Who won the 15:04 Catterick on 30 September 2026?
Fairydale (IRE) won the 15:04 Catterick at SP 2.88. Ridden by David Allan. Trained by Tim Easterby.
15:04 Catterick
Watch All Races Live On Racingtv Handicap Stakes
2m · Flat · Class 6 · Good · 10 runners · £3,664 · Wednesday, 30 September 2026
Result
AI top pick was a non-runnerRace report
- 1stFairydale (IRE)David Allan·Tim Easterby15/8F·2.88SP
- 2ndNeddies Boy (IRE)Shane Gray·Daragh Bourke·beaten .5 lengths25/1·26.00SP
- 3rdLady Phoebe (IRE)Cam Hardie·Adam Nicol·beaten 2 lengths100/30·4.33SP
Race time
3m 31.96s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Fairydale (IRE))
“Front from the outset - urged along over 2f out - held on under challenge inside final furlong to win going away”
Settled · 1pt level stake = 1.88 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Other selections
Head-to-head dashboard →Each-way53.1/100 rating
Regally Blonde
11.00Paddy Power
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Lady Phoebe
Lady Phoebe heads our ratings on 60 for this ten-runner Class 6 over two miles at Catterick, four pounds clear of her nearest pursuers, which is a useful edge in a modest contest on good to firm ground. Sugarpiehoneybunch and Regally Blonde, both on 56, are the chief dangers, with Fairydale a further two pounds back on 54 and still capable of playing a part if the principals falter. With a definite rating advantage over a field of limited ability, Lady Phoebe is our selection.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Regally Blonde
Callum Shepherd · Ben Case · 7yo
Top-rated of 10
score 53.1 · +12.3 clear of next best (40.8)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight85very strong29d since last run (fresh)
- Trainer20% weight83small sample (n=3)Ben Case: 1/3 winners last 14d (33%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
- Form20% weight55averageLast 6: 6-3-4-5-1-4
- Ratings50% weight34weakOR 51
MarketBest price 11.00 (Paddy Power) · 4th in the market of 10.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Catterick 2m
full course data →Sample too small to call at this course and trip.
Low (1–4)
IV 1.27
Mid (5–7)
IV 1.12
High (8–10)
IV 0.60
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 31 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | J: David Allan · T: Tim Easterby · draw 2 3yo · F · chv | 842735 | 51 | 40.8 | 15/8F·2.88 SP |
| 2 | 7 | J: Shane Gray · T: Daragh Bourke · draw 1 8yo · G · bt | 70086 | 45 | 37.1 | 25/1·26.00 SP |
| 3 | 2 | J: Cam Hardie · T: Adam Nicol · draw 3 5yo · M · br | 20142 | 55 | 37.5 | 100/30·4.33 SP |
| 4 | 8 | J: Jack Callan · T: Mark Loughnane · draw 4 5yo · G · bt/bes | 256425 | 44 | 32.2 | 11/4·3.75 SP |
| 5 | 6 | J: Warren Fentiman(3) · T: Olly Williams · draw 10 5yo · G · b | 332384 | 46 | 34.6 | 8/1·9.00 SP |
| 6 | 3 | J: Rhys Elliott(5) · T: Simon West · draw 8 8yo · M · b | 77871 | 52 | 32.3 | 7/1·8.00 SP |
| 7 | 5 | J: Rowan Scott · T: Neil Mechie · draw 9 4yo · G · b | 74090 | 47 | 24.4 | 250/1·251.00 SP |
| 8 | 10 | J: Joanna Mason · T: Philip Kirby · draw 6 3yo · F · btp | 95078 | 43 | 23.7 | 28/1·29.00 SP |
| 9 | 1 | J: Aiden Brookes · T: Micky Hammond · draw 7 4yo · G · bpFT P | 244320 | 55 | 39.7 | 66/1·67.00 SP |
| — | 5 | J: Callum Shepherd · T: Ben Case · draw 5 7yo · M · chb | 634514 | 51 | 53.1 | — |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 15:04 Catterick?
No — the AI top pick (Regally Blonde) was a non-runner or unplaced.
What were the placings in the 15:04 Catterick?
Top finishers: 1. Fairydale (IRE) (2.88), 2. Neddies Boy (IRE) (26.00), 3. Lady Phoebe (IRE) (4.33).
What was the winning time for the 15:04 Catterick?
The winning time was 3m 31.96s.
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