15:15 Newmarket

Betmgm Ebf Maiden Stakes (gbb/gbbplus Race)

1m · Flat · Class 3 · Good To Firm · 3 runners · £7,731 · Saturday, 3 October 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick placed 2nd

1st
Royal Quest (IRE)
Colin Keane·Andrew Balding
4/6F·1.67
SP
2nd
Mublish (IRE)AI top pick · 35.0
Saffie Osborne·Charlie Appleby·beaten 2.25 lengths
6/4·2.50
SP
3rd
Chapel Stream (GB)
Marco Ghiani·Jane Chapple-Hyam·beaten 1.5 lengths
14/1·15.00
SP

Race time

1m 41.01s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Royal Quest (IRE))

“Led from the start - pushed along inside the last furlong and drifted right - kept going strongly to win with nothing getting close”

Settled · 1pt level stake = 1.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Why the model rates this top

Mublish

Saffie Osborne · Charlie Appleby · 2yo

Top-rated of 3

score 35.0 · +3.0 clear of next best (32.0)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Trainer20% weight
100very strong
Charlie Appleby: 7/17 winners last 14d (41%)
Form20% weight
50average
Last 6: first run
Freshness10% weight
50average
no recent-run data
Ratings50% weight
0weak
no Racing Post ratings on file

MarketBest price 8.50 (LiveScore Bet) · 2nd in the market of 3.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Newmarket 1m

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–1)

IV 1.08

Mid (2–2)

IV 0.87

High (3–3)

IV 1.04

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 193 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

Pos	No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	SP
1	3	Royal Quest J: Colin Keane · T: Andrew Balding · draw 1 2yo · C · b	4	9-07	—	—	—	25.0	4/6F·1.67 SP
2	2	Mublish J: Saffie Osborne · T: Charlie Appleby · draw 3 2yo · C · b	—	9-07	—	—	—	35.0	6/4·2.50 SP
3	1	Chapel Stream J: Marco Ghiani · T: Jane Chapple-Hyam · draw 2 2yo · C · bp	74	9-07	—	—	—	32.0	14/1·15.00 SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 15:15 Newmarket on 3 October 2026?

Royal Quest (IRE) won the 15:15 Newmarket at SP 1.67. Ridden by Colin Keane. Trained by Andrew Balding.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 15:15 Newmarket?

No — the AI top pick (Mublish) finished 2.

What were the placings in the 15:15 Newmarket?

Top finishers: 1. Royal Quest (IRE) (1.67), 2. Mublish (IRE) (2.50), 3. Chapel Stream (GB) (15.00).

What was the winning time for the 15:15 Newmarket?

The winning time was 1m 41.01s.

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