Who won the 17:30 Dundalk (AW) on 2 October 2026?
Kerdos (IRE) won the 17:30 Dundalk (AW) at SP 12.00. Ridden by Reese Holohan. Trained by Stephen Thorne.
17:30 Dundalk (AW)
IrelandBAR 1 Casino 'Slot Games & Live Casino' Race
5f · Flat · Standard · 8 runners · €10,800 · Friday, 2 October 2026
Result
AI top pick finished 8thRace report
- 1stKerdos (IRE)Reese Holohan·Stephen Thorne11/1·12.00SP
- 2ndSir Les Patterson (GB)Jack Kearney·Stephen Thorne·beaten .5 lengths3/1F·4.00SP
- 3rdThe Highway Rat (IRE)J M Sheridan·A Oliver·beaten .5 lengths9/2·5.50SP
Race time
59.95s
Race time recorded.
AI top-rated Rosie Frith (score 57.2) finished 8th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 4.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Other selections
Head-to-head dashboard →Each-way57.2/100 rating
Rosie Frith
6.40Matchbook
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Kerdos
Kerdos looks the pick of a tightly packed sprint at Dundalk, with a progressive profile and a clock that backs up the form, which is enough to prefer him to the top-rated runner. He is only a pound behind Sir Les Patterson on our figures, so there is very little between them, and The Highway Rat sits level with him on 98. Valiant Force is a couple of pounds adrift but remains a live danger in a race where the first seven are separated by just five pounds. Kerdos gets the vote, though this is far from a confident call.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Rosie Frith
Patrick McGettigan(5) · Patrick Magee · 3yo
Top-rated of 10
score 57.2 · +3.3 clear of next best (53.9)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight70strong6d since last run (quick turnaround)
- Ratings50% weight61averageOR 92
- Trainer20% weight58averagePatrick Magee: 3/13 winners last 14d (23%)
- Form20% weight40below averageLast 6: 1-4-4-1-0-6
MarketBest price 6.40 (Matchbook) · 3rd in the market of 10.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Dundalk (AW) 5f
full course data →No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.
Low (1–4)
IV 0.94
Mid (5–7)
IV 1.06
High (8–10)
IV 1.02
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 217 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | J: Reese Holohan(5) · T: Stephen Thorne · draw 4 6yo · G · bb | 686019 | 90 | 44.6 | 11/1·12.00 SP |
| 2 | 2 | J: Jack Kearney(3) · T: Stephen Thorne · draw 7 5yo · G · bp | 406030 | 101 | 47.5 | 3/1F·4.00 SP |
| 3 | 5 | J: J M Sheridan · T: A Oliver · draw 2 8yo · G · bb | 260905 | 90 | 48.1 | 9/2·5.50 SP |
| 4 | 4 | J: Ben Coen · T: J. P. Murtagh · draw 8 3yo · G · bp | 56780 | 84 | 46.6 | 18/1·19.00 SP |
| 5 | 3 | J: Rowan Scott · T: Robson De Aguiar · draw 1 5yo · C · rnb | 990777 | 91 | 49.1 | 15/2·8.50 SP |
| 6 | 10 | J: Terry Casey(7) · T: Daniel James Murphy · draw 6 4yo · F · baybrownt | 207020 | 87 | 40.4 | 100/30·4.33 SP |
| 7 | 9 | J: W. J. Lee · T: Miss Natalia Lupini · draw 5 3yo · F · b | 21207 | 87 | 45.3 | 20/1·21.00 SP |
| 8 | 8 | J: Patrick McGettigan(5) · T: Patrick Magee · draw 9 3yo · F · b | 144106 | 92 | 57.2 | 4/1·5.00 SP |
| — | — | J: James Ryan · T: Daniel James Murphy · draw 10 4yo · F · bp | 11046 | 79 | 42.6 | — |
| — | — | J: Donagh O'Connor · T: Robson De Aguiar · draw 3 3yo · F · b | 746810 | 92 | 53.9 | — |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 17:30 Dundalk (AW)?
No — the AI top pick (Rosie Frith) finished 8.
What were the placings in the 17:30 Dundalk (AW)?
Top finishers: 1. Kerdos (IRE) (12.00), 2. Sir Les Patterson (GB) (4.00), 3. The Highway Rat (IRE) (5.50).
What was the winning time for the 17:30 Dundalk (AW)?
The winning time was 59.95s.
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