15:19 Bellewstown

Ireland

Rathbarry & Glenview Studs Handicap

1m · Flat · Soft To Heavy · 17 runners · €7,200 · Wednesday, 30 September 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick placed 2nd

1st
Givehertilxmas (IRE)
Jack Kearney·Gerard Keane
9/1·10.00
SP
2nd
Mythical Rock (IRE)AI top pick · 58.6
Ben Coen·C Byrnes·beaten 1 length
4/1·5.00
SP
3rd
Mickey The Steel (GB)
Rory Mulligan·Joseph Anthony Murray·beaten .5 lengths
11/2·6.50
SP

Race time

1m 46.78s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Givehertilxmas (IRE))

“Raced second behind the pacesetter - went to the front 2f out going easily - shaken up soon after and kept finding for strong push inside the final furlong to win”

Settled · 1pt level stake = 4.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Other selections

Head-to-head dashboard →

Each-way58.6/100 rating

Mythical Rock

7.50Hollywood Bets

Place portion settles at 2.30 · 1/5 odds · 4 places

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party

Pundit pick: Felix Somary

Felix Somary looks the pick in a competitive 15-runner eight-furlong contest on soft ground, with a progressive profile, a fitness edge and a clock that backs the form all pointing his way. He is rated 73, just six pounds behind the top-rated Calm The Jets on 79, a gap that is well within reach for a horse still on the upgrade. Calm The Jets is the chief danger on raw figures, while The Bear Trap on 74 and Mickey The Steel on 73 are also firmly in the mix, so this is far from a formality. Even so, Felix Somary's improvement and readiness to peak on the day make him the selection.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Mythical Rock

Ben Coen · C Byrnes · 5yo

Top-rated of 17

score 58.6 · +2.6 clear of next best (56.0)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Trainer20% weight
95small sample (n=8)
C Byrnes: 3/8 winners last 14d (38%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
Freshness10% weight
85very strong
34d since last run (fresh)
Form20% weight
50average
Last 6: 6-2-0-2-2-5
Ratings50% weight
42below average
OR 63

MarketBest price 7.50 (Hollywood Bets) · 2nd in the market of 17.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Bellewstown 1m

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–6)

IV 1.08

Mid (7–12)

IV 0.98

High (13–17)

IV 0.93

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 58 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

Pos	No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	SP
1	14	Givehertilxmas J: Jack Kearney(3) · T: Gerard Keane · draw 11 4yo · F · bvFT V	60325	9-04	60	—	—	41.3	9/1·10.00 SP
2	9	Mythical Rock J: Ben Coen · T: C Byrnes · draw 5 5yo · G · brv	620225	9-07	63	—	—	58.6	4/1·5.00 SP
3	4	Mickey The Steel J: Rory Mulligan(5) · T: Joseph Anthony Murray · draw 8 8yo · G · btp	037361	9-10	66	—	—	56.0	11/2·6.50 SP
4	12	Wegotogether J: G. F. Carroll · T: Gavin Cromwell · draw 17 4yo · F · btFT T	08140	9-05	61	—	—	35.0	13/2·7.50 SP
5	10	Dream Legend J: Colin Keane · T: E D Delany · draw 13 3yo · G · ch	01310	9-06	66	—	—	42.4	7/2F·4.50 SP
6	1	Moyassr J: Sam Coen(5) · T: Adrian McGuinness · draw 6 5yo · G · bt	008222	9-13	69	—	—	44.4	11/1·12.00 SP
7	6	Final Boss J: Robbie Colgan · T: Matthew J Smith · draw 15 3yo · G · b	35060	9-07	67	—	—	31.5	40/1·41.00 SP
8	16	Banshof J: James Ryan · T: Matthew J Smith · draw 14 4yo · G · b	68000	9-03	59	—	—	27.2	40/1·41.00 SP
9	5	Red Hugh O'Donnell J: W. J. Lee · T: Gillian Scott · draw 3 5yo · G · brtb	814806	9-10	66	—	—	33.8	7/1·8.00 SP
10	8	Goldrush Kid J: Adam Caffrey · T: Adrian McGuinness · draw 9 5yo · G · btp	085P1	9-07	63	—	—	42.1	7/1·8.00 SP
11	11	The Bear Trap J: Reese Holohan(5) · T: Adrian McGuinness · draw 16 5yo · G · bv	1504	9-05	61	—	—	37.1	22/1·23.00 SP
12	7	Galley Point J: W. M. Lordan · T: T J O'Mara · draw 7 4yo · C · b	279U0	9-07	63	—	—	29.7	28/1·29.00 SP
13	13	Dandyville J: Chris Hayes · T: Ms Claire O'Connell · draw 2 8yo · G · cht	00080	9-04	60	—	—	27.5	66/1·67.00 SP
14	15	Friendly Invoice J: Robert Whearty · T: Conor David Maxwell · draw 12 3yo · F · b	01420	9-02	62	—	—	44.3	50/1·51.00 SP
—	3	Felix Somary J: Sadhbh Tormey(7) · T: John S O'Donoghue · draw 4 3yo · G · bbFT B	990330	9-12	72	—	—	39.3	—
—	4	Calm The Jets J: Rory Cleary · T: C W J Farrell · draw 1 4yo · G · g	98080	9-11	67	—	—	29.7	—
—	21	Hastily J: · T: Tom McGuinness · draw 10 7yo · M · b	00090	7-12	35	—	—	22.0	—

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 15:19 Bellewstown on 30 September 2026?

Givehertilxmas (IRE) won the 15:19 Bellewstown at SP 10.00. Ridden by Jack Kearney. Trained by Gerard Keane.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 15:19 Bellewstown?

No — the AI top pick (Mythical Rock) finished 2.

What were the placings in the 15:19 Bellewstown?

Top finishers: 1. Givehertilxmas (IRE) (10.00), 2. Mythical Rock (IRE) (5.00), 3. Mickey The Steel (GB) (6.50).

What was the winning time for the 15:19 Bellewstown?

The winning time was 1m 46.78s.

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