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Next · 2h 19m14:30Gowran Park

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1m6f · Flat · Class 6 · Good To Soft · 8 runners · £3,664 · Wednesday, 30 September 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 5th
  1. 1st
    Simple Star (IRE)
    Sam James·Gary Rutherford
    4/1·5.00
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Riddikulus (GB)
    Oliver Stammers·Grant Tuer·beaten 1.25 lengths
    100/30·4.33
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Tide Lines (GB)
    Andrew Mullen·Charlie Johnston·beaten 1.5 lengths
    12/1·13.00
    SP
Race time
3m 8.07s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Simple Star (IRE))

“Settled at back of field - quickly improved 4f out - challenged for front spot 2f out - pushed along and went clear inside final 110yds - kept on strongly to win comfortably”

AI top-rated Bollin Neil (score 48.2) finished 5th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 4.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Each-way46.2/100 rating
Riddikulus
5.50Betfair Exchange

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Simple Star

Simple Star looks the one to beat in this Class 6 contest over 14 furlongs at Musselburgh, with our rating of 74 putting him a healthy 10 lb ahead of his nearest rival and making him the standout on our figures. Bollin Neil is the most obvious danger on 64, while Aighear and Riddikulus, both on 60, sit further back and would need to improve to get involved. The remainder of the field are rated 51 or lower and look to have plenty to find on the good ground. Simple Star is our selection.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Bollin Neil

Sean Kirrane · Tim Easterby · 10yo

Top-rated of 7
score 48.2 · +2.0 clear of next best (46.2)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    19d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Form20% weight
    52average
    Last 6: 1-1-5-2-7
  • Trainer20% weight
    43below average
    Tim Easterby: 17/102 winners last 14d (17%)
  • Ratings50% weight
    39below average
    OR 58
MarketBest price 81.00 (LiveScore Bet) · 6th in the market of 7.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Musselburgh 1m6f

full course data →

Strong: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.17).

Low (1–3)
IV 1.17
Mid (4–6)
IV 0.64
High (7–8)
IV 1.13

Today: Bollin Neil (draw 1) and Sophiesticate (draw 3) get the bias; Riddikulus (draw 5) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 54 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
11
J: Sam James · T: Gary Rutherford · draw 2
8yo · G · bt
254505
6035.5
4/1·5.00
SP
27
J: Oliver Stammers · T: Grant Tuer · draw 5
3yo · F · bb
441412
5646.2
100/30·4.33
SP
32
J: Andrew Mullen · T: Charlie Johnston · draw 6
5yo · M · b
470
5836.3
12/1·13.00
SP
44
J: Rhys Elliott(5) · T: Jim Goldie · draw 7
4yo · G · b
650
5534.0
12/1·13.00
SP
53
J: Sean Kirrane · T: Tim Easterby · draw 1
10yo · G · chtp
11527
5848.2
9/2·5.50
SP
68
J: Jason Hart · T: Katie Scott · draw 4
4yo · G · bb
273244
4640.8
7/4F·2.75
SP
—8
J: Shay Farmer(5) · T: R. Mike Smith · draw 3
7yo · M · b
333168
5537.1—
—10
J: Paul Mulrennan · T: Jim Goldie · draw 8
8yo · M · b
34654
5137.4—

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 17:10 Musselburgh on 30 September 2026?

Simple Star (IRE) won the 17:10 Musselburgh at SP 5.00. Ridden by Sam James. Trained by Gary Rutherford.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 17:10 Musselburgh?

No — the AI top pick (Bollin Neil) finished 5.

What were the placings in the 17:10 Musselburgh?

Top finishers: 1. Simple Star (IRE) (5.00), 2. Riddikulus (GB) (4.33), 3. Tide Lines (GB) (13.00).

What was the winning time for the 17:10 Musselburgh?

The winning time was 3m 8.07s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org