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RacingAlpha

17:25 Curragh

Ireland

Equiwinner Patches Fillies Maiden

1m1f · Flat · Good To Yielding · 17 runners · €12,000 · Saturday, 26 September 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 7th
  1. 1st
    Saxony Charms (IRE)
    G. F. Carroll·A Oliver
    9/2·5.50
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Sunatia (FR)
    Chris Hayes·D K Weld·beaten 2 lengths
    4/1·5.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Together Now (USA)
    R. P. Whelan·Aidan O'Brien·beaten 0.3 lengths
    6/4F·2.50
    SP
Race time
1m 54.74s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Saxony Charms (IRE))

“Quick away to command - lost front spot approaching 3f out - regained advantage inside 2f - pushed clear and stayed on strongly to the line”

AI top-rated Serendipia (score 57.0) finished 7th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 14.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Each-way55.2/100 rating
Sunatia
5.70Matchbook

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Why the model rates this top

Serendipia

W. J. Lee · W. McCreery · 3yo

Top-rated of 21
score 57.0 · +1.9 clear of next best (55.2)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    24d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Trainer20% weight
    73strong
    W. McCreery: 4/14 winners last 14d (29%)
  • Ratings50% weight
    48below average
    OR 72
  • Form20% weight
    43below average
    Last 6: 6-8-4-3-3-5
MarketBest price 20.00 (Betfair Exchange) · 10th in the market of 21.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Curragh 1m1f

full course data →

Moderate: middle favoured (IV 1.13).

Low (1–7)
IV 1.10
Mid (8–14)
IV 1.13
High (15–21)
IV 0.78

Today: Saxony Charms (draw 8) and Isthatrightkatie (draw 12) get the bias; Lookingforarainbow (draw 16) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 126 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
116
J: G. F. Carroll · T: A Oliver · draw 8
3yo · F · bb
3554
7542.8
9/2·5.50
SP
220
J: Chris Hayes · T: D K Weld · draw 6
3yo · F · b
022
7755.2
4/1·5.00
SP
321
J: R. P. Whelan · T: Aidan O'Brien · draw 19
3yo · F · cht
2
—25.6
6/4F·2.50
SP
415
3yo · F · b
233
7754.3
9/1·10.00
SP
55
J: W. M. Lordan · T: Aidan O'Brien · draw 4
3yo · F · bp
63634
7244.9
28/1·29.00
SP
69
3yo · F · bt
3475
8454.8
8/1·9.00
SP
717
J: W. J. Lee · T: W. McCreery · draw 1
3yo · F · b
684335
7257.0
14/1·15.00
SP
88
J: Nathan Crosse · T: Mrs J. Harrington · draw 5
3yo · F · b
43
—27.0
22/1·23.00
SP
912
J: Rory Cleary · T: Adrian McGuinness · draw 11
3yo · F · b
09
—7.8
300/1·301.00
SP
1010
J: Ben Coen · T: J. P. Murtagh · draw 13
3yo · F · b
0
—14.5
250/1·251.00
SP
111
J: Wesley Joyce · T: Miss Katy Brown · draw 12
6yo · M · b
8
—22.0
300/1·301.00
SP
1218
J: Adam Caffrey · T: D K Weld · draw 17
3yo · F · b
——21.5
50/1·51.00
SP
1319
J: Declan McDonogh · T: W. McCreery · draw 7
3yo · F · b
70
—25.5
125/1·126.00
SP
147
J: Colin Keane · T: John Joseph Murphy · draw 2
3yo · F · ch
8
—12.0
7/1·8.00
SP
152
J: Ghulam Abbas(7) · T: Patrick J Flynn · draw 9
6yo · M · br
06
—14.7
300/1·301.00
SP
163
J: James Ryan · T: Miss Katy Brown · draw 3
3yo · F · ch
9
—17.7
250/1·251.00
SP
174
J: Reese Holohan(7) · T: Mark Fahey · draw 10
3yo · F · b
7
—11.5
200/1·201.00
SP
——
J: Ben Coen · T: J. P. Murtagh · draw 20
3yo · F · b
7
—17.5—
——
3yo · F · b
33360
8548.2—
——
J: Jack Cleary(5) · T: Aidan O'Brien · draw 14
3yo · F · ch
——20.5—
——
3yo · F · b
3
—18.5—

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 17:25 Curragh on 26 September 2026?

Saxony Charms (IRE) won the 17:25 Curragh at SP 5.50. Ridden by G. F. Carroll. Trained by A Oliver.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 17:25 Curragh?

No — the AI top pick (Serendipia) finished 7.

What were the placings in the 17:25 Curragh?

Top finishers: 1. Saxony Charms (IRE) (5.50), 2. Sunatia (FR) (5.00), 3. Together Now (USA) (2.50).

What was the winning time for the 17:25 Curragh?

The winning time was 1m 54.74s.

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