13:40 Musselburgh

British Ebf Novice Stakes (gbb Race)

5f · Flat · Class 4 · Good To Soft · 3 runners · £5,940 · Wednesday, 30 September 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick placed 2nd

1st
Sable Noir (IRE)
Kevin Stott·Kevin Ryan
5/1·6.00
SP
2nd
Sod Hall Lane (IRE)AI top pick · 56.5
Zak Wheatley·Declan Carroll·beaten 2 lengths
1/9F·1.11
SP
3rd
Just For Monty (GB)
Jason Hart·Katie Scott·beaten 17 lengths
50/1·51.00
SP

Race time

1m 0.58s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Sable Noir (IRE))

“missed the break and raced at the back - drifted right and moved up to hit the front before halfway - pulled clear inside the final furlong - comfortable winner despite carrying right near the line”

Settled · 1pt level stake = 0.11 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Why the model rates this top

Sod Hall Lane

Zak Wheatley · Declan Carroll · 2yo

Top-rated of 3

score 56.5 · +34.4 clear of next best (22.2)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Freshness10% weight
100very strong
28d since last run (race-fit window)
Form20% weight
93very strong
Last 6: 2-1
Ratings50% weight
56average
OR 84 — highest combined rating in the field
Trainer20% weight
0weak
Declan Carroll: 0/13 winners last 14d (0%)

MarketBest price 8.00 (Matchbook) · market favourite.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Musselburgh 5f

full course data →

Moderate: high (outside) favoured (IV 1.25).

Low (1–1)

IV 0.89

Mid (2–2)

IV 0.85

High (3–3)

IV 1.25

Today: Sod Hall Lane (draw 3) gets the bias; Just For Monty (draw 2) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 91 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

Pos	No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	SP
1	3	Sable Noir J: Kevin Stott · T: Kevin Ryan · draw 1 2yo · F · bh	83	8-13	—	—	—	22.2	5/1·6.00 SP
2	1	Sod Hall Lane J: Zak Wheatley · T: Declan Carroll · draw 3 2yo · C · b	21	9-11	84	—	—	56.5	1/9F·1.11 SP
3	2	Just For Monty J: Jason Hart · T: Katie Scott · draw 2 2yo · G · b	56	9-04	—	—	—	16.2	50/1·51.00 SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 13:40 Musselburgh on 30 September 2026?

Sable Noir (IRE) won the 13:40 Musselburgh at SP 6.00. Ridden by Kevin Stott. Trained by Kevin Ryan.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 13:40 Musselburgh?

No — the AI top pick (Sod Hall Lane) finished 2.

What were the placings in the 13:40 Musselburgh?

Top finishers: 1. Sable Noir (IRE) (6.00), 2. Sod Hall Lane (IRE) (1.11), 3. Just For Monty (GB) (51.00).

What was the winning time for the 13:40 Musselburgh?

The winning time was 1m 0.58s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org