Who won the 19:30 Newcastle (AW) on 1 October 2026?
Kody B (IRE) won the 19:30 Newcastle (AW) at SP 9.00. Ridden by Shane Gray. Trained by Craig Lidster.
19:30 Newcastle (AW)
Get Raceday Ready Handicap Stakes
7f · Flat · Class 5 · Standard · 10 runners · £3,978 · Thursday, 1 October 2026
Result
AI top pick finished 8thRace report
- 1stKody B (IRE)Shane Gray·Craig Lidster8/1·9.00SP
- 2ndEspanita (IRE)Connor Beasley·Charlie Johnston·beaten .5 lengths15/8F·2.88SP
- 3rdRousham (GB)Faye McManoman·Nigel Tinkler·beaten .5 lengths11/1·12.00SP
Race time
1m 27.67s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Kody B (IRE))
“Out in front from the off and pulled hard early - kept in front through the middle stages - pushed along 2f out - kept finding more from over 1f out to win”
AI top-rated March Ahead (score 58.7) finished 8th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 20.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Other selections
Head-to-head dashboard →Each-way47.7/100 rating
Egotistical
8.80Matchbook
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Egotistical
Egotistical is our selection here, a progressive sort whose form the clock backs up, and she sits only three pounds behind the top-rated Kilfrush Desert on our figures, which is a gap she can close. Kilfrush Desert is narrowly ahead on paper and is the chief danger, while If I Could Dream and March Ahead are each just a pound behind him and will be in the mix too. This looks a tight, open sevenfurlong event at Newcastle, and Egotistical's upward trajectory makes her the one to side with despite the modest margins. We go with Egotistical.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
March Ahead
Paul Mulrennan · Bryan Smart · 3yo
Top-rated of 10
score 58.7 · +8.7 clear of next best (50.0)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Trainer20% weight100small sample (n=6)Bryan Smart: 3/6 winners last 14d (50%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
- Freshness10% weight100very strong26d since last run (race-fit window)
- Ratings50% weight45below averageOR 68
- Form20% weight30weakLast 6: 1-8-4-5-7
MarketBest price 24.00 (Matchbook) · 7th in the market of 10.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Newcastle (AW) 7f
full course data →No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.
Low (1–4)
IV 0.94
Mid (5–7)
IV 1.06
High (8–10)
IV 1.01
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 632 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | J: Shane Gray · T: Craig Lidster · draw 3 3yo · G · bp | 045667 | 67 | 36.6 | 8/1·9.00 SP |
| 2 | 5 | J: Connor Beasley · T: Charlie Johnston · draw 4 3yo · F · grh | 616312 | 67 | 50.0 | 15/8F·2.88 SP |
| 3 | 10 | J: Faye McManoman · T: Nigel Tinkler · draw 6 3yo · G · bh | 210460 | 61 | 47.6 | 11/1·12.00 SP |
| 4 | 4 | J: Ross Coakley · T: Roger Varian · draw 2 3yo · F · b | 317424 | 67 | 47.7 | 9/2·5.50 SP |
| 5 | 8 | J: Tom Eaves · T: Kevin Ryan · draw 8 3yo · F · b | 32288 | 65 | 44.4 | 12/1·13.00 SP |
| 6 | 2 | J: Billy Garritty · T: Liam Bailey · draw 1 3yo · G · b | 27180 | 68 | 45.1 | 66/1·67.00 SP |
| 7 | 7 | J: Billy Loughnane · T: Jack Channon · draw 7 3yo · F · b | 755148 | 66 | 37.1 | 100/30·4.33 SP |
| 8 | 3 | J: Paul Mulrennan · T: Bryan Smart · draw 9 3yo · F · b | 18457 | 68 | 58.7 | 20/1·21.00 SP |
| 9 | 9 | J: Rowan Scott · T: Brian Ellison · draw 10 3yo · G · chb | 937805 | 63 | 38.2 | 16/1·17.00 SP |
| 10 | 1 | J: Conor Whiteley(5) · T: Stephen Hanlon · draw 5 3yo · F · bvFT V | 03093 | 69 | 43.9 | 28/1·29.00 SP |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 19:30 Newcastle (AW)?
No — the AI top pick (March Ahead) finished 8.
What were the placings in the 19:30 Newcastle (AW)?
Top finishers: 1. Kody B (IRE) (9.00), 2. Espanita (IRE) (2.88), 3. Rousham (GB) (12.00).
What was the winning time for the 19:30 Newcastle (AW)?
The winning time was 1m 27.67s.
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