14:45 Newmarket

Gamble Responsibly At Betmgm Maiden Stakes (gbb Race)

7f · Flat · Class 2 · Good To Firm · 4 runners · £7,731 · Saturday, 3 October 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick placed 2nd

1st
Kicking Bear (FR)
Robert Havlin·Ed Walker
13/8·2.62
SP
2nd
Altius (GB)AI top pick · 42.0
Saffie Osborne·Charlie Appleby·beaten .5 lengths
5/6F·1.83
SP
3rd
Procyon (IRE)
Daniel Muscutt·William Haggas·beaten 4.75 lengths
14/1·15.00
SP

Race time

1m 25.59s

Race time recorded.

Settled · 1pt level stake = 0.83 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Why the model rates this top

Altius

Saffie Osborne · Charlie Appleby · 2yo

Top-rated of 4

score 42.0 · +8.9 clear of next best (33.1)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Trainer20% weight
100very strong
Charlie Appleby: 7/17 winners last 14d (41%)
Freshness10% weight
100very strong
17d since last run (race-fit window)
Form20% weight
60average
Last 6: 3
Ratings50% weight
0weak
no Racing Post ratings on file

MarketBest price 6.00 (LiveScore Bet) · 2nd in the market of 4.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Newmarket 7f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–2)

IV 1.08

Mid (3–3)

IV 0.87

High (4–4)

IV 1.04

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 193 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

Pos	No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	SP
1	3	Kicking Bear J: Robert Havlin · T: Ed Walker · draw 4 2yo · C · b	2	9-07	—	—	—	33.1	13/8·2.62 SP
2	2	Altius J: Saffie Osborne · T: Charlie Appleby · draw 3 2yo · C · b	3	9-07	—	—	—	42.0	5/6F·1.83 SP
3	4	Procyon J: Daniel Muscutt · T: William Haggas · draw 1 2yo · C · b	—	9-07	—	—	—	24.0	14/1·15.00 SP
4	1	Afif J: Colin Keane · T: John & Thady Gosden · draw 2 2yo · C · b	—	9-07	—	—	—	28.5	11/1·12.00 SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 14:45 Newmarket on 3 October 2026?

Kicking Bear (FR) won the 14:45 Newmarket at SP 2.62. Ridden by Robert Havlin. Trained by Ed Walker.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 14:45 Newmarket?

No — the AI top pick (Altius) finished 2.

What were the placings in the 14:45 Newmarket?

Top finishers: 1. Kicking Bear (FR) (2.62), 2. Altius (GB) (1.83), 3. Procyon (IRE) (15.00).

What was the winning time for the 14:45 Newmarket?

The winning time was 1m 25.59s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org