Who won the 17:30 Kempton (AW) on 30 September 2026?
Muqarrabin (GB) won the 17:30 Kempton (AW) at SP 3.25. Ridden by William Buick. Trained by Charlie Appleby.
17:30 Kempton (AW)
Bet £20 Get £20 With Unibet Maiden Stakes (Div I) (GBB/GBBPlus Race)
1m · Flat · Class 3 · Standard / Slow · 11 runners · £6,480 · Wednesday, 30 September 2026
Result
AI top pick placed 3rdRace report
- 1stMuqarrabin (GB)William Buick·Charlie Appleby9/4J·3.25SP
- 2ndWootton King (GB)James Doyle·John & Thady Gosden·beaten .5 lengths11/4·3.75SP
- 3rdEncounter (IRE)AI top pick · 44.3Cieren Fallon·S. P. C. Woods·beaten 1 length9/4J·3.25SP
Race time
1m 39.73s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Muqarrabin (GB))
“sat close behind the front group - niggled from halfway - shoved up a gear 2f out and gained ground - hit front 110yds out - stayed on to win comfortably”
Settled · 1pt level stake = 2.25 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Other selections
Head-to-head dashboard →Each-way25.5/100 rating
Wootton King
5.50BetMGM
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Why the model rates this top
Encounter
Cieren Fallon · S. P. C. Woods · 2yo
Top-rated of 11
score 44.3 · +9.3 clear of next best (35.0)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight85very strong60d since last run (fresh)
- Ratings50% weight54averageOR 81 — highest combined rating in the field
- Form20% weight44below averageLast 6: 2-3-6-4
- Trainer20% weight0small sample (n=4)S. P. C. Woods: 0/4 winners last 14d (0%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
MarketBest price 3.70 (Smarkets) · market favourite.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Kempton (AW) 1m
full course data →Moderate: middle favoured (IV 1.17).
Low (1–4)
IV 1.05
Mid (5–8)
IV 1.17
High (9–11)
IV 0.80
Today: Encounter (draw 6) and Al Thara (draw 7) get the bias; Muqarrabin (draw 10) is in the least-favoured band.
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 665 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | J: William Buick · T: Charlie Appleby · draw 10 2yo · C · b | — | — | 35.0 | 9/4J·3.25 SP |
| 2 | 10 | J: James Doyle · T: John & Thady Gosden · draw 9 2yo · C · b | — | — | 25.5 | 11/4·3.75 SP |
| 3 | 3 | J: Cieren Fallon · T: S. P. C. Woods · draw 6 2yo · C · b | 2364 | 81 | 44.3 | 9/4J·3.25 SP |
| 4 | 1 | J: Billy Loughnane · T: Charles Hills · draw 7 2yo · C · b | — | — | 17.5 | 10/1·11.00 SP |
| 5 | 2 | J: Oisin Murphy · T: Andrew Balding · draw 11 2yo · C · b | — | — | 21.5 | 7/1·8.00 SP |
| 6 | 4 | J: William Carver · T: Jamie Osborne · draw 1 2yo · C · b | — | — | 15.0 | 80/1·81.00 SP |
| 7 | 5 | J: Rob Hornby · T: Jonathan Portman · draw 5 2yo · C · gr | 7 | — | 15.5 | 200/1·201.00 SP |
| 8 | 11 | J: Lewis Edmunds · T: Harry Charlton · draw 4 2yo · F · btFT T | — | — | 24.0 | 33/1·34.00 SP |
| 9 | 6 | J: Kieren Fox · T: John Butler · draw 8 2yo · G · ch | 88 | — | 15.5 | 300/1·301.00 SP |
| 10 | 8 | J: Finley Marsh · T: Richard Hughes · draw 3 2yo · C · bFirst after wind op | — | — | 22.0 | 40/1·41.00 SP |
| 11 | 9 | J: Jack Gilligan · T: Sir Mark Prescott Bt · draw 2 2yo · C · b | — | — | 27.0 | 28/1·29.00 SP |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 17:30 Kempton (AW)?
No — the AI top pick (Encounter) finished 3.
What were the placings in the 17:30 Kempton (AW)?
Top finishers: 1. Muqarrabin (GB) (3.25), 2. Wootton King (GB) (3.75), 3. Encounter (IRE) (3.25).
What was the winning time for the 17:30 Kempton (AW)?
The winning time was 1m 39.73s.
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