Who won the 16:29 Bellewstown on 30 September 2026?
Smoke Them Out (IRE) won the 16:29 Bellewstown at SP 5.00. Ridden by Sadhbh Tormey. Trained by T G McCourt.
16:29 Bellewstown
IrelandGannon City Recovery & Recycling Handicap
5f · Flat · Soft To Heavy · 9 runners · €9,000 · Wednesday, 30 September 2026
Result
AI top pick finished 5thRace report
- 1stSmoke Them Out (IRE)Sadhbh Tormey·T G McCourt4/1·5.00SP
- 2ndNouvel Espoir (IRE)Colin Keane·James M Barcoe·beaten .75 lengths15/8F·2.88SP
- 3rdHappy Henry (IRE)W. J. Lee·W. McCreery·beaten 1.25 lengths7/2·4.50SP
Race time
1m 1.49s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Smoke Them Out (IRE))
“Sat second behind the pace-setter - driven to hit the front 1 1/2f out - kept finding late to win”
AI top-rated Bay Of Supremacy (score 52.0) finished 5th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 4.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Other selections
Head-to-head dashboard →Each-way52.0/100 rating
Bay Of Supremacy
6.60Matchbook
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Clonmacash
Clonmacash heads a tightly packed nine-runner sprint at Bellewstown, and our ratings put him narrowly ahead of his rivals, which is enough to make him the one to beat on soft ground over the five furlongs. Bay Of Supremacy is only a pound behind and Smoke Them Out two, so neither can be dismissed, while Harry's Hill is a little further back but still within range if things fall his way. Clonmacash's edge is slim, but he looks the most complete package in a race with little between the principals. Clonmacash is our selection.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Bay Of Supremacy
Ben Coen · J. P. Murtagh · 3yo
Top-rated of 9
score 52.0 · +2.9 clear of next best (49.1)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight65strong134d since last run (rusty)
- Form20% weight63averageLast 6: 1-3-3-1-5
- Ratings50% weight51averageOR 76 — highest combined rating in the field
- Trainer20% weight38below averageJ. P. Murtagh: 5/33 winners last 14d (15%)
MarketBest price 6.60 (Matchbook) · 7th in the market of 9.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Bellewstown 5f
full course data →Sample too small to call at this course and trip.
Low (1–3)
IV 1.08
Mid (4–6)
IV 0.77
High (7–9)
IV 1.12
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 30 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | J: Sadhbh Tormey(7) · T: T G McCourt · draw 9 4yo · G · b | 203077 | 67 | 33.4 | 4/1·5.00 SP |
| 2 | 4 | J: Colin Keane · T: James M Barcoe · draw 8 6yo · G · b | 144322 | 70 | 43.9 | 15/8F·2.88 SP |
| 3 | 7 | J: W. J. Lee · T: W. McCreery · draw 4 5yo · G · bp | 131593 | 67 | 49.1 | 7/2·4.50 SP |
| 4 | 9 | J: Neve Bennett(7) · T: Jarlath P Fahey · draw 1 3yo · F · bp | 40100 | 62 | 33.8 | 40/1·41.00 SP |
| 5 | 1 | J: Ben Coen · T: J. P. Murtagh · draw 2 3yo · G · bb | 13315 | 76 | 52.0 | 9/2·5.50 SP |
| 6 | 2 | J: Sam Coen(5) · T: Adrian McGuinness · draw 3 5yo · G · bv | 437516 | 75 | 44.0 | 9/2·5.50 SP |
| — | 3 | J: Siobhan Rutledge · T: H Rogers · draw 5 6yo · G · bb | 129356 | 72 | 41.5 | — |
| — | 5 | J: R. P. Whelan · T: Tracey Collins · draw 6 5yo · G · ch | 315604 | 69 | 39.7 | — |
| — | 6 | J: Shay Wallace(7) · T: Martin Hassett · draw 7 8yo · G · bt | 060621 | 69 | 47.1 | — |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:29 Bellewstown?
No — the AI top pick (Bay Of Supremacy) finished 5.
What were the placings in the 16:29 Bellewstown?
Top finishers: 1. Smoke Them Out (IRE) (5.00), 2. Nouvel Espoir (IRE) (2.88), 3. Happy Henry (IRE) (4.50).
What was the winning time for the 16:29 Bellewstown?
The winning time was 1m 1.49s.
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