13:55 Curragh

Ireland

Bermingham Cameras Irish EBF (C & G) Maiden

7f · Flat · Soft · 12 runners · €13,200 · Sunday, 4 October 2026

Compare all prices

E/W terms3 places at 1/5 odds (13 runners)· the study →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated

Hmas Perth

No. 5 · score 33.9 · +3.9 clear of next best · best 8/11·1.71

Best value vs consensus

Heralds March

14.5·14.50 Matchbook · +17% vs fair (consensus 12.41)

One book stands out from the de-overrounded consensus of 28 bookmakers. A price check, not a tip — the market can be wrong about a horse.

Other selections

Head-to-head dashboard →

Each-way24.5/100 rating

Paraguay

12.50Matchbook

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

No pundit verdict published for this race — the Racing Post covers most but not all races. Our model's view is above.

Why the model rates this top

Hmas Perth

W. M. Lordan · Aidan O'Brien · 2yo

Top-rated of 13

score 33.9 · +3.9 clear of next best (30.0)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Freshness10% weight
100very strong
22d since last run (race-fit window)
Form20% weight
72strong
Last 6: 3-2
Trainer20% weight
48below average
Aidan O'Brien: 9/47 winners last 14d (19%)
Ratings50% weight
0weak
no Racing Post ratings on file

MarketBest price 1.71 (Betfair Exchange) · market favourite.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: Lone front-runner — could dictate from the front if unchallenged.

Front-runners(1)
5Hmas Perth
Prominent(0)—
Mid-division(1)
4Heralds March
Hold-up / closers(3)
2Boxwood Hill 7Johntom 12The Windhover
Unknown(8)
1A Lovely Manoeuvre 6Invincible Mind 8Muscogee Nation 9Nonsense 10Paraguay 11Scrap The Lot 13Wo Wo Never Cracks And Sparks

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — Curragh 7f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–5)

IV 0.96

Mid (6–9)

IV 0.99

High (10–13)

IV 1.04

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 211 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair

No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	Fair	Best
5	Hmas PerthPick J: W. M. Lordan · T: Aidan O'Brien · draw 8 · combo 26/151 (17%) 2yo · C · bt	32	9-05	—	—	—	33.9	EVS·1.96	1.71·1.71 Betfair Exchange · -13% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Betfair Exchange1.71·1.71Smarkets1.7·1.70Matchbook1.7·1.70SmarketsSBK8/13·1.62 Unibet8/15·1.53 BetTom1/2·1.50 Spreadex1/2·1.50 Betfred1/2·1.50 Quinn Bet1/2·1.50 Bet3651/2·1.50 LiveScore Bet1/2·1.50Betfair Sportsbook1/2·1.50Paddy Power1/2·1.50Virgin Bet1/2·1.5010 Bet1/2·1.50 SportingIndex1/2·1.50 BetMGM4/9·1.44 Star Sports4/9·1.44 Bet Victor4/9·1.44Hollywood Bets4/9·1.44Ladbrokes4/9·1.44 BetWright4/9·1.44 Betano4/9·1.44 Boyle Sports4/9·1.44 Coral4/9·1.44 Dragon Bet4/9·1.44 Midnite4/9·1.44 William Hill4/9·1.44
12	The Windhover J: Andrew Slattery · T: A. Slattery · draw 2 · combo 8/132 (6%) 2yo · G · b	4	9-05	—	—	—	30.0	16/1·16.98	14/1·15.00 LiveScore Bet · -12% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ LiveScore Bet14/1·15.00Virgin Bet14/1·15.00Matchbook15·15.00Paddy Power14/1·15.00Smarkets14.5·14.50SmarketsSBK13/1·14.00 Betfred12/1·13.00 Coral12/1·13.00 Quinn Bet12/1·13.00 Bet36512/1·13.00 BetWright12/1·13.00 Betfair Exchange13·13.00 Ladbrokes12/1·13.00 Star Sports12/1·13.00 BetTom12/1·13.00 10 Bet12/1·13.00 Dragon Bet12/1·13.00Betfair Sportsbook12/1·13.00Betano11/1·12.00 SportingIndex11/1·12.00 Spreadex11/1·12.00Hollywood Bets11/1·12.00Midnite11/1·12.00 William Hill11/1·12.00 BetMGM11/1·12.00 Bet Victor11/1·12.00 Boyle Sports11/1·12.00 Unibet10/1·11.00
1	A Lovely Manoeuvre J: N G McCullagh · T: Ms Margaret Mullins · draw 6 2yo · C · bOnly runner	—	9-05	—	—	—	29.5	100/1·105.79	100/1·101.00 Midnite · -4% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Midnite100/1·101.00Hollywood Bets80/1·81.00Quinn Bet80/1·81.00 Boyle Sports80/1·81.00 Paddy Power80/1·81.00 Betfred80/1·81.00 BetTom80/1·81.00 BetWright80/1·81.00 Dragon Bet80/1·81.00 Bet36580/1·81.00 Coral80/1·81.00 Ladbrokes80/1·81.00 10 Bet80/1·81.00 LiveScore Bet80/1·81.00 Star Sports80/1·81.00Betfair Sportsbook80/1·81.00SportingIndex80/1·81.00 Spreadex80/1·81.00 Unibet80/1·81.00 William Hill80/1·81.00Virgin Bet80/1·81.00Matchbook80·80.00Bet Victor66/1·67.00 Betano66/1·67.00 BetMGM66/1·67.00 Betfair Exchange48·48.00Smarkets44·44.00SmarketsSBK40/1·41.00
10	Paraguay J: Jack Cleary(5) · T: Aidan O'Brien · draw 13 · combo 3/58 (5%) 2yo · C · b	—	9-05	—	—	—	24.5	14/1·15.67	12.5·12.50 Matchbook · -20% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Matchbook12.5·12.50Paddy Power11/1·12.00 BetWright11/1·12.00 SmarketsSBK11/1·12.00 Bet36511/1·12.00 BetTom11/1·12.00Smarkets12·12.00William Hill11/1·12.00Virgin Bet11/1·12.00Boyle Sports11/1·12.00 Coral11/1·12.00 Ladbrokes11/1·12.00 Quinn Bet11/1·12.00 Dragon Bet11/1·12.00Hollywood Bets11/1·12.00LiveScore Bet11/1·12.00 Betfair Exchange11.5·11.50 BetMGM10/1·11.00 Betfred10/1·11.00 Bet Victor10/1·11.00 Betano10/1·11.00 10 Bet10/1·11.00Betfair Sportsbook10/1·11.00Star Sports10/1·11.00 Midnite10/1·11.00 Unibet9/1·10.00 Spreadex17/2·9.50 SportingIndex17/2·9.50
4	Heralds March J: G. F. Carroll · T: G. M. Lyons · draw 5 · combo 6/44 (14%) 2yo · G · bOnly runner	74	9-05	—	—	—	23.5	11/1·12.41	14.5·14.50 Matchbook · +17% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Matchbook14.5·14.50Betfair Exchange13.5·13.50Smarkets13.5·13.50SmarketsSBK12/1·13.00 SportingIndex9/1·10.00 Spreadex9/1·10.00Virgin Bet9/1·10.00Bet3659/1·10.00Betfair Sportsbook9/1·10.00Paddy Power9/1·10.00 Midnite9/1·10.00 LiveScore Bet9/1·10.00 Unibet17/2·9.50 William Hill17/2·9.50 Star Sports17/2·9.50 Coral17/2·9.50 Ladbrokes17/2·9.50Hollywood Bets17/2·9.50Betfred17/2·9.50 Quinn Bet17/2·9.50 BetTom8/1·9.00 BetWright8/1·9.00 Dragon Bet8/1·9.00 Boyle Sports8/1·9.00 10 Bet8/1·9.00 BetMGM8/1·9.00 Bet Victor15/2·8.50 Betano15/2·8.50
—	Cracks And Sparks J: Ben Coen · T: A Oliver · draw 12 · combo 3/25 (12%) 2yo · C · bOnly pairing	5	9-05	—	—	—	23.0	25/1·27.43	26·26.00 Betfair Exchange · -5% vs fair Compare 20 books ▾ Betfair Exchange26·26.00 Betfred20/1·21.00Hollywood Bets20/1·21.00Coral20/1·21.00 Ladbrokes20/1·21.00 Boyle Sports20/1·21.00 Midnite20/1·21.00 LiveScore Bet20/1·21.00Virgin Bet20/1·21.0010 Bet20/1·21.00 Bet36520/1·21.00 William Hill20/1·21.00 Paddy Power20/1·21.00 Dragon Bet18/1·19.00 Star Sports18/1·19.00 BetWright18/1·19.00Betfair Sportsbook18/1·19.00Betano16/1·17.00 BetMGM16/1·17.00 Unibet0.0
13	Wo Wo Never J: Declan McDonogh · T: Joseph Patrick O'Brien · draw 4 · combo 12/130 (9%) 2yo · C · b	36	9-05	—	—	—	21.7	12/1·13.06	13/1·14.00 SmarketsSBK · +7% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ SmarketsSBK13/1·14.00Matchbook14·14.00Betfair Exchange13.5·13.50Smarkets13.5·13.50Unibet10/1·11.00 Bet36510/1·11.00 SportingIndex10/1·11.00 Spreadex10/1·11.00 William Hill9/1·10.00Betfair Sportsbook9/1·10.00LiveScore Bet9/1·10.00 Ladbrokes9/1·10.00 Dragon Bet9/1·10.00 Coral9/1·10.00 Betfred9/1·10.00 Boyle Sports9/1·10.00 Star Sports9/1·10.00 BetTom9/1·10.00Hollywood Bets9/1·10.0010 Bet9/1·10.00 Midnite9/1·10.00 Paddy Power9/1·10.00 Quinn Bet9/1·10.00Virgin Bet9/1·10.00BetWright17/2·9.50 BetMGM8/1·9.00 Betano8/1·9.00 Bet Victor8/1·9.00
6	Invincible Mind J: J M Sheridan · T: Joseph Patrick O'Brien · draw 11 · combo 27/158 (17%) 2yo · C · b	6	9-05	—	—	—	21.0	14/1·14.37	13.5·13.50 Matchbook · -6% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Matchbook13.5·13.50Betfair Exchange12.5·12.50Smarkets12.5·12.50SmarketsSBK11/1·12.00 Paddy Power11/1·12.00Virgin Bet11/1·12.00BetTom11/1·12.00 Unibet11/1·12.00 10 Bet11/1·12.00 LiveScore Bet11/1·12.00 Betfred10/1·11.00 Star Sports10/1·11.00Betfair Sportsbook10/1·11.00BetWright10/1·11.00 William Hill10/1·11.00 Bet36510/1·11.00 Dragon Bet10/1·11.00Hollywood Bets10/1·11.00Quinn Bet10/1·11.00 Coral10/1·11.00 Betano10/1·11.00 Boyle Sports10/1·11.00 Ladbrokes10/1·11.00 Midnite10/1·11.00 BetMGM9/1·10.00 SportingIndex9/1·10.00 Bet Victor9/1·10.00 Spreadex9/1·10.00
9	Nonsense J: Rowan Scott · T: John S O'Donoghue · draw 3 2yo · G · bOnly rideOnly runner	—	9-05	—	—	—	15.0	40/1·44.40	33/1·34.00 Paddy Power · -23% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Paddy Power33/1·34.00 Dragon Bet33/1·34.00 BetTom33/1·34.00 BetWright33/1·34.00 Betfred33/1·34.00Virgin Bet33/1·34.00Bet36533/1·34.00 Boyle Sports33/1·34.00Hollywood Bets33/1·34.00Unibet33/1·34.00 William Hill33/1·34.00 Star Sports33/1·34.00 Coral33/1·34.00 10 Bet33/1·34.00 Ladbrokes33/1·34.00 Quinn Bet33/1·34.00 LiveScore Bet33/1·34.00Betfair Sportsbook30/1·31.00Matchbook29·29.00Betano28/1·29.00 Bet Victor28/1·29.00 Midnite28/1·29.00 Spreadex25/1·26.00 Betfair Exchange26·26.00 SmarketsSBK25/1·26.00 BetMGM25/1·26.00 SportingIndex25/1·26.00Smarkets25·25.00
11	Scrap The Lot J: W. J. Lee · T: Mark Fahey · draw 9 2yo · G · bOnly pairing	—	9-05	—	—	—	15.0	50/1·53.55	70·70.00 Matchbook · +31% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Matchbook70·70.00Smarkets60·60.00SmarketsSBK55/1·56.00 Bet36550/1·51.00 William Hill50/1·51.00 Midnite50/1·51.00 SportingIndex50/1·51.00 Spreadex50/1·51.00 Betfair Exchange50·50.00 BetTom40/1·41.00 BetWright40/1·41.00 Boyle Sports40/1·41.00 Coral40/1·41.00 Betfred40/1·41.00 Dragon Bet40/1·41.00Hollywood Bets40/1·41.00LiveScore Bet40/1·41.00Virgin Bet40/1·41.00Ladbrokes40/1·41.00 10 Bet40/1·41.00 Star Sports40/1·41.00 Unibet40/1·41.00 Quinn Bet40/1·41.00Betfair Sportsbook40/1·41.00Paddy Power40/1·41.00 BetMGM33/1·34.00 Bet Victor33/1·34.00 Betano33/1·34.00
8	Muscogee Nation J: Seamie Heffernan · T: M D O'Callaghan · draw 10 · combo 2/7 (29%) 2yo · C · gOnly runner	7	9-05	—	—	—	14.5	25/1·24.81	27·27.00 Matchbook · +9% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Matchbook27·27.00Smarkets22·22.00Betfair Exchange22·22.00 Bet36520/1·21.00 William Hill20/1·21.00Virgin Bet20/1·21.00Unibet20/1·21.00 SportingIndex20/1·21.00 Spreadex20/1·21.00 SmarketsSBK20/1·21.00 LiveScore Bet20/1·21.00 Paddy Power18/1·19.00 BetWright18/1·19.00 Quinn Bet18/1·19.00 BetTom18/1·19.00 10 Bet18/1·19.00 Betfred18/1·19.00 Star Sports18/1·19.00Hollywood Bets18/1·19.00Coral18/1·19.00 Ladbrokes18/1·19.00 Midnite18/1·19.00 Dragon Bet18/1·19.00 Boyle Sports18/1·19.00Betfair Sportsbook16/1·17.00Betano16/1·17.00 BetMGM16/1·17.00 Bet Victor16/1·17.00
2	Boxwood Hill J: Jack Kearney(3) · T: Gavin Cromwell · draw 1 · combo 1/17 (6%) 2yo · G · bOnly ride	0	9-05	—	—	—	12.5	150/1·131.91	125/1·126.00 Midnite · -4% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Midnite125/1·126.00Hollywood Bets100/1·101.00Bet365100/1·101.00 Quinn Bet100/1·101.00 LiveScore Bet100/1·101.00Virgin Bet100/1·101.00Star Sports100/1·101.00 SportingIndex100/1·101.00 Spreadex100/1·101.00 10 Bet100/1·101.00 Coral100/1·101.00 Dragon Bet100/1·101.00 Ladbrokes100/1·101.00 Boyle Sports100/1·101.00 BetMGM100/1·101.00 BetTom100/1·101.00 BetWright100/1·101.00 Betfred100/1·101.00 Unibet100/1·101.00 William Hill100/1·101.00Betfair Sportsbook100/1·101.00Paddy Power100/1·101.00 Bet Victor80/1·81.00 Betano80/1·81.00Matchbook70·70.00Betfair Exchange55·55.00 SmarketsSBK45/1·46.00Smarkets46·46.00
7	Johntom J: Robert Whearty · T: Gavin Cromwell · draw 7 · combo 2/42 (5%) 2yo · G · b	80	9-05	—	—	—	10.2	200/1·197.21	200/1·201.00 Midnite · +2% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Midnite200/1·201.00 Betfred150/1·151.00 Coral150/1·151.00 Dragon Bet150/1·151.00 LiveScore Bet150/1·151.00 Ladbrokes150/1·151.00 Quinn Bet150/1·151.00 10 Bet150/1·151.00 Bet365150/1·151.00 Boyle Sports150/1·151.00 BetTom150/1·151.00 BetWright150/1·151.00 Star Sports150/1·151.00Betfair Sportsbook150/1·151.00Paddy Power150/1·151.00 Unibet150/1·151.00 William Hill150/1·151.00Virgin Bet150/1·151.00Hollywood Bets150/1·151.00BetMGM125/1·126.00 Betano125/1·126.00 Bet Victor125/1·126.00 SportingIndex100/1·101.00 Spreadex100/1·101.00Matchbook90·90.00Betfair Exchange48·48.00Smarkets42·42.00SmarketsSBK40/1·41.00

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 19–28 bookmakers per horse with the 31% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Bermingham Cameras Irish EBF (C & G) Maiden?

The Bermingham Cameras Irish EBF (C & G) Maiden is off at 13:55 on 4 October 2026 at Curragh (Ireland).

What is the field size and distance of the 13:55 Curragh?

7f, Flat, 12 runners declared.

What is the going for the 13:55 Curragh?

Going is reported as Soft on Turf.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 13:55 Curragh?

The AI top-rated runner is Hmas Perth (score 33.9, best price 1.71). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 13:55 Curragh?

The market favourite is Hmas Perth at a best price of 1.71.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org