · F · g	2056	9-02	96	—	—	49.0	100/30·4.33 SP
2	3	Champion Basma J: Chris Hayes · T: E J O'Neill · draw 2 2yo · G · b	7	9-07	—	—	—	10.0	80/1·81.00 SP
3	11	Katty J: Seamie Heffernan · T: Adrian Sexton · draw 5 2yo · F · ch	88	9-02	—	—	—	10.5	28/1·29.00 SP
4	4	Heralds March J: Colin Keane · T: G. M. Lyons · draw 12 2yo · G · b	7	9-07	—	—	—	18.5	11/2·6.50 SP
5	14	Starlit J: Keithen Kennedy(5) · T: Mrs J. Harrington · draw 7 2yo · F · b	60	9-02	—	—	—	17.3	33/1·34.00 SP
6	6	Shake It Out J: R. P. Whelan · T: Kieran P Cotter · draw 10 2yo · G · b	—	9-07	—	—	—	15.0	50/1·51.00 SP
7	2	Benown J: J M Sheridan · T: Joseph Patrick O'Brien · draw 14 2yo · C · b	2	9-07	—	—	—	33.6	8/15F·1.53 SP
8	5	Jungle Wise J: Ben Coen · T: Daniel James Murphy · draw 8 2yo · G · b	2	9-07	—	—	—	25.6	10/1·11.00 SP
9	13	Royal Sovereign J: Wesley Joyce · T: Michael Mulvany · draw 3 2yo · F · b	—	9-02	—	—	—	15.0	66/1·67.00 SP
10	1	Ar Son Na Cuise J: Declan McDonogh · T: Joseph Patrick O'Brien · draw 13 2yo · G · b	006	9-07	—	—	—	21.5	250/1·251.00 SP
11	12	Moon Gypsy J: Rory Mulligan(5) · T: J G Burns · draw 9 2yo · F · baybrown	—	9-02	—	—	—	25.0	100/1·101.00 SP
12	10	Fen Phasee J: Rory Cleary · T: Sean Davis · draw 4 2yo · F · b	—	9-02	—	—	—	15.0	200/1·201.00 SP
13	8	Brageiro J: Luke McAteer · T: Ross O'Sullivan · draw 1 2yo · F · b	00	9-02	—	—	—	13.5	300/1·301.00 SP
—	—	Sonny Hayes J: W. J. Lee · T: Robson De Aguiar · draw 6 2yo · C · b	—	9-07	—	—	—	20.0	—

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 13:30 Curragh on 26 September 2026?

Controlla (IRE) won the 13:30 Curragh at SP 4.33. Ridden by Donagh O'Connor. Trained by Robson De Aguiar.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 13:30 Curragh?

Yes — the AI top-rated horse, Controlla, won the race (AI score 49.0).

What were the placings in the 13:30 Curragh?

Top finishers: 1. Controlla (IRE) (4.33), 2. Champion Basma (IRE) (81.00), 3. Katty (IRE) (29.00).

What was the winning time for the 13:30 Curragh?

The winning time was 1m 14.07s.

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