Who won the 14:25 Ascot on 2 October 2026?
Pink Larkspur (IRE) won the 14:25 Ascot at SP 2.75. Ridden by William Buick. Trained by John & Thady Gosden.
14:25 Ascot
BetMGM EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race)
7f · Flat · Class 2 · Good To Firm · 5 runners · £16,200 · Friday, 2 October 2026
Result
AI top pick placed 2ndRace report
- 1stPink Larkspur (IRE)William Buick·John & Thady Gosden7/4F·2.75SP
- 2ndLearning (GB)AI top pick · 54.6Pat Dobbs·Richard Hannon·beaten 1.25 lengths15/8·2.88SP
- 3rdIbtekar (IRE)Kieran Shoemark·Ed Walker·beaten 0.2 lengths14/1·15.00SP
Race time
1m 28.96s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Pink Larkspur (IRE))
“missed the break - pushed out from last of the field - niggled over 2f out - picked up smoothly - second over 1f out - edged in front inside final furlong - stayed on strongly to win”
Settled · 1pt level stake = 1.88 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Why the model rates this top
Learning
Pat Dobbs · Richard Hannon · 2yo
Top-rated of 5
score 54.6 · +17.0 clear of next best (37.6)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight100very strong14d since last run (race-fit window)
- Form20% weight59averageLast 6: 5-4-2
- Ratings50% weight57averageOR 85 — highest combined rating in the field
- Trainer20% weight23weakRichard Hannon: 5/53 winners last 14d (9%)
MarketBest price 3.50 (Hollywood Bets) · 2nd in the market of 5.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Ascot 7f
full course data →Moderate: high (outside) favoured (IV 1.16).
Low (1–2)
IV 0.87
Mid (3–4)
IV 0.98
High (5–5)
IV 1.16
Today: India's Ridge (draw 5) gets the bias; Ibtekar (draw 1) is in the least-favoured band.
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 130 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | J: William Buick · T: John & Thady Gosden · draw 4 2yo · F · ch | 2 | — | 37.6 | 7/4F·2.75 SP |
| 2 | 4 | J: Pat Dobbs · T: Richard Hannon · draw 3 2yo · F · b | 542 | 85 | 54.6 | 15/8·2.88 SP |
| 3 | 2 | J: Kieran Shoemark · T: Ed Walker · draw 1 2yo · F · b | — | — | 24.5 | 14/1·15.00 SP |
| 4 | 1 | J: Colin Keane · T: Andrew Balding · draw 2 2yo · F · ch | 5 | — | 20.0 | 5/2·3.50 SP |
| 5 | 3 | J: Sean Levey · T: Richard Hannon · draw 5 2yo · F · b | — | — | 19.5 | 25/1·26.00 SP |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 14:25 Ascot?
No — the AI top pick (Learning) finished 2.
What were the placings in the 14:25 Ascot?
Top finishers: 1. Pink Larkspur (IRE) (2.75), 2. Learning (GB) (2.88), 3. Ibtekar (IRE) (15.00).
What was the winning time for the 14:25 Ascot?
The winning time was 1m 28.96s.
Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org