15:05 Curragh

Ireland

1xBet.ie Proud Supporters Of Irish Racing Handicap

1m1f · Flat · Yielding · 10 runners · €21,000 · Sunday, 4 October 2026

Compare all prices

E/W terms3 places at 1/4 odds (12 runners)· the study →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated

Truth Be Told

score 58.3 · +1.0 clear of next best · best 11/2·6.60

Drawn 6, inside the favoured middle third at this course and trip.

Best value vs consensus

Cristal Clere

22·22.00 Matchbook · +11% vs fair (consensus 19.81)

One book stands out from the de-overrounded consensus of 28 bookmakers. A price check, not a tip — the market can be wrong about a horse.

Other selections

Head-to-head dashboard →

Each-way58.3/100 rating

Truth Be Told

6.60Betfair Exchange

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party

Pundit pick: EastwatchDiffers from our pick

Eastwatch is the one to be with at the Curragh, heading the field on our ratings at 109 and a full 8 lb clear of Cristal Clere, a gap that should count for plenty on soft ground over nine furlongs. Cristal Clere (101) is the chief danger, with Benevento (99) another who must be respected, while Truth Be Told, on 93, heads a cluster of rivals who look to have a good deal to find. With such a decent rating advantage, Eastwatch looks the most likely to prove best in a competitive twelve-runner field. Our selection is Eastwatch.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Truth Be Told

W. J. Lee · M C Grassick · 4yo

Top-rated of 12

score 58.3 · +1.0 clear of next best (57.3)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Freshness10% weight
100very strong
22d since last run (race-fit window)
Form20% weight
64average
Last 6: 4-1-1-2-6
Ratings50% weight
60average
OR 90
Trainer20% weight
28small sample (n=9)
M C Grassick: 1/9 winners last 14d (11%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard

MarketBest price 6.60 (Betfair Exchange) · 3rd in the market of 12.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: Lone front-runner — could dictate from the front if unchallenged.

Front-runners(1)
2Benevento
Prominent(4)
1Eastwatch 7Lady Lilac 11Majestic King Retracement
Mid-division(2)
5Final Voyage 10Noble Honour
Hold-up / closers(5)
3Cristal Clere 6Johnny Soda 9Iamimmaculate 12Galileo Noir Truth Be Told

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — Curragh 1m1f

full course data →

Moderate: middle favoured (IV 1.13).

Low (1–4)

IV 1.10

Mid (5–8)

IV 1.13

High (9–12)

IV 0.78

Today: Truth Be Told (draw 6) and Eastwatch (draw 7) get the bias; Majestic King (draw 12) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 126 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair

No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	Fair	Best
—	Truth Be ToldPick J: W. J. Lee · T: M C Grassick · draw 6 4yo · G · bOnly pairing	41126	9-06	90	—	—	58.3	8/1·9.14	6.6·6.60 Betfair Exchange · -28% vs fair Compare 21 books ▾ Betfair Exchange6.6·6.60 Bet36511/2·6.50 Coral11/2·6.50 Ladbrokes11/2·6.50 Spreadex5/1·6.00Hollywood Bets5/1·6.00Midnite5/1·6.00 BetMGM5/1·6.00 10 Bet5/1·6.00 Dragon Bet5/1·6.00 BetWright5/1·6.00 Quinn Bet5/1·6.00 SportingIndex5/1·6.00 Boyle Sports5/1·6.00 Paddy Power5/1·6.00 Star Sports5/1·6.00 William Hill5/1·6.00 Betfred9/2·5.50Betfair Sportsbook9/2·5.50Unibet9/2·5.50Matchbook4.6·4.60
1	Eastwatch J: Sam Coen(5) · T: A. Slattery · draw 7 4yo · G · bp	52780	10-00	98	—	—	57.3	10/1·11.43	8.6·8.60 Smarkets · -25% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Smarkets8.6·8.60Bet36515/2·8.50 Betfair Exchange8.2·8.20Matchbook8.2·8.20Betfred13/2·7.50 Ladbrokes13/2·7.50 Unibet13/2·7.50Virgin Bet13/2·7.50Star Sports13/2·7.50 LiveScore Bet13/2·7.50 Quinn Bet13/2·7.50 William Hill13/2·7.50 SmarketsSBK13/2·7.50 BetMGM13/2·7.50 10 Bet13/2·7.50 Coral13/2·7.50 Boyle Sports6/1·7.00 Betano6/1·7.00 Midnite6/1·7.00 SportingIndex6/1·7.00 BetWright6/1·7.00 Spreadex6/1·7.00 BetTom6/1·7.00 Bet Victor6/1·7.00Betfair Sportsbook6/1·7.00Paddy Power6/1·7.00 Dragon Bet6/1·7.00Hollywood Bets6/1·7.00
10	Noble Honour J: Keithen Kennedy(5) · T: Mrs J. Harrington · draw 1 3yo · F · bOnly pairing	23261	8-10	84	—	—	56.0	11/1·12.19	10·10.00 Matchbook · -18% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Matchbook10·10.00Betfair Exchange9.6·9.60Smarkets9.6·9.60SmarketsSBK8/1·9.00 Unibet15/2·8.50 SportingIndex15/2·8.50 BetMGM15/2·8.50 Spreadex15/2·8.50Virgin Bet7/1·8.00Bet3657/1·8.00 Star Sports7/1·8.00Betfair Sportsbook7/1·8.00Midnite7/1·8.00 10 Bet7/1·8.00 William Hill7/1·8.00 LiveScore Bet7/1·8.00 BetTom7/1·8.00Hollywood Bets7/1·8.00Ladbrokes7/1·8.00 Quinn Bet7/1·8.00 Betfred7/1·8.00 Boyle Sports7/1·8.00 Coral7/1·8.00 Dragon Bet7/1·8.00 Paddy Power7/1·8.00 BetWright7/1·8.00 Betano13/2·7.50 Bet Victor13/2·7.50
2	Benevento J: Donagh O'Connor · T: Robson De Aguiar · draw 8 4yo · G · b1lb below win mark	73120	9-13	97	—	—	55.3	18/1·19.81	16.5·16.50 Matchbook · -17% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Matchbook16.5·16.50Betfair Exchange16·16.00Smarkets15.5·15.50SmarketsSBK14/1·15.00 Unibet12/1·13.00 Dragon Bet12/1·13.00 Coral12/1·13.00 Ladbrokes12/1·13.00 LiveScore Bet12/1·13.00Virgin Bet12/1·13.00Boyle Sports12/1·13.00Hollywood Bets12/1·13.0010 Bet12/1·13.00 SportingIndex12/1·13.00 Spreadex12/1·13.00 Quinn Bet12/1·13.00 Star Sports12/1·13.00 William Hill12/1·13.00 Bet36512/1·13.00 BetTom12/1·13.00 BetWright12/1·13.00 Betfred12/1·13.00 BetMGM12/1·13.00 Bet Victor11/1·12.00 Midnite11/1·12.00 Betano11/1·12.00Betfair Sportsbook11/1·12.00Paddy Power11/1·12.00
6	Johnny Soda J: Adam Caffrey · T: Adrian McGuinness · draw 4 3yo · G · ch	711203	9-02	90	—	—	55.3	6/1·6.86	5.6·5.60 Matchbook · -18% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Matchbook5.6·5.60Smarkets5.5·5.50Betfair Exchange5.5·5.50 SportingIndex4/1·5.00 Bet3654/1·5.00 SmarketsSBK4/1·5.00 Spreadex4/1·5.00 Unibet4/1·5.00Virgin Bet7/2·4.50Star Sports7/2·4.50 Coral7/2·4.50 William Hill7/2·4.50 LiveScore Bet7/2·4.50 Quinn Bet7/2·4.50 Ladbrokes7/2·4.50Hollywood Bets7/2·4.50Midnite7/2·4.50 BetWright7/2·4.50 10 Bet7/2·4.50 BetMGM7/2·4.50 Betfred7/2·4.50 Boyle Sports7/2·4.50 BetTom7/2·4.50 Dragon Bet7/2·4.50 Paddy Power7/2·4.50Betfair Sportsbook10/3·4.33Betano10/3·4.33 Bet Victor10/3·4.33
11	Majestic King J: Chris Hayes · T: Denis Gerard Hogan · draw 12 5yo · G · bGoing 1/2Only pairing	200421	8-08	78	—	—	53.9	8/1·9.14	7·7.00 Smarkets · -23% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Smarkets7·7.00Matchbook7·7.00Betfair Exchange6.8·6.80 SmarketsSBK11/2·6.50 Unibet11/2·6.50Betfair Sportsbook5/1·6.00Paddy Power5/1·6.00 Dragon Bet5/1·6.00 BetMGM5/1·6.00 BetWright5/1·6.00 Coral5/1·6.00 Bet3655/1·6.00 Betfred5/1·6.00 William Hill5/1·6.00 Midnite5/1·6.00 Star Sports5/1·6.00 Ladbrokes5/1·6.00 LiveScore Bet5/1·6.00 Quinn Bet5/1·6.00Virgin Bet5/1·6.00Boyle Sports5/1·6.00 10 Bet5/1·6.00 BetTom5/1·6.00 SportingIndex5/1·6.00 Spreadex5/1·6.00Hollywood Bets9/2·5.50Bet Victor9/2·5.50 Betano9/2·5.50
5	Final Voyage J: Ross Fagan(10) · T: J. P. Murtagh · draw 5 8yo · G · bOnly ride	717028	9-04	88	—	—	52.6	40/1·39.63	34·34.00 Matchbook · -14% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Matchbook34·34.00Smarkets32·32.00Betfair Exchange30·30.00Virgin Bet25/1·26.00BetWright25/1·26.00 BetTom25/1·26.00 SmarketsSBK25/1·26.00 Betfred25/1·26.00 Unibet25/1·26.00Hollywood Bets25/1·26.00Spreadex25/1·26.00 Star Sports25/1·26.00 Bet36525/1·26.00 Quinn Bet25/1·26.00 Dragon Bet25/1·26.00 Ladbrokes25/1·26.00 LiveScore Bet25/1·26.00 SportingIndex25/1·26.00 Paddy Power25/1·26.00 10 Bet25/1·26.00 BetMGM25/1·26.00 Boyle Sports25/1·26.00 Coral25/1·26.00 William Hill25/1·26.00Betfair Sportsbook25/1·26.00Bet Victor22/1·23.00 Betano22/1·23.00 Midnite22/1·23.00
—	Retracement J: Ben Coen · T: J. P. Murtagh · draw 9 5yo · G · chp	06740	9-01	85	—	—	49.9	11/1·12.19	15/2·8.50 BetMGM · -30% vs fair Compare 12 books ▾ BetMGM15/2·8.50 Dragon Bet7/1·8.00 Paddy Power7/1·8.00 10 Bet7/1·8.00Hollywood Bets7/1·8.00Ladbrokes7/1·8.00 BetWright7/1·8.00 Boyle Sports7/1·8.00 Coral7/1·8.00 Star Sports7/1·8.00 Unibet13/2·7.50Betfair Sportsbook6/1·7.00
9	Iamimmaculate J: Declan McDonogh · T: G. O'Leary · draw 3 3yo · G · btOnly pairing	24262	8-11	85	—	—	47.0	15/2·8.38	6.2·6.20 Matchbook · -26% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Matchbook6.2·6.20Betfair Exchange6.2·6.20 William Hill5/1·6.00Smarkets6·6.00BetWright9/2·5.50 Betano9/2·5.50 BetTom9/2·5.50 SportingIndex9/2·5.50 Spreadex9/2·5.50Betfair Sportsbook9/2·5.50Paddy Power9/2·5.50 LiveScore Bet9/2·5.50 Coral9/2·5.50 Star Sports9/2·5.50 Ladbrokes9/2·5.50Hollywood Bets9/2·5.50Midnite9/2·5.50 Bet Victor9/2·5.50Virgin Bet9/2·5.50Dragon Bet9/2·5.50 10 Bet9/2·5.50 Betfred9/2·5.50 Boyle Sports9/2·5.50 Quinn Bet9/2·5.50 SmarketsSBK9/2·5.50 Unibet9/2·5.50 BetMGM4/1·5.00 Bet3654/1·5.00
12	Galileo Noir J: Reese Holohan(5) · T: Noel Meade · draw 2 3yo · G · bOnly runner	73155	8-07	81	—	—	45.9	12/1·13.72	10.5·10.50 Matchbook · -23% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Matchbook10.5·10.50Smarkets10·10.00SmarketsSBK9/1·10.00 Betfair Exchange10·10.00 Bet36517/2·9.50 Unibet17/2·9.50 BetMGM8/1·9.00 William Hill8/1·9.00Betfair Sportsbook8/1·9.00Paddy Power8/1·9.00Virgin Bet8/1·9.00Betfred8/1·9.00 10 Bet8/1·9.00 Boyle Sports8/1·9.00 Quinn Bet8/1·9.00 Star Sports8/1·9.00 Spreadex8/1·9.00 BetTom8/1·9.00 BetWright8/1·9.00 SportingIndex8/1·9.00Hollywood Bets8/1·9.00Dragon Bet8/1·9.00 Coral8/1·9.00 Ladbrokes8/1·9.00 LiveScore Bet8/1·9.00 Midnite8/1·9.00 Bet Victor15/2·8.50 Betano15/2·8.50
3	Cristal Clere J: Jimmy Dalton(7) · T: John J Nallen · draw 11 8yo · G · bOnly runner	51965	9-12	96	—	—	45.4	18/1·19.81	22·22.00 Matchbook · +11% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Matchbook22·22.00Smarkets21·21.00Betfair Exchange20·20.00 SmarketsSBK18/1·19.00 Dragon Bet14/1·15.00 Spreadex14/1·15.00Betfair Sportsbook14/1·15.00Paddy Power14/1·15.00 SportingIndex14/1·15.00 BetWright14/1·15.00 LiveScore Bet14/1·15.00 Boyle Sports12/1·13.00Hollywood Bets12/1·13.00BetMGM12/1·13.00 Quinn Bet12/1·13.00 Bet36512/1·13.00 Betano12/1·13.00 Midnite12/1·13.00 Ladbrokes12/1·13.00 Unibet12/1·13.00 10 Bet12/1·13.00 Star Sports12/1·13.00 Bet Victor12/1·13.00 Coral12/1·13.00Virgin Bet12/1·13.00BetTom12/1·13.00 William Hill11/1·12.00 Betfred11/1·12.00
7	Lady Lilac J: G. F. Carroll · T: Joseph G Murphy · draw 10 4yo · F · bb	355730	9-01	85	—	—	40.3	14/1·15.24	11.5·11.50 Matchbook · -24% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Matchbook11.5·11.50Betfair Exchange11.5·11.50 Bet36510/1·11.00Smarkets11·11.00Unibet10/1·11.00Hollywood Bets9/1·10.00Spreadex9/1·10.00 LiveScore Bet9/1·10.00Virgin Bet9/1·10.00Paddy Power9/1·10.00 Quinn Bet9/1·10.00 10 Bet9/1·10.00 Ladbrokes9/1·10.00 Star Sports9/1·10.00 William Hill9/1·10.00 SmarketsSBK9/1·10.00 BetWright9/1·10.00 SportingIndex9/1·10.00 BetTom9/1·10.00 Betfred9/1·10.00 BetMGM9/1·10.00 Boyle Sports9/1·10.00 Coral9/1·10.00Betfair Sportsbook17/2·9.50Midnite17/2·9.50 Bet Victor17/2·9.50 Betano17/2·9.50 Dragon Bet17/2·9.50

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 12–28 bookmakers per horse with the 52% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the 1xBet.ie Proud Supporters Of Irish Racing Handicap?

The 1xBet.ie Proud Supporters Of Irish Racing Handicap is off at 15:05 on 4 October 2026 at Curragh (Ireland).

What is the field size and distance of the 15:05 Curragh?

1m1f, Flat, 10 runners declared.

What is the going for the 15:05 Curragh?

Going is reported as Yielding on Turf.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 15:05 Curragh?

The AI top-rated runner is Truth Be Told (score 58.3, best price 6.60). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 15:05 Curragh?

The market favourite is Johnny Soda at a best price of 5.60. The Racing Alpha AI top pick is a different horse — Truth Be Told.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org