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Next · 5m19:30Southwell (AW)

16:05 Ripon

Michael Raby Memorial Handicap Stakes (Div I)

6f · Flat · Class 6 · Good · 11 runners · £5,234 · Saturday, 26 September 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 7th
  1. 1st
    Showtime Mahomes (GB)
    Oliver Stammers·Grant Tuer
    9/2·5.50
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Run This Way (GB)
    David Nolan·Paul Midgley·beaten 0.1 lengths
    9/1·10.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Eldeyaar (IRE)
    Cam Hardie·Antony Brittain·beaten .5 lengths
    7/2J·4.50
    SP
Race time
1m 11.59s

Race time recorded.

AI top-rated Sole Spirit (score 59.3) finished 7th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 12.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Each-way49.8/100 rating
Oh So Perfect
13.00LiveScore Bet

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Big Apple Jack

Big Apple Jack holds a progressive profile that makes him more appealing than his rating of 64 strictly suggests, and on a good surface over six furlongs at Ripon he has every chance of outrunning his position in the pecking order. The chief threats come from Run This Way, who heads the field narrowly on ratings, along with Oh So Perfect and King's Road Dandy, both of whom share a 65 rating and cannot be dismissed. Confidence is modest given the competitive nature of this Class 6 sprint, but the progressive case tips the balance toward Big Apple Jack.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Sole Spirit

Paul Mulrennan · Bryan Smart · 4yo

Top-rated of 11
score 59.3 · +9.5 clear of next best (49.8)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    26d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Trainer20% weight
    83small sample (n=9)
    Bryan Smart: 3/9 winners last 14d (33%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
  • Form20% weight
    56average
    Last 6: 1-1-6-1-7
  • Ratings50% weight
    43below average
    OR 65 — highest combined rating in the field
MarketBest price 101.00 (LiveScore Bet) · 10th in the market of 11.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Ripon 6f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–4)
IV 0.94
Mid (5–8)
IV 1.15
High (9–11)
IV 0.93

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 162 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
16
J: Oliver Stammers · T: Grant Tuer · draw 10
7yo · G · b
640503
5935.3
9/2·5.50
SP
28
J: David Nolan · T: Paul Midgley · draw 4
8yo · M · bb
114336
5739.4
9/1·10.00
SP
311
J: Cam Hardie · T: Antony Brittain · draw 5
7yo · G · brv
133852
4941.4
7/2J·4.50
SP
45
4yo · G · bb
425421
6046.4
7/1·8.00
SP
59
3yo · F · b
311246
5649.8
17/2·9.50
SP
64
6yo · G · grp
123433
6139.5
7/2J·4.50
SP
71
J: Paul Mulrennan · T: Bryan Smart · draw 7
4yo · G · b
11617
6559.3
12/1·13.00
SP
87
J: Duran Fentiman · T: Tim Easterby · draw 3
3yo · G · ch
432
6049.8
33/1·34.00
SP
910
J: Luke Morris · T: Lisa Williamson · draw 9
3yo · F · b
786861
5434.5
40/1·41.00
SP
103
J: Jason Hart · T: Lawrence Mullaney · draw 8
4yo · G · bp
113400
6234.0
17/2·9.50
SP
112
3yo · G · b
3586
6537.3
20/1·21.00
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 16:05 Ripon on 26 September 2026?

Showtime Mahomes (GB) won the 16:05 Ripon at SP 5.50. Ridden by Oliver Stammers. Trained by Grant Tuer.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:05 Ripon?

No — the AI top pick (Sole Spirit) finished 7.

What were the placings in the 16:05 Ripon?

Top finishers: 1. Showtime Mahomes (GB) (5.50), 2. Run This Way (GB) (10.00), 3. Eldeyaar (IRE) (4.50).

What was the winning time for the 16:05 Ripon?

The winning time was 1m 11.59s.

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