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2m2f · Flat · Class 6 · Good · 10 runners · £3,664 · Thursday, 1 October 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick placed 2nd
  1. 1st
    Corsican Caper (IRE)
    Sean Dylan Bowen·Kevin & Lauren Frost
    7/2·4.50
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Regally Blonde (GB)AI top pick · 53.1
    Jonny Peate·Ben Case·beaten 5 lengths
    9/1·10.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Al's River (IRE)
    Daniel Muscutt·James Horton·beaten 6 lengths
    12/1·13.00
    SP
Race time
3m 57.97s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Corsican Caper (IRE))

“missed the break - dropped out at back - made smooth progress over 3f out - nudged over 2f out - moved into second over 1f out - hit front inside final furlong - quickly drew off to win comfortably”

Settled · 1pt level stake = 9.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Each-way53.1/100 rating
Regally Blonde
14.00Betfair Exchange

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Noble Grace

Noble Grace gets the vote at Nottingham on the strength of a progressive profile, and she sits just two pounds behind the top-rated Al's River on our figures, so there is little to choose between them on ability. Over 18 furlongs on good ground, a rising type who keeps finding improvement can get past the top-rated. Al's River is the chief danger as the highest-rated runner, while Urban Warrior, a few pounds adrift, and Sir Griflet complete the list of dangers in a wide-open Class 6 contest. Noble Grace is our selection, though this is a low-confidence call.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Regally Blonde

Jonny Peate · Ben Case · 7yo

Top-rated of 12
score 53.1 · +2.8 clear of next best (50.3)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    85very strong
    30d since last run (fresh)
  • Trainer20% weight
    83small sample (n=3)
    Ben Case: 1/3 winners last 14d (33%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
  • Form20% weight
    55average
    Last 6: 6-3-4-5-1-4
  • Ratings50% weight
    34weak
    OR 51
MarketBest price 14.00 (Betfair Exchange) · 6th in the market of 12.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Nottingham 2m2f

full course data →

Strong: high (outside) favoured (IV 1.26).

Low (1–4)
IV 0.66
Mid (5–8)
IV 1.14
High (9–12)
IV 1.26

Today: Pacific Storm (draw 11) and Noble Grace (draw 10) get the bias; Corsican Caper (draw 4) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 41 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
18
6yo · G · gr
69435
4743.1
7/2·4.50
SP
24
J: Jonny Peate · T: Ben Case · draw 7
7yo · M · chb
634514
5153.1
9/1·10.00
SP
36
J: Daniel Muscutt · T: James Horton · draw 9
3yo · G · bp
64835
5639.2
12/1·13.00
SP
42
J: Marco Ghiani · T: Stuart Williams · draw 8
4yo · G · bp
443315
5750.3
6/4F·2.50
SP
510
J: Kaiya Fraser · T: David Flood · draw 3
9yo · M · b
07469
3427.0
100/1·101.00
SP
69
J: Callum Shepherd · T: Dylan Cunha · draw 5
3yo · G · bt
004336
5444.1
9/4·3.25
SP
711
J: Gina Mangan · T: Ed de Giles · draw 1
3yo · F · b
50658
4227.5
66/1·67.00
SP
83
J: Myla Coppins(5) · T: Tony Carroll · draw 6
7yo · M · b
51435
5238.9
20/1·21.00
SP
97
J: Taryn Langley(5) · T: Tom Gretton · draw 2
5yo · M · chp
76055
4738.5
80/1·81.00
SP
1012
J: Kieran O'Neill · T: Ian Williams · draw 12
3yo · G · b
60860
3830.4
50/1·51.00
SP
——
J: Rob Hornby · T: Warren Greatrex · draw 10
5yo · M · b
474137
5943.2—
——
J: Jack Dace(5) · T: David Menuisier · draw 11
3yo · G · bvFT V
575
5947.7—

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 14:33 Nottingham on 1 October 2026?

Corsican Caper (IRE) won the 14:33 Nottingham at SP 4.50. Ridden by Sean Dylan Bowen. Trained by Kevin & Lauren Frost.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 14:33 Nottingham?

No — the AI top pick (Regally Blonde) finished 2.

What were the placings in the 14:33 Nottingham?

Top finishers: 1. Corsican Caper (IRE) (4.50), 2. Regally Blonde (GB) (10.00), 3. Al's River (IRE) (13.00).

What was the winning time for the 14:33 Nottingham?

The winning time was 3m 57.97s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org