Who won the 14:33 Nottingham on 1 October 2026?
Corsican Caper (IRE) won the 14:33 Nottingham at SP 4.50. Ridden by Sean Dylan Bowen. Trained by Kevin & Lauren Frost.
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2m2f · Flat · Class 6 · Good · 10 runners · £3,664 · Thursday, 1 October 2026
Race time recorded.
“missed the break - dropped out at back - made smooth progress over 3f out - nudged over 2f out - moved into second over 1f out - hit front inside final furlong - quickly drew off to win comfortably”
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Noble Grace gets the vote at Nottingham on the strength of a progressive profile, and she sits just two pounds behind the top-rated Al's River on our figures, so there is little to choose between them on ability. Over 18 furlongs on good ground, a rising type who keeps finding improvement can get past the top-rated. Al's River is the chief danger as the highest-rated runner, while Urban Warrior, a few pounds adrift, and Sir Griflet complete the list of dangers in a wide-open Class 6 contest. Noble Grace is our selection, though this is a low-confidence call.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Jonny Peate · Ben Case · 7yo
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Strong: high (outside) favoured (IV 1.26).
Today: Pacific Storm (draw 11) and Noble Grace (draw 10) get the bias; Corsican Caper (draw 4) is in the least-favoured band.
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 41 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | J: Sean Dylan Bowen · T: Kevin & Lauren Frost · draw 4 6yo · G · gr | 69435 | 47 | 43.1 | 7/2·4.50 SP |
| 2 | 4 | J: Jonny Peate · T: Ben Case · draw 7 7yo · M · chb | 634514 | 51 | 53.1 | 9/1·10.00 SP |
| 3 | 6 | J: Daniel Muscutt · T: James Horton · draw 9 3yo · G · bp | 64835 | 56 | 39.2 | 12/1·13.00 SP |
| 4 | 2 | J: Marco Ghiani · T: Stuart Williams · draw 8 4yo · G · bp | 443315 | 57 | 50.3 | 6/4F·2.50 SP |
| 5 | 10 | J: Kaiya Fraser · T: David Flood · draw 3 9yo · M · b | 07469 | 34 | 27.0 | 100/1·101.00 SP |
| 6 | 9 | J: Callum Shepherd · T: Dylan Cunha · draw 5 3yo · G · bt | 004336 | 54 | 44.1 | 9/4·3.25 SP |
| 7 | 11 | J: Gina Mangan · T: Ed de Giles · draw 1 3yo · F · b | 50658 | 42 | 27.5 | 66/1·67.00 SP |
| 8 | 3 | J: Myla Coppins(5) · T: Tony Carroll · draw 6 7yo · M · b | 51435 | 52 | 38.9 | 20/1·21.00 SP |
| 9 | 7 | J: Taryn Langley(5) · T: Tom Gretton · draw 2 5yo · M · chp | 76055 | 47 | 38.5 | 80/1·81.00 SP |
| 10 | 12 | J: Kieran O'Neill · T: Ian Williams · draw 12 3yo · G · b | 60860 | 38 | 30.4 | 50/1·51.00 SP |
| — | — | J: Rob Hornby · T: Warren Greatrex · draw 10 5yo · M · b | 474137 | 59 | 43.2 | — |
| — | — | J: Jack Dace(5) · T: David Menuisier · draw 11 3yo · G · bvFT V | 575 | 59 | 47.7 | — |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Corsican Caper (IRE) won the 14:33 Nottingham at SP 4.50. Ridden by Sean Dylan Bowen. Trained by Kevin & Lauren Frost.
No — the AI top pick (Regally Blonde) finished 2.
Top finishers: 1. Corsican Caper (IRE) (4.50), 2. Regally Blonde (GB) (10.00), 3. Al's River (IRE) (13.00).
The winning time was 3m 57.97s.
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