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Next · 1h 13m14:30Gowran Park

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6f · Flat · Class 6 · Standard / Slow · 11 runners · £3,140 · Wednesday, 30 September 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 11th
  1. 1st
    King Cherry (IRE)
    Sean Levey·Stuart Williams
    10/1·11.00
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Respectable Jack (GB)
    Robert Havlin·Matt Crawley·beaten 2.5 lengths
    7/2·4.50
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Rovinia (GB)
    Joe Leavy·Roger Teal·beaten .75 lengths
    13/2·7.50
    SP
Race time
1m 12.45s

Race time recorded.

In-running (King Cherry (IRE))

“Led from the start - shaken up 2f out and went clear - kept on well to the line - won without a threat”

AI top-rated Big Time Rascal (score 57.1) finished 11th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 8.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Each-way52.7/100 rating
Rovinia
8.40Matchbook

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Big Bard

Big Bard heads a very tightly packed Kempton sprint, rated 60 on our figures and just a pound ahead of Beelzebub, so this is a narrow call rather than a confident one. That slim edge is enough to put him on top in a Class 6 six-furlong contest where the top of the field is separated by only a few pounds. Beelzebub is the chief danger, with May Encounter and My Dad Tom also close enough to take advantage if that narrow gap proves too small on the day. Big Bard gets the vote at the head of a competitive 12-runner field.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Big Time Rascal

Benoit de la Sayette · Simon Hodgson · 5yo

Top-rated of 12
score 57.1 · +1.8 clear of next best (55.3)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Trainer20% weight
    100small sample (n=1)
    Simon Hodgson: 1/1 winners last 14d (100%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    17d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Form20% weight
    46below average
    Last 6: 4-1-5-1-4-0
  • Ratings50% weight
    36below average
    OR 54
MarketBest price 16.00 (Matchbook) · 6th in the market of 12.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Kempton (AW) 6f

full course data →

Strong: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.33).

Low (1–4)
IV 1.33
Mid (5–8)
IV 0.89
High (9–12)
IV 0.74

Today: Rovinia (draw 4) and Big Bard (draw 1) get the bias; Southbank (draw 11) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 251 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
19
J: Sean Levey · T: Stuart Williams · draw 7
3yo · G · bhtFT HT
676409
5333.3
10/1·11.00
SP
27
J: Robert Havlin · T: Matt Crawley · draw 6
5yo · G · btb
325549
5230.9
7/2·4.50
SP
38
J: Joe Leavy · T: Roger Teal · draw 4
4yo · F · b
222135
5252.7
13/2·7.50
SP
412
J: Finley Marsh · T: Adrian Wintle · draw 3
5yo · G · b
75F88
4928.5
20/1·21.00
SP
51
J: Paddy Bradley · T: Gary & Josh Moore · draw 1
8yo · G · bp
190665
5537.8
2/1F·3.00
SP
66
J: Nicola Currie · T: Henry Candy · draw 2
4yo · F · bh
556474
5233.8
15/2·8.50
SP
72
J: Billy Loughnane · T: Tony Carroll · draw 8
6yo · G · bt
701269
5542.6
16/1·17.00
SP
811
J: Josephine Gordon · T: Keiran Burke · draw 9
8yo · G · btb
199262
5045.8
14/1·15.00
SP
95
J: Ben Pollard(7) · T: Richard Hannon · draw 12
3yo · G · bp
66640
5535.3
66/1·67.00
SP
1010
J: Charles Bishop · T: Chris Gordon · draw 11
5yo · G · b
426230
5155.3
25/1·26.00
SP
113
5yo · G · bt
415140
5457.1
17/2·9.50
SP
——
J: Rob Hornby · T: Mike Murphy · draw 10
4yo · G · bp
34558
5333.1—

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 20:30 Kempton (AW) on 30 September 2026?

King Cherry (IRE) won the 20:30 Kempton (AW) at SP 11.00. Ridden by Sean Levey. Trained by Stuart Williams.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 20:30 Kempton (AW)?

No — the AI top pick (Big Time Rascal) finished 11.

What were the placings in the 20:30 Kempton (AW)?

Top finishers: 1. King Cherry (IRE) (11.00), 2. Respectable Jack (GB) (4.50), 3. Rovinia (GB) (7.50).

What was the winning time for the 20:30 Kempton (AW)?

The winning time was 1m 12.45s.

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