14:10 Newmarket

Off in 24m

Hkjc World Pool Handicap Stakes (gbbplus Race)

1m4f · Flat · Class 2 · Good To Firm · 8 runners · £25,770 · Saturday, 3 October 2026

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E/W terms3 places at 1/5 odds (8 runners)· the study →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated

Primo Lara

No. 6 · score 70.0 · +7.8 clear of next best · best 4/1·4.90

Best value vs consensus

Blue Hercules

21·21.00 Matchbook · +24% vs fair (consensus 16.97)

One book stands out from the de-overrounded consensus of 29 bookmakers. A price check, not a tip — the market can be wrong about a horse.

Other selections

Head-to-head dashboard →

Each-way70.0/100 rating

Primo Lara

4.90Matchbook

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party

Pundit pick: EvanescoDiffers from our pick

Evanesco heads our ratings on 109, four pounds better than Tycoon, and that gap is enough to make him the one to beat in this Class 2 over a mile and a half on good to firm at Newmarket. The pick has the strongest figure in an eight-runner field that looks a notch below him, so he should be able to dictate terms without needing to improve. Tycoon is the chief danger on 105, with Ernst Blofeld on 100 and Arqoob on 95 best placed of the rest, but none of them quite matches our selection's level. Evanesco is the confident choice.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Primo Lara

Saffie Osborne · Jane Chapple-Hyam · 5yo

Top-rated of 8

score 70.0 · +7.8 clear of next best (62.1)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Freshness10% weight
100very strong
14d since last run (race-fit window)
Trainer20% weight
75strong
Jane Chapple-Hyam: 3/10 winners last 14d (30%)
Form20% weight
75strong
Last 6: 5-1-1-4-1-3
Ratings50% weight
60average
OR 90

MarketBest price 4.90 (Matchbook) · 2nd in the market of 8.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: 3 confirmed front-runners — expect a pace duel; closers from the rear advantaged.

Front-runners(3)
1Evanesco 5Sportingsilvermine 7Topteam
Prominent(2)
2Ernst Blofeld 8Blue Hercules
Mid-division(2)
3Tycoon 4Arqoob
Hold-up / closers(0)—
Unknown(1)
6Primo Lara

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — Newmarket 1m4f

full course data →

Moderate: middle favoured (IV 1.23).

Low (1–3)

IV 0.77

Mid (4–6)

IV 1.23

High (7–8)

IV 1.04

Today: Evanesco (draw 4) and Sportingsilvermine (draw 5) get the bias; Arqoob (draw 2) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 93 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair

No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	Fair	Best
6	Primo LaraPick J: Saffie Osborne · T: Jane Chapple-Hyam · draw 7 5yo · G · chDGoing 1/2	511413	9-01	90	—	—	70.0	4/1·4.90	4.9·4.90 Matchbook Compare 29 books ▾ Matchbook4.9·4.90Smarkets4.9·4.90Betfair Exchange4.8·4.80 Star Sports7/2·4.50 BetMGM7/2·4.50 Bet3657/2·4.50 SmarketsSBK7/2·4.50 Paddy Power10/3·4.33 Unibet10/3·4.33Betfair Sportsbook10/3·4.33Spreadex10/3·4.33 William Hill10/3·4.33 Dragon Bet10/3·4.33 Coral10/3·4.33 Ladbrokes10/3·4.33 Quinn Bet10/3·4.33 Bet Victor10/3·4.33 Betano10/3·4.33 7Bet10/3·4.33 BetWright10/3·4.33 Boyle Sports10/3·4.33 BetTom10/3·4.33Hollywood Bets10/3·4.33SportingIndex10/3·4.33 Midnite10/3·4.33 LiveScore Bet3/1·4.00Virgin Bet3/1·4.00Betfred3/1·4.00 10 Bet3/1·4.00
4	Arqoob J: Jack Mitchell · T: Lucy Wadham · draw 2 8yo · G · bbDOnly rideOnly runner	563117	9-02	91	—	—	62.1	18/1·19.24	18.5·18.50 Matchbook · -4% vs fair Compare 29 books ▾ Matchbook18.5·18.50Betfair Exchange18.5·18.50Smarkets18·18.00Coral16/1·17.00 Bet Victor16/1·17.00 BetTom16/1·17.00 Betano16/1·17.00 Boyle Sports16/1·17.00Hollywood Bets16/1·17.00Midnite16/1·17.00 Quinn Bet16/1·17.00 LiveScore Bet16/1·17.00Virgin Bet16/1·17.00Star Sports16/1·17.00 William Hill16/1·17.00 Paddy Power16/1·17.00 Ladbrokes16/1·17.00 SmarketsSBK16/1·17.00 Bet36516/1·17.00 10 Bet16/1·17.00 Betfred14/1·15.00 7Bet14/1·15.00 BetWright14/1·15.00 Dragon Bet14/1·15.00 Unibet14/1·15.00Betfair Sportsbook14/1·15.00BetMGM14/1·15.00 SportingIndex11/1·12.00 Spreadex11/1·12.00
1	Evanesco J: Rowan Scott · T: Charlie Johnston · draw 4 · combo 9/47 (19%) 3yo · C · bD	175315	9-09	104	—	—	62.0	10/3·4.24	4.2·4.20 Smarkets Compare 29 books ▾ Smarkets4.2·4.20Matchbook4.2·4.20Betfair Exchange4.1·4.10 Unibet3/1·4.00 Betfred3/1·4.00 Star Sports3/1·4.00 SmarketsSBK3/1·4.00 Coral11/4·3.75 Ladbrokes11/4·3.75 SportingIndex11/4·3.75 7Bet11/4·3.75 Dragon Bet11/4·3.75Hollywood Bets11/4·3.75BetWright11/4·3.75 William Hill11/4·3.75 Quinn Bet11/4·3.75 BetTom11/4·3.75 Bet Victor11/4·3.75 Boyle Sports11/4·3.75 Betano11/4·3.75Betfair Sportsbook11/4·3.75Paddy Power11/4·3.75 LiveScore Bet11/4·3.75Virgin Bet11/4·3.7510 Bet11/4·3.75 Midnite11/4·3.75 Spreadex11/4·3.75 BetMGM5/2·3.50 Bet3655/2·3.50
3	Tycoon J: Rossa Ryan · T: Kevin Philippart de Foy · draw 8 4yo · G · bOnly runner	303274	9-03	92	—	—	58.2	6/1·6.79	11/2·6.50 Star Sports · -4% vs fair Compare 29 books ▾ Star Sports11/2·6.50Smarkets6.4·6.40Matchbook6.2·6.20Betfair Exchange6.2·6.20 Bet Victor5/1·6.00 Betano5/1·6.00 7Bet5/1·6.00 BetWright5/1·6.00 Betfred5/1·6.00 Coral5/1·6.00 Dragon Bet5/1·6.00Hollywood Bets5/1·6.00Ladbrokes5/1·6.00 Midnite5/1·6.00 Quinn Bet5/1·6.00 LiveScore Bet5/1·6.00Virgin Bet5/1·6.00Betfair Sportsbook5/1·6.00Paddy Power5/1·6.00 Boyle Sports5/1·6.00 William Hill5/1·6.00 Bet3655/1·6.00 BetTom9/2·5.50 SportingIndex9/2·5.50 Spreadex9/2·5.50 SmarketsSBK9/2·5.50 Unibet9/2·5.50 BetMGM9/2·5.50 10 Bet4/1·5.00
2	Ernst Blofeld J: Harry Vigors(5) · T: Hamad Al Jehani · draw 1 4yo · G · bDOnly rideOnly runner	417552	9-07	96	—	—	57.3	13/2·7.36	7.2·7.20 Betfair Exchange · -2% vs fair Compare 29 books ▾ Betfair Exchange7.2·7.20Matchbook7·7.00Smarkets6.8·6.80Hollywood Bets11/2·6.50Dragon Bet11/2·6.50 Betfred11/2·6.50 BetWright11/2·6.50 Bet36511/2·6.50 Bet Victor11/2·6.50 Betano11/2·6.50 SportingIndex11/2·6.50 Spreadex11/2·6.50 7Bet11/2·6.50Betfair Sportsbook11/2·6.50Paddy Power11/2·6.50 10 Bet11/2·6.50 Boyle Sports5/1·6.00 William Hill5/1·6.00 BetTom5/1·6.00 Coral5/1·6.00 LiveScore Bet5/1·6.00 BetMGM5/1·6.00 Quinn Bet5/1·6.00 Star Sports5/1·6.00 Unibet5/1·6.00 Ladbrokes5/1·6.00 Midnite5/1·6.00Virgin Bet5/1·6.00SmarketsSBK5/1·6.00
8	Blue Hercules J: Kieran O'Neill · T: William Muir & Chris Grassick · draw 3 3yo · C · bOnly pairing	202523	8-03	84	—	—	51.8	16/1·16.97	21·21.00 Matchbook · +24% vs fair Compare 29 books ▾ Matchbook21·21.00Betfair Exchange20·20.00Smarkets20·20.00SmarketsSBK18/1·19.00 Bet36516/1·17.00Hollywood Bets14/1·15.00SportingIndex14/1·15.00 BetTom14/1·15.00 BetWright14/1·15.00 10 Bet14/1·15.00Betfair Sportsbook14/1·15.00Paddy Power14/1·15.00 William Hill14/1·15.00 Midnite14/1·15.00 Coral14/1·15.00 Ladbrokes14/1·15.00 Betfred14/1·15.00 Star Sports14/1·15.00 Spreadex14/1·15.00 Dragon Bet14/1·15.00 Quinn Bet14/1·15.00 7Bet14/1·15.00 Bet Victor14/1·15.00 Betano14/1·15.00 Boyle Sports14/1·15.00 LiveScore Bet14/1·15.00Virgin Bet14/1·15.00BetMGM14/1·15.00 Unibet14/1·15.00
5	Sportingsilvermine J: Marco Ghiani · T: James Owen · draw 5 · combo 2/10 (20%) 5yo · G · brDGoing 2/4Only runner	310260	9-02	91	—	—	51.7	9/1·10.18	10.5·10.50 Matchbook · +3% vs fair Compare 29 books ▾ Matchbook10.5·10.50Smarkets10.5·10.50Betfair Exchange10.5·10.50 Bet3659/1·10.00 Betfred17/2·9.50 Midnite8/1·9.00 Spreadex8/1·9.00 Paddy Power8/1·9.00 Dragon Bet8/1·9.00 7Bet8/1·9.00 BetWright8/1·9.00 SmarketsSBK8/1·9.00 Unibet8/1·9.00 BetMGM8/1·9.00 10 Bet8/1·9.00Betfair Sportsbook8/1·9.00SportingIndex8/1·9.00 Quinn Bet8/1·9.00 William Hill15/2·8.50Hollywood Bets15/2·8.50Boyle Sports15/2·8.50 BetTom15/2·8.50 Betano15/2·8.50 LiveScore Bet15/2·8.50Virgin Bet15/2·8.50Bet Victor15/2·8.50 Star Sports7/1·8.00 Ladbrokes6/1·7.00 Coral6/1·7.00
7	Topteam J: Colin Keane · T: Andrew Balding · draw 6 · combo 6/33 (18%) 4yo · G · b	152076	8-13	88	—	—	48.0	14/1·14.71	14.5·14.50 Matchbook Compare 29 books ▾ Matchbook14.5·14.50Smarkets14·14.00Betfair Exchange14·14.00 Coral12/1·13.00 SmarketsSBK12/1·13.00 SportingIndex12/1·13.00 BetMGM12/1·13.00 Spreadex12/1·13.00 Boyle Sports12/1·13.00 Dragon Bet12/1·13.00Hollywood Bets12/1·13.00Quinn Bet12/1·13.00 Paddy Power12/1·13.00 Ladbrokes12/1·13.00 10 Bet12/1·13.00 BetWright12/1·13.00 LiveScore Bet12/1·13.00Virgin Bet12/1·13.00Bet36512/1·13.00 William Hill12/1·13.00 7Bet12/1·13.00 Bet Victor12/1·13.00 BetTom12/1·13.00 Betano12/1·13.00 Star Sports12/1·13.00 Midnite12/1·13.00 Unibet12/1·13.00Betfair Sportsbook11/1·12.00Betfred11/1·12.00

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 29 bookmakers per horse with the 13% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Hkjc World Pool Handicap Stakes (gbbplus Race)?

The Hkjc World Pool Handicap Stakes (gbbplus Race) is off at 14:10 on 3 October 2026 at Newmarket (Great Britain).

What is the field size and distance of the 14:10 Newmarket?

1m4f, Class 2, Flat, 8 runners declared.

What is the going for the 14:10 Newmarket?

Going is reported as Good To Firm on Turf.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 14:10 Newmarket?

The AI top-rated runner is Primo Lara (score 70.0, best price 4.90). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 14:10 Newmarket?

The market favourite is Evanesco at a best price of 4.20. The Racing Alpha AI top pick is a different horse — Primo Lara.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org