16:50 Gowran Park

Ireland

SIS Supporting Irish Racing Beginners Steeplechase

2m4f · Chase · Good To Yielding · 8 runners · €9,000 · Saturday, 3 October 2026

Compare all prices

E/W terms3 places at 1/5 odds (12 runners)· the study →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated

Arcadian Emperor

No. 1 · score 35.2 · +2.6 clear of next best · best 11/8·2.40

Best value vs consensus

Leni's Law

95·95.00 Smarkets · +24% vs fair (consensus 76.84)

One book stands out from the de-overrounded consensus of 27 bookmakers. A price check, not a tip — the market can be wrong about a horse.

Other selections

Head-to-head dashboard →

Each-way32.6/100 rating

I Started A Joke

4.50Betfair Exchange

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party

Pundit pick: I Started A JokeDiffers from our pick

I Started A Joke heads our ratings on 134, a pound better than Forty Coats on 133, and that narrow edge is enough to make him our selection in a competitive 20-furlong test on soft ground. He has a clear 12 lb advantage over the next group behind the top two. Forty Coats is the chief danger and is virtually inseparable on figures, while Daydream Nation and Sir Allen, both on 122, would need to improve to get involved. It is a tight call, but I Started A Joke gets the nod.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Arcadian Emperor

Harry Cobden · W. P. Mullins · 5yo

Top-rated of 12

score 35.2 · +2.6 clear of next best (32.6)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Form20% weight
84very strong
Last 6: 4-2-2-1
Freshness10% weight
65strong
172d since last run (rusty)
Trainer20% weight
60average
W. P. Mullins: 14/59 winners last 14d (24%)
Ratings50% weight
0weak
no Racing Post ratings on file

MarketBest price 2.40 (Betfair Exchange) · market favourite.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: Lone front-runner — could dictate from the front if unchallenged.

Front-runners(1)
8Lemmy Caution
Prominent(2)
11Siege Of Carthage 12Sir Allen
Mid-division(0)—
Hold-up / closers(1)
4Daydream Nation
Unknown(8)
1Arcadian Emperor 2Bon Viveur 9Leni's Law 10Mullaghgloss Good Option I Started A Joke Champagne Jury Forty Coats

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair

No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	Fair	Best
1	Arcadian EmperorPick J: Harry Cobden · T: W. P. Mullins · draw 0 5yo · G · btFT T	4221	11-12	—	—	—	35.2	3/1·3.94	2.4·2.40 Betfair Exchange · -39% vs fair Compare 27 books ▾ Betfair Exchange2.4·2.40Smarkets2.38·2.38SmarketsSBK5/4·2.25 Bet3655/4·2.25 Spreadex6/5·2.20 William Hill6/5·2.20 BetWright6/5·2.20Hollywood Bets6/5·2.20SportingIndex6/5·2.20 Boyle Sports11/10·2.10 Paddy Power11/10·2.10 Bet Victor11/10·2.10 10 Bet11/10·2.10 Betano11/10·2.10 BetTom11/10·2.10 BetMGM11/10·2.10 Betfred11/10·2.10 Unibet11/10·2.10 Midnite11/10·2.10 Quinn Bet11/10·2.10 Coral11/10·2.10 Ladbrokes11/10·2.10Virgin Bet11/10·2.10Dragon Bet11/10·2.10 LiveScore Bet11/10·2.10 Star Sports11/10·2.10Betfair Sportsbook11/10·2.10
—	I Started A Joke J: Philip Byrnes · T: C Byrnes · draw 0 7yo · G · bOnly rideOnly runner	41233	11-12	—	—	—	32.6	11/2·6.56	4.5·4.50 Betfair Exchange · -31% vs fair Compare 18 books ▾ Betfair Exchange4.5·4.50 Paddy Power11/4·3.75 William Hill11/4·3.75 Boyle Sports11/4·3.75 Bet36511/4·3.75Hollywood Bets5/2·3.50Ladbrokes5/2·3.50Betfair Sportsbook5/2·3.50Coral5/2·3.50 Betfred5/2·3.50 Quinn Bet5/2·3.50 Star Sports5/2·3.50 BetWright5/2·3.50 Dragon Bet12/5·3.40 10 Bet9/4·3.25 Midnite9/4·3.25 BetMGM9/4·3.25 Unibet15/8·2.88
2	Bon Viveur J: Paul Townend · T: W. P. Mullins · draw 0 6yo · G · bt	171F	11-12	—	—	—	27.1	4/1·5.15	3.15·3.15 Betfair Exchange · -39% vs fair Compare 27 books ▾ Betfair Exchange3.15·3.15Smarkets3.1·3.10SmarketsSBK2/1·3.00 Spreadex15/8·2.88 SportingIndex15/8·2.88 William Hill15/8·2.88 BetMGM7/4·2.75 Quinn Bet7/4·2.75 BetWright7/4·2.75 Coral7/4·2.75 BetTom7/4·2.75 LiveScore Bet7/4·2.75Virgin Bet7/4·2.75Bet3657/4·2.75 Ladbrokes7/4·2.75 Dragon Bet7/4·2.75 Bet Victor7/4·2.75 Star Sports7/4·2.75 Betfred7/4·2.75 Boyle Sports7/4·2.75Betfair Sportsbook7/4·2.75Paddy Power7/4·2.75 Betano7/4·2.75 Midnite7/4·2.75Hollywood Bets7/4·2.75Unibet13/8·2.63 10 Bet13/8·2.63
8	Lemmy Caution J: Jack Kennedy · T: Gordon Elliott · draw 0 5yo · G · gb	61324	11-12	—	—	—	25.5	20/1·20.62	15·15.00 Smarkets · -27% vs fair Compare 27 books ▾ Smarkets15·15.00SmarketsSBK13/1·14.00 Betfair Exchange14·14.00 Bet36512/1·13.00Hollywood Bets11/1·12.00SportingIndex11/1·12.00 Spreadex11/1·12.00 William Hill11/1·12.00 Star Sports10/1·11.00 BetTom10/1·11.00 Betano10/1·11.00 Boyle Sports10/1·11.00 LiveScore Bet10/1·11.00Virgin Bet10/1·11.00Quinn Bet10/1·11.00 Paddy Power10/1·11.00 Betfred10/1·11.00 Midnite10/1·11.00 Unibet10/1·11.00 Bet Victor10/1·11.00 Coral10/1·11.00 Ladbrokes10/1·11.00 10 Bet10/1·11.00Betfair Sportsbook9/1·10.00BetMGM9/1·10.00 Dragon Bet9/1·10.00 BetWright9/1·10.00
10	Mullaghgloss J: Philip Donovan · T: A. Slattery · draw 0 5yo · G · b	21844	11-12	—	—	—	23.0	50/1·54.35	33/1·34.00 William Hill · -37% vs fair Compare 27 books ▾ William Hill33/1·34.00 Bet Victor33/1·34.00 Betano33/1·34.00Betfair Sportsbook33/1·34.00Paddy Power33/1·34.00 Bet36528/1·29.00 Coral28/1·29.00 LiveScore Bet28/1·29.00 Ladbrokes28/1·29.00 10 Bet28/1·29.00 BetTom28/1·29.00 Unibet28/1·29.00 Quinn Bet28/1·29.00Virgin Bet28/1·29.00Betfred28/1·29.00 Boyle Sports28/1·29.00 Star Sports28/1·29.00Smarkets28·28.00Dragon Bet25/1·26.00 SmarketsSBK25/1·26.00 Midnite25/1·26.00 BetMGM25/1·26.00Hollywood Bets25/1·26.00Betfair Exchange23·23.00 SportingIndex22/1·23.00 Spreadex22/1·23.00 BetWright20/1·21.00
12	Sir Allen J: Cian Quirke · T: A. Slattery · draw 0 7yo · G · ch	73044	11-12	—	—	—	22.7	22/1·22.49	19·19.00 Betfair Exchange · -15% vs fair Compare 27 books ▾ Betfair Exchange19·19.00Smarkets18·18.00SmarketsSBK16/1·17.00 Bet36512/1·13.00 SportingIndex12/1·13.00 Paddy Power12/1·13.00 William Hill12/1·13.00 Spreadex12/1·13.00 Betano11/1·12.00 Betfred11/1·12.00 Boyle Sports11/1·12.00 Coral11/1·12.00 Ladbrokes11/1·12.00 Unibet11/1·12.00Virgin Bet11/1·12.00LiveScore Bet11/1·12.00 Quinn Bet11/1·12.00 Midnite11/1·12.00 Bet Victor11/1·12.00 Star Sports11/1·12.00Betfair Sportsbook11/1·12.0010 Bet11/1·12.00 BetTom11/1·12.00 Dragon Bet10/1·11.00Hollywood Bets10/1·11.00BetMGM10/1·11.00 BetWright17/2·9.50
11	Siege Of Carthage J: Phillip Enright · T: Josh Halley · draw 0 6yo · G · bDOnly runner	51P33	11-12	—	—	—	18.8	14/1·15.93	10/1·11.00 Bet365 · -31% vs fair Compare 27 books ▾ Bet36510/1·11.00Smarkets10.5·10.50SmarketsSBK9/1·10.00 Betfair Exchange9.8·9.80 Spreadex8/1·9.00 William Hill8/1·9.00 Boyle Sports8/1·9.00Hollywood Bets8/1·9.00SportingIndex8/1·9.00 BetWright15/2·8.50 Betano15/2·8.50 Bet Victor15/2·8.50 Coral15/2·8.50 Ladbrokes15/2·8.50 Midnite15/2·8.50 Star Sports15/2·8.50 BetMGM15/2·8.50 LiveScore Bet7/1·8.00 10 Bet7/1·8.00 BetTom7/1·8.00Virgin Bet7/1·8.00Quinn Bet7/1·8.00 Betfred7/1·8.00 Unibet13/2·7.50 Paddy Power13/2·7.50 Dragon Bet13/2·7.50Betfair Sportsbook6/1·7.00
4	Daydream Nation J: Ben Harvey · T: William Harvey · draw 0 6yo · G · chpOnly rideOnly runner	51305	11-12	—	—	—	17.5	33/1·31.86	19·19.00 Betfair Exchange · -40% vs fair Compare 27 books ▾ Betfair Exchange19·19.00Smarkets17.5·17.50Bet36516/1·17.00 Betfred16/1·17.00Virgin Bet16/1·17.00Coral16/1·17.00 SmarketsSBK16/1·17.00 Boyle Sports16/1·17.00 Star Sports16/1·17.00 Betano16/1·17.00 Paddy Power16/1·17.00 Bet Victor16/1·17.00 Ladbrokes16/1·17.00 LiveScore Bet16/1·17.00 Quinn Bet16/1·17.00 SportingIndex16/1·17.00 Spreadex16/1·17.00 William Hill15/1·16.00Betfair Sportsbook14/1·15.00Hollywood Bets14/1·15.00Dragon Bet14/1·15.00 10 Bet14/1·15.00 BetTom14/1·15.00 Midnite14/1·15.00 BetMGM12/1·13.00 BetWright11/1·12.00 Unibet11/1·12.00
—	Champagne Jury J: Keith Donoghue · T: Gavin Cromwell · draw 0 7yo · G · gt	3154	11-12	—	—	—	17.1	40/1·43.11	28·28.00 Betfair Exchange · -35% vs fair Compare 18 books ▾ Betfair Exchange28·28.00Betfair Sportsbook25/1·26.00Paddy Power25/1·26.00 Quinn Bet22/1·23.00 Bet36522/1·23.00 BetWright22/1·23.00 Betfred22/1·23.00 Boyle Sports22/1·23.00 Dragon Bet22/1·23.00Hollywood Bets22/1·23.00Coral22/1·23.00 Ladbrokes22/1·23.00 William Hill22/1·23.00 Star Sports22/1·23.00 Unibet22/1·23.00 10 Bet22/1·23.00 Midnite22/1·23.00 BetMGM20/1·21.00
—	Good Option J: Kieren Buckley · T: Gavin Cromwell · draw 0 6yo · G · bOnly ride	99724	11-12	—	—	—	14.5	200/1·189.30	100/1·101.00 Betfair Sportsbook · -47% vs fair Compare 17 books ▾ Betfair Sportsbook100/1·101.00Paddy Power100/1·101.00 Dragon Bet100/1·101.00 BetWright100/1·101.00Hollywood Bets100/1·101.0010 Bet100/1·101.00 Betfred100/1·101.00 Boyle Sports100/1·101.00 Coral100/1·101.00 Unibet100/1·101.00 Ladbrokes100/1·101.00 Midnite100/1·101.00 Quinn Bet100/1·101.00 Star Sports100/1·101.00 William Hill100/1·101.00 BetMGM66/1·67.00 Betfair Exchange5.1·5.10
—	Forty Coats J: Darragh O'Keeffe · T: Henry de Bromhead · draw 0 7yo · G · b	4737	11-12	—	—	—	13.3	11/2·6.56	11/4·3.75 Bet365 · -43% vs fair Compare 18 books ▾ Bet36511/4·3.75 Quinn Bet11/4·3.75Betfair Sportsbook11/4·3.75Paddy Power11/4·3.75Hollywood Bets11/4·3.75Boyle Sports11/4·3.75 William Hill11/4·3.75 Betfair Exchange3.7·3.70 Midnite5/2·3.50 10 Bet5/2·3.50 Star Sports5/2·3.50 BetMGM5/2·3.50 Coral5/2·3.50 Ladbrokes5/2·3.50 Betfred5/2·3.50 Dragon Bet5/2·3.50 BetWright5/2·3.50 Unibet5/2·3.50
9	Leni's Law J: Sean Flanagan · T: Liz Doyle · draw 0 7yo · G · bOnly rideOnly runner	46407	11-12	—	—	—	10.4	80/1·76.84	95·95.00 Smarkets · +24% vs fair Compare 27 books ▾ Smarkets95·95.00SmarketsSBK66/1·67.00Betfair Sportsbook50/1·51.00Bet36550/1·51.00 William Hill50/1·51.00 Midnite50/1·51.00 Betano50/1·51.00 Paddy Power50/1·51.00 Bet Victor50/1·51.00 Betfred40/1·41.00 Boyle Sports40/1·41.00 Coral40/1·41.00 10 Bet40/1·41.00 SportingIndex40/1·41.00 Spreadex40/1·41.00 Quinn Bet40/1·41.00 Star Sports40/1·41.00Virgin Bet40/1·41.00BetTom40/1·41.00Hollywood Bets40/1·41.00Ladbrokes40/1·41.00 LiveScore Bet40/1·41.00 Dragon Bet33/1·34.00 Betfair Exchange34·34.00 BetWright33/1·34.00 Unibet25/1·26.00 BetMGM25/1·26.00

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 17–27 bookmakers per horse with the 87% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the SIS Supporting Irish Racing Beginners Steeplechase?

The SIS Supporting Irish Racing Beginners Steeplechase is off at 16:50 on 3 October 2026 at Gowran Park (Ireland).

What is the field size and distance of the 16:50 Gowran Park?

2m4f, Chase, 8 runners declared.

What is the going for the 16:50 Gowran Park?

Going is reported as Good To Yielding on Turf.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 16:50 Gowran Park?

The AI top-rated runner is Arcadian Emperor (score 35.2, best price 2.40). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 16:50 Gowran Park?

The market favourite is Arcadian Emperor at a best price of 2.40.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org