Who won the 15:55 Roscommon on 28 September 2026?
Smallcraftwarning (IRE) won the 15:55 Roscommon at SP 4.50. Ridden by Daniel King. Trained by John Patrick Ryan.
15:55 Roscommon
IrelandCastlecoote Handicap Hurdle
3m · Hurdle · Good To Yielding · 11 runners · €9,000 · Monday, 28 September 2026
Result
AI top pick finished 11thRace report
- 1stSmallcraftwarning (IRE)Daniel King·John Patrick Ryan7/2F·4.50SP
- 2ndMilan Forth (IRE)Kevin Healy·Simon Cavanagh·beaten 1.25 lengths15/2·8.50SP
- 3rdIlbdare (IRE)Phillip Enright·Mark Michael McNiff·beaten .75 lengths8/1·9.00SP
Race time
6m 17.80s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Smallcraftwarning (IRE))
“Settled midfield early - made smooth progress through the pack after 4 out - up to 2nd approaching 2 out - pressed on to hit front at the last - kept finding to assert”
AI top-rated Free Flowing (score 63.0) finished 11th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 50.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Other selections
Head-to-head dashboard →Each-way60.9/100 rating
Thornleigh Frank
10.50Matchbook
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Milan Forth
Milan Forth heads this thirteen-runner Roscommon contest on good ground over twenty-four furlongs, rated narrowly ahead of Positive Thinker and four to five pounds clear of Charlie Luciano and Thornleigh Frank, giving him a modest but genuine edge at the top of the field. The selection will need to justify that advantage over a searching trip where stamina and jumping consistency matter most, and Positive Thinker in particular looks the likeliest to make him work hardest, with Charlie Luciano and Thornleigh Frank also possessing the ratings to get involved if conditions suit. Confidence is measured rather than absolute, but Milan Forth's standing at the head of the weights on these figures gives him a credible platform, and at a distance that rewards genuine stayers, he looks the one to be with. Milan Forth is our selection.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Free Flowing
Mr E M Nugent(7) · Norman Lee · 10yo
Top-rated of 13
score 63.0 · +2.1 clear of next best (60.9)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Trainer20% weight100small sample (n=3)Norman Lee: 2/3 winners last 14d (67%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
- Freshness10% weight65strong111d since last run (rusty)
- Ratings50% weight64averageOR 96
- Form20% weight23weakLast 6: 4-3-6-0
MarketBest price 60.00 (Matchbook) · 13th in the market of 13.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | J: Daniel King · T: John Patrick Ryan · draw 0 9yo · G · bt | 405134 | 99 | 50.5 | 7/2F·4.50 SP |
| 2 | 2 | J: Kevin Healy(7) · T: Simon Cavanagh · draw 0 7yo · G · bt | 24378 | 116 | 54.8 | 15/2·8.50 SP |
| 3 | 9 | J: Phillip Enright · T: Mark Michael McNiff · draw 0 6yo · G · bt | 90183 | 101 | 52.3 | 8/1·9.00 SP |
| 4 | 1 | J: Alan O'Sullivan(5) · T: Sean McParlan · draw 0 9yo · G · b | 6938 | 118 | 60.9 | 7/1·8.00 SP |
| 5 | 8 | J: Darragh O'Keeffe · T: Henry de Bromhead · draw 0 6yo · M · btb | 09044 | 101 | 51.2 | 4/1·5.00 SP |
| 6 | 13 | J: Liam Quinlan · T: Ray Hackett · draw 0 7yo · G · b | U2616 | 94 | 50.9 | 9/2·5.50 SP |
| 7 | 6 | J: Aidan Kelly · T: Padraig Roche · draw 0 5yo · M · b | 44552 | 106 | 51.6 | 6/1·7.00 SP |
| 8 | 4 | J: Eoin Walsh · T: Edward Cawley · draw 0 10yo · G · bht | P022 | 109 | 53.8 | 22/1·23.00 SP |
| 9 | 3 | J: Sam Ewing · T: Noel Meade · draw 0 7yo · G · b | 4142P | 113 | 58.9 | 14/1·15.00 SP |
| 10 | 10 | J: Mr R Sugrue(7) · T: P J Rothwell · draw 0 9yo · G · brp | 7PP70 | 100 | 49.3 | 18/1·19.00 SP |
| 11 | 12 | J: Mr E M Nugent(7) · T: Norman Lee · draw 0 10yo · G · btp | 4360 | 96 | 63.0 | 50/1·51.00 SP |
| — | — | J: Simon Torrens · T: Charles O'Brien · draw 0 7yo · G · b | 7533 | 104 | 51.1 | — |
| — | — | J: Cian Quirke · T: Michael J McDonagh · draw 0 9yo · G · b | 2808 | 108 | 43.3 | — |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 15:55 Roscommon?
No — the AI top pick (Free Flowing) finished 11.
What were the placings in the 15:55 Roscommon?
Top finishers: 1. Smallcraftwarning (IRE) (4.50), 2. Milan Forth (IRE) (8.50), 3. Ilbdare (IRE) (9.00).
What was the winning time for the 15:55 Roscommon?
The winning time was 6m 17.80s.
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