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RacingAlpha

14:00 Curragh

Ireland

Izuzu Ireland Irish EBF Maiden

1m1f · Flat · Heavy · 9 runners · €13,200 · Sunday, 27 September 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick placed 2nd
  1. 1st
    Capability Brown (IRE)
    W. M. Lordan·Aidan O'Brien
    4/1·5.00
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Cluster (GB)AI top pick · 30.5
    Colin Keane·Joseph Patrick O'Brien·beaten 2.25 lengths
    2/1·3.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Warrawood (GB)
    Scott McCullagh·Daniel McLoughlin·beaten 5 lengths
    66/1·67.00
    SP
Race time
1m 59.46s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Capability Brown (IRE))

“Settled close up before hitting the front after a furlong and a half - driven onwards to open a two length advantage with a furlong remaining - stayed on strongly to the line”

Settled · 1pt level stake = 2.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Other selections

Head-to-head dashboard →
Each-way29.3/100 rating
Capability Brown
8.00Betfair Exchange

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Why the model rates this top

Cluster

Colin Keane · Joseph Patrick O'Brien · 2yo

Top-rated of 12
score 30.5 · +1.2 clear of next best (29.3)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    85very strong
    29d since last run (fresh)
  • Form20% weight
    60average
    Last 6: 3
  • Trainer20% weight
    50average
    Joseph Patrick O'Brien: 12/60 winners last 14d (20%)
  • Ratings50% weight
    0weak
    no Racing Post ratings on file
MarketBest price 3.40 (Smarkets) · 2nd in the market of 12.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Curragh 1m1f

full course data →

Moderate: middle favoured (IV 1.13).

Low (1–4)
IV 1.10
Mid (5–8)
IV 1.13
High (9–12)
IV 0.78

Today: Cluster (draw 6) and Breath Of Paradise (draw 8) get the bias; Kingdom Of Camelot (draw 12) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 126 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
13
Capability Brown
J: W. M. Lordan · T: Aidan O'Brien · draw 1
2yo · C · ch
63
—29.3
4/1·5.00
SP
24
Cluster
J: Colin Keane · T: Joseph Patrick O'Brien · draw 6
2yo · C · b
3
—30.5
2/1·3.00
SP
312
Warrawood
J: Scott McCullagh · T: Daniel McLoughlin · draw 11
2yo · C · b
——19.5
66/1·67.00
SP
48
Kingdom Of Camelot
J: Ryan Moore · T: Aidan O'Brien · draw 12
2yo · C · b
4
—27.5
5/6F·1.83
SP
56
Darivan
J: Ben Coen · T: J. P. Murtagh · draw 5
2yo · C · b
6
—15.0
20/1·21.00
SP
67
Greatest Knight
J: Jack Cleary(5) · T: Aidan O'Brien · draw 10
2yo · C · b
——25.0
28/1·29.00
SP
710
Silent Kingdom
J: W. J. Lee · T: Diego Dias · draw 2
2yo · C · b
——15.0
28/1·29.00
SP
89
Lumierebleu
J: Seamie Heffernan · T: J. P. Murtagh · draw 3
2yo · C · b
0
—13.0
150/1·151.00
SP
91
Alone All Alone
J: R. P. Whelan · T: E J O'Neill · draw 9
2yo · C · b
0
—7.0
200/1·201.00
SP
——
Come On Noddy
J: Wesley Joyce · T: Michael Mulvany · draw 4
2yo · G · b
90
—7.4—
——
Too Too Much
J: Jamie Powell · T: M D O'Callaghan · draw 7
2yo · C · b
——21.0—
——
Breath Of Paradise
J: Chris Hayes · T: Mrs J. Harrington · draw 8
2yo · C · b
43
—26.0—

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 14:00 Curragh on 27 September 2026?

Capability Brown (IRE) won the 14:00 Curragh at SP 5.00. Ridden by W. M. Lordan. Trained by Aidan O'Brien.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 14:00 Curragh?

No — the AI top pick (Cluster) finished 2.

What were the placings in the 14:00 Curragh?

Top finishers: 1. Capability Brown (IRE) (5.00), 2. Cluster (GB) (3.00), 3. Warrawood (GB) (67.00).

What was the winning time for the 14:00 Curragh?

The winning time was 1m 59.46s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org