Who won the 15:43 Nottingham on 1 October 2026?
Kaindy (IRE) won the 15:43 Nottingham at SP 2.00. Ridden by Ray Dawson. Trained by Roger Varian.
15:43 Nottingham
£9 Racedays At Nottingham Racecourse Handicap Stakes
1m½f · Flat · Class 4 · Good · 9 runners · £6,281 · Thursday, 1 October 2026
Result
AI top pick finished 9thRace report
- 1stKaindy (IRE)Ray Dawson·Roger Varian1/1F·2.00SP
- 2ndEmpire Of Light (IRE)Oliver Stammers·Grant Tuer·beaten 2 lengths11/1·12.00SP
- 3rdRevelance (GB)James Doyle·Ralph Beckett·beaten .75 lengths7/2·4.50SP
Race time
1m 43.63s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Kaindy (IRE))
“Raced in the pack's midst - urged along over 3f out - drifted left but gained ground rapidly 2f out - hit the front over 1f out and stayed on strongly to win”
AI top-rated Rogue Defence (score 67.0) finished 9th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 25.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Other selections
Head-to-head dashboard →Each-way50.7/100 rating
Caim
13.00Star Sports
Place portion settles at 3.40 · 1/5 odds · 3 places
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Caim
Caim gets the nod in this Nottingham eight-furlong contest, with a progressive profile, a fitness edge and a clock that backs the form all pointing her way. Itsatenfromlen is top-rated on our figures at 99, six pounds ahead of Caim, so he is the obvious danger, but we prefer the one on the upgrade. We Dare To Dream shares Caim's figure of 93 and Revelance, at 90, is also within range, so this is far from a foregone conclusion. Caim is still the pick, though only on a low-confidence basis.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Rogue Defence
Harry Davies · Jack Jones · 3yo
Top-rated of 11
score 67.0 · +7.5 clear of next best (59.5)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight100very strong21d since last run (race-fit window)
- Trainer20% weight83very strongJack Jones: 4/12 winners last 14d (33%)
- Form20% weight63averageLast 6: 1-5-1-4-3
- Ratings50% weight56averageOR 84
MarketBest price 190.00 (Matchbook) · 11th in the market of 11.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Nottingham 1m½f
full course data →No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.
Low (1–4)
IV 0.91
Mid (5–8)
IV 0.99
High (9–11)
IV 1.11
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 196 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | J: Ray Dawson · T: Roger Varian · draw 3 3yo · G · ch | 72312 | 85 | 59.5 | 1/1F·2.00 SP |
| 2 | 1 | J: Oliver Stammers · T: Grant Tuer · draw 1 5yo · G · b | 11100 | 85 | 50.3 | 11/1·12.00 SP |
| 3 | 2 | J: James Doyle · T: Ralph Beckett · draw 11 4yo · F · b | 97616 | 85 | 55.8 | 7/2·4.50 SP |
| 4 | 10 | J: David Probert · T: Hugo Palmer · draw 6 3yo · G · bv | 41252 | 75 | 52.2 | 11/2·6.50 SP |
| 5 | 3 | J: Silvestre De Sousa · T: Ivan Furtado · draw 2 4yo · G · btFirst after wind op | 07190 | 83 | 38.9 | 33/1·34.00 SP |
| 6 | 11 | J: Rob Hornby · T: Jack Channon · draw 9 3yo · G · b | 0245 | 74 | 39.4 | 33/1·34.00 SP |
| 7 | 8 | J: Sean Dylan Bowen · T: Harriet Bethell · draw 8 3yo · G · b | 31175 | 82 | 56.6 | 10/1·11.00 SP |
| 8 | 6 | J: Mark Winn · T: David O'Meara · draw 5 4yo · G · b | 20060 | 82 | 37.9 | 22/1·23.00 SP |
| 9 | 7 | J: Harry Davies · T: Jack Jones · draw 10 3yo · G · gr | 15143 | 84 | 67.0 | 25/1·26.00 SP |
| — | — | J: Laura Pearson · T: David Loughnane · draw 4 4yo · G · bt | 611210 | 76 | 48.0 | — |
| — | — | J: Callum Shepherd · T: Edward Bethell · draw 7 3yo · F · bpFT P | 12496 | 85 | 50.7 | — |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 15:43 Nottingham?
No — the AI top pick (Rogue Defence) finished 9.
What were the placings in the 15:43 Nottingham?
Top finishers: 1. Kaindy (IRE) (2.00), 2. Empire Of Light (IRE) (12.00), 3. Revelance (GB) (4.50).
What was the winning time for the 15:43 Nottingham?
The winning time was 1m 43.63s.
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