Who won the 13:58 Nottingham on 1 October 2026?
Tumishi (GB) won the 13:58 Nottingham at SP 6.50. Ridden by Daniel Muscutt. Trained by James Fanshawe.
13:58 Nottingham
Racedays For £9 At Nottingham Racecourse Nursery Handicap Stakes
6f · Flat · Class 4 · Good · 10 runners · £5,400 · Thursday, 1 October 2026
Result
AI top pick finished 4thRace report
- 1stTumishi (GB)Daniel Muscutt·James Fanshawe11/2·6.50SP
- 2ndPure Mint (IRE)Harry Davies·Simon & Ed Crisford·beaten .5 lengths9/2·5.50SP
- 3rdWashington Royale (GB)Kevin Stott·Michael Appleby·beaten 2.75 lengths9/2·5.50SP
Race time
1m 12.82s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Tumishi (GB))
“Prominent early - cut gap to the front runner over 1f out - pushed along inside the final furlong and kept on strongly - edged ahead near the line to win”
AI top-rated Pride of Toledo (score 58.5) finished 4th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 3.33 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Other selections
Head-to-head dashboard →Each-way58.5/100 rating
Pride of Toledo
5.10Smarkets
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Pride of Toledo
Pride of Toledo looks the one to beat at Nottingham, sitting on a rating of 96 that is a significant 7 lb better than anything else in this ten-runner field. That sort of advantage is hard to overlook in a Class 4 sprint over 6f on good ground, and it gives us real confidence that he can dictate terms. Undercover Affair and Pure Mint, both on 89, are the most obvious dangers, with Tumishi a little further back on 86 and needing to improve to get involved. Pride of Toledo is the confident selection.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Pride of Toledo
Callum Rodriguez · Clive Cox · 2yo
Top-rated of 10
score 58.5 · +0.2 clear of next best (58.3)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight100very strong20d since last run (race-fit window)
- Ratings50% weight57averageOR 85 — highest combined rating in the field
- Trainer20% weight53averageClive Cox: 5/24 winners last 14d (21%)
- Form20% weight49below averageLast 6: 5-1-4-5
MarketBest price 5.10 (Smarkets) · market favourite.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Nottingham 6f
full course data →No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.
Low (1–4)
IV 0.90
Mid (5–7)
IV 1.04
High (8–10)
IV 1.08
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 149 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | J: Daniel Muscutt · T: James Fanshawe · draw 3 2yo · C · gr | 4317 | 79 | 58.3 | 11/2·6.50 SP |
| 2 | 2 | J: Harry Davies · T: Simon & Ed Crisford · draw 6 2yo · C · b | 16 | 84 | 47.3 | 9/2·5.50 SP |
| 3 | 3 | J: Kevin Stott · T: Michael Appleby · draw 10 2yo · C · b | 45518 | 79 | 53.4 | 9/2·5.50 SP |
| 4 | 1 | J: Callum Rodriguez · T: Clive Cox · draw 8 2yo · C · b | 5145 | 85 | 58.5 | 100/30F·4.33 SP |
| 5 | 10 | J: Sean Levey · T: Adam Kirby · draw 9 2yo · C · bt | 3462 | 72 | 47.4 | 9/1·10.00 SP |
| 6 | 6 | J: Ray Dawson · T: Roger Varian · draw 1 2yo · C · ch | 24 | 76 | 52.5 | 9/2·5.50 SP |
| 7 | 9 | J: Kaiya Fraser · T: Harry Eustace · draw 4 2yo · F · b | 931 | 73 | 47.0 | 40/1·41.00 SP |
| 8 | 8 | J: William Buick · T: John & Thady Gosden · draw 5 2yo · C · ch | 644 | 76 | 53.0 | 20/1·21.00 SP |
| 9 | 7 | J: Callum Shepherd · T: Charlie Johnston · draw 2 2yo · F · bh | 671 | 76 | 53.5 | 28/1·29.00 SP |
| 10 | 4 | J: Marco Ghiani · T: David Evans · draw 7 2yo · G · gr | 231857 | 79 | 44.8 | 22/1·23.00 SP |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 13:58 Nottingham?
No — the AI top pick (Pride of Toledo) finished 4.
What were the placings in the 13:58 Nottingham?
Top finishers: 1. Tumishi (GB) (6.50), 2. Pure Mint (IRE) (5.50), 3. Washington Royale (GB) (5.50).
What was the winning time for the 13:58 Nottingham?
The winning time was 1m 12.82s.
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