Who won the 16:00 Musselburgh on 30 September 2026?
Lipsink (IRE) won the 16:00 Musselburgh at SP 23.00. Ridden by Alistair Rawlinson. Trained by Michael Appleby.
16:00 Musselburgh
Weatherbys Stallion Book Handicap Stakes
5f · Flat · Class 4 · Good To Soft · 12 runners · £10,468 · Wednesday, 30 September 2026
Result
AI top pick finished 6thRace report
- 1stLipsink (IRE)Alistair Rawlinson·Michael Appleby22/1·23.00SP
- 2ndMo Of Cairo (GB)Kevin Stott·Kevin Ryan·beaten .5 lengths11/4F·3.75SP
- 3rdWen Moon (IRE)Andrew Mullen·Ben Haslam·beaten .75 lengths16/1·17.00SP
Race time
58.83s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Lipsink (IRE))
“Set the pace for most of the way - passed over 2f out - rousted and regained advantage inside final furlong - strengthened to win”
AI top-rated Azuinthejungle (score 60.6) finished 6th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 9.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Other selections
Head-to-head dashboard →Each-way46.6/100 rating
Jer Batt
6.60Matchbook
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Jer Batt
Jer Batt is our selection at Musselburgh, and the case rests on a progressive profile that we rate higher than a two-pound rating deficit to the top-rated runner suggests. He sits on 89, just behind Shes Got A Brother on 91, so the gap is narrow and the edge comes from the upward trajectory rather than a raw figure. Shes Got A Brother is the chief danger, with Mo of Cairo on 84 and Anaisa on 81 the other two to keep on side in a competitive dozen over the minimum trip. Confidence is low, but Jer Batt is the pick to keep improving on the good ground.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Azuinthejungle
Alex Jary(3) · Nigel Tinkler · 4yo
Top-rated of 12
score 60.6 · +9.7 clear of next best (50.9)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Form20% weight80strongLast 6: 2-1-1-1-6-1
- Freshness10% weight70strong11d since last run (quick turnaround)
- Trainer20% weight55averageNigel Tinkler: 4/18 winners last 14d (22%)
- Ratings50% weight53averageOR 80 — highest combined rating in the field
MarketBest price 51.00 (LiveScore Bet) · 8th in the market of 12.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Musselburgh 5f
full course data →Moderate: high (outside) favoured (IV 1.25).
Low (1–4)
IV 0.89
Mid (5–8)
IV 0.85
High (9–12)
IV 1.25
Today: Lipsink (draw 10) and Mo of Cairo (draw 9) get the bias; Azuinthejungle (draw 8) is in the least-favoured band.
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 91 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | J: Alistair Rawlinson · T: Michael Appleby · draw 10 9yo · G · b | 42020 | 80 | 50.5 | 22/1·23.00 SP |
| 2 | 5 | J: Kevin Stott · T: Kevin Ryan · draw 9 3yo · C · gr | 66495 | 78 | 45.9 | 11/4F·3.75 SP |
| 3 | 12 | J: Andrew Mullen · T: Ben Haslam · draw 11 6yo · G · b | 10337 | 68 | 40.6 | 16/1·17.00 SP |
| 4 | 4 | J: Clifford Lee · T: David & Nicola Barron · draw 6 6yo · G · ch | 334549 | 78 | 46.6 | 7/2·4.50 SP |
| 5 | 11 | J: Duran Fentiman · T: Tim Easterby · draw 3 3yo · F · bpFT P | 994423 | 71 | 49.5 | 16/1·17.00 SP |
| 6 | 2 | J: Alex Jary(3) · T: Nigel Tinkler · draw 8 4yo · G · ch | 211161 | 80 | 60.6 | 9/1·10.00 SP |
| 7 | 6 | J: Paul Mulrennan · T: Jim Goldie · draw 4 4yo · G · bh | 532564 | 76 | 43.7 | 9/2·5.50 SP |
| 8 | 10 | J: Lauren Young(5) · T: Jim Goldie · draw 12 5yo · M · b | 291624 | 70 | 44.1 | 10/1·11.00 SP |
| 9 | 3 | J: Billy Garritty · T: Michael & David Easterby · draw 1 3yo · F · b | 435000 | 80 | 37.6 | 11/1·12.00 SP |
| 10 | 9 | J: Jason Hart · T: John Wainwright · draw 2 4yo · F · bb | 242211 | 71 | 50.9 | 18/1·19.00 SP |
| 11 | 7 | J: Sean Kirrane · T: Tim Easterby · draw 7 3yo · F · bt | 460734 | 74 | 50.0 | 18/1·19.00 SP |
| 12 | 8 | J: Sam James · T: Gemma Tutty · draw 5 3yo · F · g | 260039 | 74 | 48.0 | 25/1·26.00 SP |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:00 Musselburgh?
No — the AI top pick (Azuinthejungle) finished 6.
What were the placings in the 16:00 Musselburgh?
Top finishers: 1. Lipsink (IRE) (23.00), 2. Mo Of Cairo (GB) (3.75), 3. Wen Moon (IRE) (17.00).
What was the winning time for the 16:00 Musselburgh?
The winning time was 58.83s.
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