Who won the 14:50 Musselburgh on 30 September 2026?
Monhammer (GB) won the 14:50 Musselburgh at SP 6.00. Ridden by Clifford Lee. Trained by Linda Perratt.
14:50 Musselburgh
Invades Day Party Handicap Stakes
7f · Flat · Class 6 · Good To Soft · 11 runners · £3,664 · Wednesday, 30 September 2026
Result
AI top pick finished 8thRace report
- 1stMonhammer (GB)Clifford Lee·Linda Perratt5/1·6.00SP
- 2ndRwenearlytheredad (GB)Zak Wheatley·Declan Carroll·beaten .75 lengths9/1·10.00SP
- 3rdKelpie Grey (GB)Paul Mulrennan·Jim Goldie·beaten .75 lengths11/8F·2.38SP
Race time
1m 27.95s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Monhammer (GB))
“mid-pack early - short of room on rail over 1f out - moved right and gained ground 1f out - edged ahead entering final 110yds and kept on strongly to win”
AI top-rated Filey Beach (score 51.2) finished 8th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 6.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Other selections
Head-to-head dashboard →Each-way40.2/100 rating
Monhammer
9.80Matchbook
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Kelpie Grey
Kelpie Grey heads our figures at Musselburgh and gets the nod in a modest Class 6 over seven furlongs, though the margin is slim, with two pounds separating him from Escape Act. That rival is the chief danger, with Pallas Lord only a pound further back and Monhammer also in the mix, so this looks a competitive event with little to choose between the leading contenders. Kelpie Grey has the best numbers on our list and the good ground should pose him no problems, which is enough to make him our selection, albeit a low-confidence one.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Filey Beach
James Sullivan · Ruth Carr · 5yo
Top-rated of 11
score 51.2 · +7.2 clear of next best (43.9)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight100very strong22d since last run (race-fit window)
- Form20% weight55averageLast 6: 3-7-4-4-5-1
- Trainer20% weight53averageRuth Carr: 8/38 winners last 14d (21%)
- Ratings50% weight39below averageOR 59 — highest combined rating in the field
MarketBest price 22.00 (Matchbook) · 5th in the market of 11.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Musselburgh 7f
full course data →Moderate: high (outside) favoured (IV 1.20).
Low (1–4)
IV 0.85
Mid (5–8)
IV 0.97
High (9–11)
IV 1.20
Today: Jkr Cobbler (draw 11) and Keep Me Stable (draw 9) get the bias; Filey Beach (draw 2) is in the least-favoured band.
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 126 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | J: Clifford Lee · T: Linda Perratt · draw 8 8yo · G · b | 461163 | 55 | 40.2 | 5/1·6.00 SP |
| 2 | 5 | J: Zak Wheatley · T: Declan Carroll · draw 1 6yo · G · b | 68650 | 56 | 31.6 | 9/1·10.00 SP |
| 3 | 8 | J: Paul Mulrennan · T: Jim Goldie · draw 3 6yo · G · grv | 680773 | 54 | 33.1 | 11/8F·2.38 SP |
| 4 | 11 | J: Sam James · T: Katie Scott · draw 5 6yo · G · b | 408706 | 48 | 31.9 | 33/1·34.00 SP |
| 5 | 9 | J: Kevin Stott · T: Philip Kirby · draw 7 5yo · M · bp | 342313 | 52 | 40.0 | 6/1·7.00 SP |
| 6 | 7 | J: Mark Winn · T: Linda Perratt · draw 9 6yo · M · b | 823770 | 54 | 29.6 | 18/1·19.00 SP |
| 7 | 4 | J: Greg Fairley · T: Jean McGregor · draw 10 5yo · G · b | 0003 | 57 | 26.3 | 100/1·101.00 SP |
| 8 | 1 | J: James Sullivan · T: Ruth Carr · draw 2 5yo · G · b | 374451 | 59 | 51.2 | 6/1·7.00 SP |
| 9 | 2 | J: Andrew Mullen · T: Iain Jardine · draw 11 7yo · G · b | 734149 | 58 | 42.2 | 16/1·17.00 SP |
| 10 | 10 | J: Rhys Elliott(5) · T: Catch Bissett · draw 6 4yo · F · bv | 895283 | 48 | 43.9 | 16/1·17.00 SP |
| 11 | 3 | J: Jason Hart · T: Donald Whillans · draw 4 8yo · G · b | 106374 | 58 | 32.9 | 40/1·41.00 SP |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 14:50 Musselburgh?
No — the AI top pick (Filey Beach) finished 8.
What were the placings in the 14:50 Musselburgh?
Top finishers: 1. Monhammer (GB) (6.00), 2. Rwenearlytheredad (GB) (10.00), 3. Kelpie Grey (GB) (2.38).
What was the winning time for the 14:50 Musselburgh?
The winning time was 1m 27.95s.
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