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Next · 3h 32m15:45Uttoxeter

13:20 Curragh

Off in 1h 7mIreland

Final Furlong Podcast With 1xBet.ie Irish EBF Fillies Maiden

7f · Flat · Soft · 7 runners · €13,200 · Sunday, 4 October 2026

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Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated
No. 8 · score 36.1 · +11.6 clear of next best · best 8/11·1.71
Best value vs consensus
48·48.00 Matchbook · +2% vs fair (consensus 47.06)

One book stands out from the de-overrounded consensus of 28 bookmakers. A price check, not a tip — the market can be wrong about a horse.

Each-way24.5/100 rating
Sweetly
4.60Betfair Exchange

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

No pundit verdict published for this race — the Racing Post covers most but not all races. Our model's view is above.

Why the model rates this top

Pirate Anne Bonny

W. J. Lee · P. Twomey · 2yo

Top-rated of 9
score 36.1 · +11.6 clear of next best (24.5)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    17d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Form20% weight
    78strong
    Last 6: 2
  • Trainer20% weight
    53average
    P. Twomey: 3/14 winners last 14d (21%)
  • Ratings50% weight
    0weak
    no Racing Post ratings on file
MarketBest price 1.71 (Matchbook) · market favourite.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: Mixed shape — pace likely to be honest but not lightning.

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — Curragh 7f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–3)
IV 0.96
Mid (4–6)
IV 0.99
High (7–9)
IV 1.04

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 211 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair
No.HorseFormORAIFairBestAdd to betslip
8
J: W. J. Lee · T: P. Twomey · draw 3
2yo · F · b
2
—36.16/4·2.521.71·1.71
Matchbook · -32% vs fair
Compare 28 books ▾
7
J: Jack Cleary(5) · T: Aidan O'Brien · draw 2
2yo · F · b
——24.512/1·12.9810.5·10.50
Matchbook · -19% vs fair
Compare 28 books ▾
—
J: W. M. Lordan · T: Aidan O'Brien · draw 7
2yo · F · b
——24.56/1·7.034.6·4.60
Betfair Exchange · -34% vs fair
Compare 19 books ▾
6
J: Ben Coen · T: J. P. Murtagh · draw 8
2yo · F · b
5
—22.59/2·5.683/1·4.00
Unibet · -30% vs fair
Compare 28 books ▾
—
J: Chris Hayes · T: Mrs J. Harrington · draw 9
2yo · F · bOnly pairing
4
—22.07/1·8.034/1·5.00
SportingIndex · -38% vs fair
Compare 26 books ▾
1
J: Robert Whearty · T: Gavin Cromwell · draw 1
2yo · F · ch
——17.528/1·30.8429·29.00
Smarkets · -6% vs fair
Compare 28 books ▾
5
J: G. F. Carroll · T: Gavin Cromwell · draw 5
2yo · F · bOnly pairing
——17.550/1·47.0648·48.00
Matchbook · +2% vs fair
Compare 28 books ▾
4
2yo · F · b
06
—15.750/1·55.18150·150.00
Smarkets · +172% vs fair
Compare 28 books ▾
2
J: Robbie Colgan · T: Ms Sheila Lavery · draw 6
2yo · F · bOnly pairing
0
—10.080/1·82.77300·300.00
Matchbook · +263% vs fair
Compare 28 books ▾

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 18–28 bookmakers per horse with the 62% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Final Furlong Podcast With 1xBet.ie Irish EBF Fillies Maiden?

The Final Furlong Podcast With 1xBet.ie Irish EBF Fillies Maiden is off at 13:20 on 4 October 2026 at Curragh (Ireland).

What is the field size and distance of the 13:20 Curragh?

7f, Flat, 7 runners declared.

What is the going for the 13:20 Curragh?

Going is reported as Soft on Turf.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 13:20 Curragh?

The AI top-rated runner is Pirate Anne Bonny (score 36.1, best price 1.71). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 13:20 Curragh?

The market favourite is Pirate Anne Bonny at a best price of 1.71.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org