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Next · 42m14:30Gowran Park

14:37 Fontwell

Off in 49m

Free Tips On attheraces.com Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)

2m1½f · Hurdle · Class 4 · Good · 11 runners · £5,446 · Saturday, 3 October 2026

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Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated
No. 2 · score 56.5 · +18.7 clear of next best · best 5/1·6.00
Best value vs consensus
9·9.00 Matchbook · +4% vs fair (consensus 8.64)

One book stands out from the de-overrounded consensus of 29 bookmakers. A price check, not a tip — the market can be wrong about a horse.

Each-way56.5/100 rating
Down To Business
6.00Smarkets

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

No pundit verdict published for this race — the Racing Post covers most but not all races. Our model's view is above.

Why the model rates this top

Down To Business

Harry Skelton · Dan Skelton · 4yo

Top-rated of 12
score 56.5 · +18.7 clear of next best (37.8)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Ratings50% weight
    76strong
    OR 114 — highest combined rating in the field
  • Freshness10% weight
    70strong
    8d since last run (quick turnaround)
  • Form20% weight
    43below average
    Last 6: 3-4-5-1-0
  • Trainer20% weight
    15weak
    Dan Skelton: 1/16 winners last 14d (6%)
MarketBest price 6.00 (Smarkets) · 3rd in the market of 12.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: Lone front-runner — could dictate from the front if unchallenged.

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair
No.HorseFormORAIFairBestAdd to betslip
2
J: Harry Skelton · T: Dan Skelton · draw 0 · combo 70/219 (32%)
4yo · G · gtClass dropGoing 1/2
34510
11456.55/1·6.176·6.00
Smarkets · -3% vs fair
Compare 29 books ▾
3
J: Tom Cannon · T: Chris Gordon · draw 0
5yo · G · bOnly ride
F1
—37.815/2·8.649·9.00
Matchbook · +4% vs fair
Compare 29 books ▾
6
4yo · G · bClass dropOnly rideOnly runner
——26.510/3·4.323.95·3.95
Matchbook · -8% vs fair
Compare 29 books ▾
7
J: Jack Quinlan · T: Richard Bandey · draw 0
4yo · G · bOnly pairing
——26.510/1·11.1110.5·10.50
Smarkets · -5% vs fair
Compare 29 books ▾
1
J: Sean Bowen · T: A. J. Martin · draw 0
5yo · G · bDGoing 1/3Only runner
01
—25.82/1·2.942.68·2.68
Betfair Exchange · -9% vs fair
Compare 29 books ▾
9
J: Harry Kimber · T: Mrs R Ford · draw 0
4yo · G · baybrownOnly rideOnly runner
77P42
—24.7200/1·186.32500·500.00
Smarkets · +168% vs fair
Compare 29 books ▾
—
J: James Davies · T: Oliver Signy · draw 0
4yo · G · btOnly runner
5540
—21.0100/1·124.62125/1·126.00
Paddy Power
Compare 13 books ▾
12
J: Harriet Tucker(7) · T: Neil Mulholland · draw 0 · combo 0/5 (0%)
4yo · F · bOnly ride
43
—17.5200/1·186.32390·390.00
Matchbook · +109% vs fair
Compare 29 books ▾
5
4yo · G · bhFT HOnly runner
——14.550/1·50.59300·300.00
Smarkets · +493% vs fair
Compare 29 books ▾
4
6yo · G · bOnly runner
56U5
—13.880/1·82.67150·150.00
Matchbook · +81% vs fair
Compare 29 books ▾
11
J: Richie McLernon · T: Gary Brown · draw 0 · combo 0/5 (0%)
5yo · M · bOnly rideOnly runner
P179P
—12.1200/1·186.32500·500.00
Smarkets · +168% vs fair
Compare 29 books ▾
10
J: Lorcan Williams · T: Jeremy Scott · draw 0
5yo · M · bOnly runner
0996
—8.7250/1·248.02440·440.00
Matchbook · +77% vs fair
Compare 29 books ▾

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 13–29 bookmakers per horse with the 23% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Free Tips On attheraces.com Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)?

The Free Tips On attheraces.com Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race) is off at 14:37 on 3 October 2026 at Fontwell (Great Britain).

What is the field size and distance of the 14:37 Fontwell?

2m1½f, Class 4, Hurdle, 11 runners declared.

What is the going for the 14:37 Fontwell?

Going is reported as Good on Turf.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 14:37 Fontwell?

The AI top-rated runner is Down To Business (score 56.5, best price 6.00). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 14:37 Fontwell?

The market favourite is Eben Zaabeel at a best price of 2.68. The Racing Alpha AI top pick is a different horse — Down To Business.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org