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RacingAlpha

17:00 Dundalk (AW)

Ireland

BAR 1 Betting 'Download Our App' Handicap

5f · Flat · Standard · 12 runners · €6,000 · Friday, 2 October 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick wonat SP 6/4F·2.50
  1. 1st
    Caffu Zafeen (IRE)AI top pick · 48.7
    Shay Wallace·Paul W Flynn
    6/4F·2.50
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Blue Anthem (GB)
    Sam Coen·Adrian McGuinness·beaten 1.5 lengths
    5/2·3.50
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Subiaco (IRE)
    Reese Holohan·Miss Jennifer Anne Lynch·beaten 1 length
    18/1·19.00
    SP
Race time
1m 0.20s

Race time recorded.

Settled · 1pt level stake = 1.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Each-way40.1/100 rating
Blue Anthem
7.20Matchbook

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Blue Anthem

Blue Anthem is our selection for this 14-runner 5f Dundalk sprint, and his progressive profile earns him the nod over Inishmot Prince, who is rated just two pounds better on our figures. That is a narrow gap, and Blue Anthem's upward trajectory makes him the more appealing proposition if he continues to improve. Inishmot Prince is the chief danger on top rating, while Happy Henry and Bye Bye Now also have the credentials to figure in what looks an open contest. Blue Anthem is the pick, though confidence is low.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Caffu Zafeen

Shay Wallace(7) · Paul W Flynn · 5yo

Top-rated of 14
score 48.7 · +3.9 clear of next best (44.9)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    70strong
    7d since last run (quick turnaround)
  • Form20% weight
    59average
    Last 6: 0-9-0-5-1-1
  • Trainer20% weight
    45below average
    Paul W Flynn: 2/11 winners last 14d (18%)
  • Ratings50% weight
    42below average
    OR 63 — highest combined rating in the field
MarketBest price 2.00 (Bet365) · market favourite.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Dundalk (AW) 5f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–5)
IV 0.94
Mid (6–10)
IV 1.06
High (11–14)
IV 1.02

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 217 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
11
J: Shay Wallace(7) · T: Paul W Flynn · draw 4
5yo · G · b
090511
6348.7
6/4F·2.50
SP
26
J: Sam Coen(5) · T: Adrian McGuinness · draw 13
4yo · G · btv
008832
5640.1
5/2·3.50
SP
39
3yo · G · b
14080
5427.6
18/1·19.00
SP
414
J: Ben Coen · T: Patrick Magee · draw 9
3yo · F · ch
00900
4533.2
22/1·23.00
SP
510
3yo · G · bp
061744
4833.0
13/2·7.50
SP
65
J: Jack Kearney(3) · T: John McConnell · draw 1
4yo · F · ch
441427
5735.9
8/1·9.00
SP
77
J: Nicola Burns(5) · T: Ms M McDowall · draw 7
3yo · G · bt
0760
5538.6
28/1·29.00
SP
88
J: Donagh O'Connor · T: John McConnell · draw 12
6yo · G · brtv
021805
5432.9
66/1·67.00
SP
911
J: J M Sheridan · T: Denis Gerard Hogan · draw 6
4yo · G · b
020200
4835.0
33/1·34.00
SP
103
J: James Ryan · T: T G McCourt · draw 2
8yo · G · bv
515587
5844.9
12/1·13.00
SP
1112
J: Diego Lima · T: Diego Dias · draw 14
3yo · F · b
0500
4626.5
50/1·51.00
SP
1213
J: Siobhan Rutledge · T: John McConnell · draw 8
6yo · M · ch
26979
4526.5
25/1·26.00
SP
——
J: W. J. Lee · T: W. McCreery · draw 11
5yo · G · bp
315933
6039.9—
——
J: Adam Caffrey · T: Adrian McGuinness · draw 5
3yo · G · bbFT B
700881
5836.5—

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 17:00 Dundalk (AW) on 2 October 2026?

Caffu Zafeen (IRE) won the 17:00 Dundalk (AW) at SP 2.50. Ridden by Shay Wallace. Trained by Paul W Flynn.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 17:00 Dundalk (AW)?

Yes — the AI top-rated horse, Caffu Zafeen, won the race (AI score 48.7).

What were the placings in the 17:00 Dundalk (AW)?

Top finishers: 1. Caffu Zafeen (IRE) (2.50), 2. Blue Anthem (GB) (3.50), 3. Subiaco (IRE) (19.00).

What was the winning time for the 17:00 Dundalk (AW)?

The winning time was 1m 0.20s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org