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Next · 44m14:30Gowran Park

16:25 Kempton (AW)

Unibet/british Stallion Studs Ebf Restricted Novice Stakes (for Horses In Bands B, C And D) (Ebf Restricted Race Qualifier) (GBB Race)

6f · Flat · Class 4 · Standard / Slow · 10 runners · £5,940 · Wednesday, 30 September 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 9th
  1. 1st
    Marhaba Ya Tayib (IRE)
    Finley Marsh·Richard Hughes
    15/2·8.50
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Brynmair Gold (GB)
    Oisin Murphy·Oliver Cole·beaten 0.3 lengths
    16/1·17.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Romeo Guest (GB)
    George Bass·Jack Channon·beaten .75 lengths
    300/1·301.00
    SP
Race time
1m 13.95s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Marhaba Ya Tayib (IRE))

“Prominent early - pushed along over 1f out then stayed on to hit front 110yds out - narrowly survived late challenge to win”

AI top-rated Real Bullet (score 67.7) finished 9th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 0.67 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Other selections

Head-to-head dashboard →
Each-way26.0/100 rating
Marhaba Ya Tayib
13.00Boyle Sports
Place portion settles at 3.40 · 1/5 odds · 3 places

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Why the model rates this top

Real Bullet

Billy Loughnane · George Boughey · 2yo

Top-rated of 10
score 67.7 · +33.6 clear of next best (34.1)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Form20% weight
    100very strong
    Last 6: 1-1
  • Freshness10% weight
    85very strong
    51d since last run (fresh)
  • Ratings50% weight
    61average
    OR 92 — highest combined rating in the field
  • Trainer20% weight
    43below average
    George Boughey: 4/23 winners last 14d (17%)
MarketBest price 1.82 (Matchbook) · market favourite.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Kempton (AW) 6f

full course data →

Strong: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.33).

Low (1–4)
IV 1.33
Mid (5–7)
IV 0.89
High (8–10)
IV 0.74

Today: Birkett Bank (draw 3) and Marhaba Ya Tayib (draw 2) get the bias; Sea Angie Run (draw 8) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 251 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
14
Marhaba Ya Tayib
J: Finley Marsh · T: Richard Hughes · draw 2
2yo · C · b
4
—26.0
15/2·8.50
SP
22
Brynmair Gold
J: Oisin Murphy · T: Oliver Cole · draw 7
2yo · C · b
——15.0
16/1·17.00
SP
35
Romeo Guest
J: George Bass · T: Jack Channon · draw 4
2yo · G · b
59
—15.8
300/1·301.00
SP
46
Till Then
J: Sean Levey · T: Richard Hannon · draw 9
2yo · C · b
——19.5
8/1·9.00
SP
58
Quai Louis
J: Kieran Shoemark · T: Ed Walker · draw 1
2yo · C · ch
6
—23.0
13/2·7.50
SP
63
Just Zain
J: Rob Hornby · T: Jonathan Portman · draw 6
2yo · C · b
——17.5
22/1·23.00
SP
77
Sea Angie Run
J: Jack Mitchell · T: Tom Clover · draw 8
2yo · F · b
77
—23.5
80/1·81.00
SP
810
Birkett Bank
J: Joe Leavy · T: Clive Cox · draw 3
2yo · F · b
2
—34.1
12/1·13.00
SP
91
Real Bullet
J: Billy Loughnane · T: George Boughey · draw 5
2yo · G · b
11
9267.7
4/6F·1.67
SP
109
Sol Dorado
J: Jason Watson · T: Marcus Tregoning · draw 10
2yo · G · b
95
—19.4
100/1·101.00
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 16:25 Kempton (AW) on 30 September 2026?

Marhaba Ya Tayib (IRE) won the 16:25 Kempton (AW) at SP 8.50. Ridden by Finley Marsh. Trained by Richard Hughes.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:25 Kempton (AW)?

No — the AI top pick (Real Bullet) finished 9.

What were the placings in the 16:25 Kempton (AW)?

Top finishers: 1. Marhaba Ya Tayib (IRE) (8.50), 2. Brynmair Gold (GB) (17.00), 3. Romeo Guest (GB) (301.00).

What was the winning time for the 16:25 Kempton (AW)?

The winning time was 1m 13.95s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org